First off, $1200 an ounce is what it costs the miners to produce gold. Miners have recently been doing great - this obviously adds support to the gold price. The closer gold gets to $1200, the less miners will be interested - the supply will drop and the price goes up. Fundamentally, gold can't really stay below $1200 in the year 2014 and beyond.

Many people are banking on September being usually the best month for gold - and for all the right reasons:
tradingview.com/v/2m7AQy9D/

Geo-political crisis may ease - and gold will need to show that it can support itself without Ukraine and Russia providing support.

In summary, I do not see much of a downside here and we could see a breakout to the 1400-1500 range very soon. Long gold! Shorting gold is an 'old' idea that will fade away very soon.
Gold

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