XAUUSD ALL TIME HIGH $2870 #SEMS #GOLD ANALYSIS
Important Trading Levels XAUUSD (as of NFP Release Week):🔻🔺📌🚨
Immediate Sell Zone: $2,880–$2,900–$2,930🔺
Immediate Buy Zone: $2,840–$2,810–$2,790🔻
H4 Buying Levels: $2,720–$2,690–$2,650–$2,610🔺
H4 Selling Levels: $2,885–$2,910–$2,939–$2,964🔻
⚠Warning : Do Not risk more than 5% Of Your Capital. Trading in Gold an other Financial instruments and markets involves significant risk and may result in substantial losses.
🇨🇳China’s Retaliation: Antitrust Investigations into U.S. Tech Giants
•Google: Investigated over Android dominance, affecting Oppo & Xiaomi.
•Nvidia: Probe revived after initial investigation in December.
•Intel: Possible investigation pending based on U.S.-China relations.
📌 These regulatory actions appear to be part of China’s retaliation against Trump’s new tariffs on Chinese imports. President Xi is expected to engage with Trump soon, potentially shaping further developments.
🌎Market Outlook & Takeaways:
•Gold remains supported by trade tensions and safe-haven demand.
•The Japanese yen strengthens amid rising wages, inflation, and an expanding services sector.
•China’s regulatory actions could escalate U.S.-China trade tensions, impacting tech stocks and market volatility.
🇺🇸🇮🇱Markets React to Trump’s Gaza Proposal & Economic Data
Trump’s Gaza Proposal: Market Indifference
•President Donald Trump’s suggestion to turn Gaza into the "Riviera of the Middle East" has not influenced markets significantly.
•The idea, echoing a previous proposal by Jared Kushner, remains unclear in intent and has been largely dismissed by traders.
•Oil prices remain stable, and global markets have shown no strong reaction.
USD/JPY & Japanese Economic Outlook
📌 USD/JPY Weakens (-0.9%)
•The dollar continues to decline for the third consecutive day as Treasury yields drop.
•The yen strengthens following a larger-than-expected rise in Japanese wages, increasing the likelihood of Bank of Japan rate hikes.
📉 Technical Breakdown:
•Break below key support levels at 153.76 & 153.36, signaling a continuation of the short-term downtrend from its 2025 peak (158.87, Jan 10).
•Next downside targets:
1. 151.50 (Fibo 38.2% retracement of 139.57–158.87 rally)
2. 151.00 (psychological support)
📊 Key Resistance & Selling Opportunities:
•200DMA (152.77) breached, validating further downside potential.
•Limited price upticks may provide better entry points for short positions.
U.S. Economic Data to Watch Today
📌 ADP Private Sector Payrolls (Jan)
•Previous: 122K | Forecast: 148K
•Potential impact on USD strength if data beats expectations.
📌 December Trade Balance & January Services PMI
•Expected to influence market sentiment and dollar movement.
Japan’s Wage Growth Strengthens BoJ Rate Hike Case
📌 Labour Cash Earnings (Dec):
•+4.8% YoY (above expectations)
•Base earnings steady at +2.5% YoY for the second month.
•Real cash earnings: +0.6% (Nov: +0.5%), despite rising inflation.
📌 Implications for BoJ Policy:
•If Shunto wage negotiations deliver strong results, the BoJ may hike rates by 25bps as early as May.
•Base earnings growth (+5.2%) aligns with BoJ’s target for sustainable wage growth (3%), reinforcing expectations for policy tightening.
Stay tuned for further updates as geopolitical and economic events unfold. 📊📈
Immediate Sell Zone: $2,880–$2,900–$2,930🔺
Immediate Buy Zone: $2,840–$2,810–$2,790🔻
H4 Buying Levels: $2,720–$2,690–$2,650–$2,610🔺
H4 Selling Levels: $2,885–$2,910–$2,939–$2,964🔻
⚠Warning : Do Not risk more than 5% Of Your Capital. Trading in Gold an other Financial instruments and markets involves significant risk and may result in substantial losses.
🇨🇳China’s Retaliation: Antitrust Investigations into U.S. Tech Giants
•Google: Investigated over Android dominance, affecting Oppo & Xiaomi.
•Nvidia: Probe revived after initial investigation in December.
•Intel: Possible investigation pending based on U.S.-China relations.
📌 These regulatory actions appear to be part of China’s retaliation against Trump’s new tariffs on Chinese imports. President Xi is expected to engage with Trump soon, potentially shaping further developments.
🌎Market Outlook & Takeaways:
•Gold remains supported by trade tensions and safe-haven demand.
•The Japanese yen strengthens amid rising wages, inflation, and an expanding services sector.
•China’s regulatory actions could escalate U.S.-China trade tensions, impacting tech stocks and market volatility.
🇺🇸🇮🇱Markets React to Trump’s Gaza Proposal & Economic Data
Trump’s Gaza Proposal: Market Indifference
•President Donald Trump’s suggestion to turn Gaza into the "Riviera of the Middle East" has not influenced markets significantly.
•The idea, echoing a previous proposal by Jared Kushner, remains unclear in intent and has been largely dismissed by traders.
•Oil prices remain stable, and global markets have shown no strong reaction.
USD/JPY & Japanese Economic Outlook
📌 USD/JPY Weakens (-0.9%)
•The dollar continues to decline for the third consecutive day as Treasury yields drop.
•The yen strengthens following a larger-than-expected rise in Japanese wages, increasing the likelihood of Bank of Japan rate hikes.
📉 Technical Breakdown:
•Break below key support levels at 153.76 & 153.36, signaling a continuation of the short-term downtrend from its 2025 peak (158.87, Jan 10).
•Next downside targets:
1. 151.50 (Fibo 38.2% retracement of 139.57–158.87 rally)
2. 151.00 (psychological support)
📊 Key Resistance & Selling Opportunities:
•200DMA (152.77) breached, validating further downside potential.
•Limited price upticks may provide better entry points for short positions.
U.S. Economic Data to Watch Today
📌 ADP Private Sector Payrolls (Jan)
•Previous: 122K | Forecast: 148K
•Potential impact on USD strength if data beats expectations.
📌 December Trade Balance & January Services PMI
•Expected to influence market sentiment and dollar movement.
Japan’s Wage Growth Strengthens BoJ Rate Hike Case
📌 Labour Cash Earnings (Dec):
•+4.8% YoY (above expectations)
•Base earnings steady at +2.5% YoY for the second month.
•Real cash earnings: +0.6% (Nov: +0.5%), despite rising inflation.
📌 Implications for BoJ Policy:
•If Shunto wage negotiations deliver strong results, the BoJ may hike rates by 25bps as early as May.
•Base earnings growth (+5.2%) aligns with BoJ’s target for sustainable wage growth (3%), reinforcing expectations for policy tightening.
Stay tuned for further updates as geopolitical and economic events unfold. 📊📈
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.