Crude oil may bounce, but $70 is the magnet

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Stocks of crude oil have not changed much since the end of January, in a plateau. That had stopped a losing streak for the WTI light oil contract and boosted a short-term recovery back to technical levels.

Geopolitics is a bearish factor, as US-Russia talks may create expectations of lifting some sanctions, so in a medium-term, Crude oil would probably stay around $70.

Technically, USOIL is moving in a correctional upswing having driven by the stagnating stocks in storage, colder weather and technically oversold condition: the price is consolidating below the 20 and 50 moving averages, and the next selling wave may be expected above static areas of resistance of $71 and $71, after which it may again pursue to $70 area as shown at the chart.

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