My Bias has changed in less than 18 hours for Long-Gold. Please.
تم تحديثه
https://www.tradingview.com/x/kcuu9XNt/
So towards the end of NY session yesterday Thursday, I was a little bearish on Gold. Why?
1/ The USDX where Gold gets a lot of its' cues from had formed bullish Head 'n' Shoulders Patterns on timeframes 5m right up to 30m. You better believe it. Technicals work on the USDX as well. But the bears have been nullified. The USDX is travelling down a bearish wedge. Sure, it can jump out at any time like a thief-in-the-night. What would prompt this? Well bullish Economic Data due out soon that is supportive of the USD.
2/ Please take a look at my chart. You will see that for the most part that Gold in this 4hr chart is sailing upwards smoothly in a rising wedge. Things can change there as well, if the economic data is bad.
3/ The Economic Data for Thursday was supportive of the Gold price I thought, so I am thinking it might be good again for gold. Take a look at the chart. I highlight which economic data to be across and how it could affect the Gold-price.
Regards,
Chris
So towards the end of NY session yesterday Thursday, I was a little bearish on Gold. Why?
1/ The USDX where Gold gets a lot of its' cues from had formed bullish Head 'n' Shoulders Patterns on timeframes 5m right up to 30m. You better believe it. Technicals work on the USDX as well. But the bears have been nullified. The USDX is travelling down a bearish wedge. Sure, it can jump out at any time like a thief-in-the-night. What would prompt this? Well bullish Economic Data due out soon that is supportive of the USD.
2/ Please take a look at my chart. You will see that for the most part that Gold in this 4hr chart is sailing upwards smoothly in a rising wedge. Things can change there as well, if the economic data is bad.
3/ The Economic Data for Thursday was supportive of the Gold price I thought, so I am thinking it might be good again for gold. Take a look at the chart. I highlight which economic data to be across and how it could affect the Gold-price.
Regards,
Chris
تم فتح الصفقة
Don't panic if you don't get into a position straight away as price moves fast after economic data and NY open. There will always be retraces and fib levels.
An important number to get over is 2531.65. This will be the next leg-up towards the previous high price set a few weeks ago imho. So what I am saying is that there is plenty of profit today if price breaks the 2531.65 level. On favourable economic data for gold and there is a lot today, I think price can break this level.
تم فتح الصفقة
Economic Data was a mixed bag.
Gold price so far likes it.
ملاحظة
I believe that the NON Farm Payrolls number is what the Gold Price liked.تم فتح الصفقة
LONG GOLD:
Retracement Levels: I would be inclined to get in at 61.8 to 50 level
تم فتح الصفقة
61.8
buy limit: 2520.50
50
buy limit : 2518
ملاحظة
2529.20 is a big resistance level.
I think the market will come back to these fibs.
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to be safe.. I would put a STOP LOSS @ 2511.95ملاحظة
38.2 Fib level & price may come right down and fill you. it is Buy limit 2515.50
If you wanna be real greedy and catch the last flush down it is about 2514.
STOP LOSS 2511.95
ملاحظة
Here is the comparison charts of the USDX (left) Gold (right). The USDX dollar index is dwindling at 100.75.
Judging by the big candle that got written after the favourable Non-farms-payroll number, I think we will break 2531.65 after this Fib buying is finished.
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تم فتح الصفقة
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I re-wrote my fib levels. This is because the last ones I drew from the bottom of that institutional liquidity run. These fib levels start at the economic data Candle. So these levels are higher prices. I would scale in.
Don't risk more than 0.25% to 0.5% of your capital.
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the new STOP LOSS would be 2515.95ملاحظة
That was the last flush-down. Market should move higher now.ملاحظة
It seems to me they are searching extra hard for liquidity today knowing a lot of retail traders are long in Gold as of 45 minutes ago. Searching extra hard to find long stops. ملاحظة
While all that stop hunting was happening it allowed the usdx to rally a bit. 101.15 nowملاحظة
I'm still 100% long gold. Price has retreated to the Institutional Short level about an hour and a half ago. There is recent support down here.
Market will head up soon. If was going lower it would've been more aggressive. They were stop hunting.
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Gold was forming a beautiful W/bottom bullish.
But now gold is inside a falling wedge. Gold needs to break out of this wedge or price slowly gets sucked down.
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It's rather bullish when price breaks from a falliing wedge. lets hope so soon.تم حذف الأمر
I have cancelled my long positions traders.
The usdx is at 101.30. Last time at these levels it went very quickly to 101.50 and broke out.
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We will soon find out as the big NY pockets open for business on the gold priceتم فتح الصفقة
I am back into LONG gold. ملاحظة
There is a bullish H&S on 1m for gold
Turns out in all that haste I clicked the wrong button and I was Short the USDX. Lol
تم فتح الصفقة
Perhaps a Saviour for LONG Gold.
Sell off on the left of screen for USDX
Bullish W/bottom forming for Gold. If price does not fall through the bottom
تم حذف الأمر
Disastrous day for long gold. Guys vix index is moving up. Gold under 2500 needs to be shorted. I am currently shorting the shite out of silver. Later. good luck. Hard dayتم فتح الصفقة
Long Silver.....Scale in...sell off overتم فتح الصفقة
I am short Silver and gold .. here is why guys
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The vix index is up and just went straight through this double topملاحظة
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Vix index: Stochastics Weekly Cross Up.
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The Vix index respects all technical analysis like fibs, mtops... If this one here was breached at the neckline. I would be piling back into Gold as quick as i could. But i can't see it happening.
ملاحظة
Be aware of the huge weakness in the Silver price currently. There is a massive bearish H&S on the Daily timeframe, its about 4% under current price. Keep an eye on it. I will be.
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