Gold/Stocks ratio: Time to short Gold and Long S&P500 soon
تم تحديثه
Many people will think this post is insanity, but I'm simply revisiting, and zooming on a very interesting setup I had detected some time ago.
This is a ratio chart of the S&P500 index compared to Gold. The risk off sentiment is reaching a very vivid extreme here, and like anything else, it trends with Time at Mode concepts.
I'm interested in monitoring it since we're very close to a projected target for it, and also, close to the time expiration of the last uptrend signal.
If we see a drastic turn once either (or both) targets are hit (time/price), we might be able to capture a great long term entry in this ratio.
Refer to related ideas for the monthly view.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
This is a ratio chart of the S&P500 index compared to Gold. The risk off sentiment is reaching a very vivid extreme here, and like anything else, it trends with Time at Mode concepts.
I'm interested in monitoring it since we're very close to a projected target for it, and also, close to the time expiration of the last uptrend signal.
If we see a drastic turn once either (or both) targets are hit (time/price), we might be able to capture a great long term entry in this ratio.
Refer to related ideas for the monthly view.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
ملاحظة
Two days left, target not hit yet.ملاحظة
Nice turn so far.ملاحظة
Target hit, one day left.ملاحظة
Right on the last day, we see a turn...I think this is it.ملاحظة
A break under yesterday's low would seal the deal.ملاحظة
Let's see how this one progresses. I hope people managed to catch the trade, the idea was to buy S&P500 and sell Gold, or buy S&P500 with gold if you had longs.Currently a profitable trade. (same as buying oil with gold, which I did take myself)
ملاحظة
Two new lows...the deal is sealed.ملاحظة
Anyone took this pair trade or the oil/gold one?ملاحظة
This and oil/gold are acting great as pair trades. Not a bad idea to hold the pair setups.I'm flat atm, on those, but I am in correlated trades.
ملاحظة
Trendline about to break down.ملاحظة
Trendline held for now.ملاحظة
Trendline finally crossed...now if we close below it, this is a big deal!ملاحظة
Closed below, now retesting, pay attention, gold might be a short.ملاحظة
Time to monitor this ratio closely. I suspect the market is turning down here, if you trace a trendline you might get some timely warnings here.ملاحظة
ملاحظة
This ratio keeps telling you when to long gold...now is the time.
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