In my view gold is bearish and sell point is close.
Arguments:
- 4 week trendline is broken.
- divergence in last top(17 jan)
- wave 2(blue) looks like clear abc (5-3-5) zigzag pattern.
- goldusd move is opposite to usdjpy. and in my view usdjpy is clearly bullish.
there may be last little swing up, which should not go beyond 17 jan top.
in anyway selling flag breakout will be a good idea.
also there is a good R/R ratio!
Keep an eye on it!
Good luck!
ملاحظة
لقطة
Before posting an idea I doubted about my wave count.
Today price exceeds 17 jan top level.(a little bit, but it does)
wave 2 can't correct more than 100% of wave 1.
so it looks like abc correction pattern 3-3-5 flat. (wave B can correct more than 100% of wave A)
so, sell setup is still valid, but now it's short-term sell.
we need 5 waves structure to comlete wave C downward move. (wait for 3 swing down, and to corrective swings up) 1st wave inside wave C may be done.
good luck!
أغلقت الصفقة: تم الوصول لوقف الخسارة
تم فتح الصفقة
It may still be an active trade.
لقطة
ABC(blue) flat(3-3-5) pattern should correct 3rd wave(yellow).
Here is full picture.
لقطة
If wave B(blue) is done, gold should start falling in the area of 38% of 3rd wave (1191).
keep an eye on it!
ملاحظة
لقطة
ملاحظة
if it breaks, sell it!
لقطة
ملاحظة
looks like possible ending diagonal
لقطة
ملاحظة
one more scenario for wave (c) - diagonal.
لقطة
ملاحظة
looks like zig-zag pattern.
flag breakout will be a confirmation.
gold may drop well below 1991
لقطة
ملاحظة
possible scenario
لقطة
تم فتح الصفقة
1991 target is reached
next one is 1174
لقطة
أغلقت الصفقة: تم الوصول للهدف
Original price target (wave C = 1.618 * wave A = 1180.7) was reached
لقطة
Goldgoldusd

منشورات ذات صلة

إخلاء المسؤولية