US 10yr Treasury Yield and Fed Liquidity Inverse Correlation

٣ مايو ٢٠٢٣

Still kicking since beginning of 2022.

Higher for longer

٨ مايو ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

Nice print today, victory is not being declared yet. Ton of volatility still. Hard to go long the TLT when this is playing out.

٢٢ مايو ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

chugging towards 4.00%, liquidity is finicky right now, but is still trending downwards. If you check the WRBWFRBL fed liabilities draining res balances, liquidity is actually ticking up. Should get interesting. Like this correlation tho.

١ يونيو ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

debt ceiling deal is close to in the bag, yields coming down makes sense here unless senate doesnt pass it

٢٧ يوليو ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

still playing out here. i know the fed liquidity doesnt update, but it still tracks.

٢٩ يوليو ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

lol rip TLT hodlers

١٦ أغسطس ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

again, rip TLT hodlers

١٦ أغسطس ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

RIPPPPPPPP

٢٥ سبتمبر ٢٠٢٣

ملاحظة

its so over for TLT bulls. couldnt be more over