Will the downside line provide strong resistance for GOLD?

٢٢ فبراير

Looking at the technical picture of XAUUSD on our 4-hour chart, we can see that after a brief visit of the area below the psychological $2000 mark, the commodity is now struggling to find it's next near-term direction. This is because it had approached a short-term downside resistance line drawn from the highest point of December. In order to continue moving higher, a break of that downside line is required. Otherwise, the recent move higher might be seen as a temporary correction before another possible leg of selling.

If the aforementioned downside line continues to provide strong resistance, XAUUSD could drift back down again. We will get even more excited with examining lower areas if the price falls below the 2024 territory. At the same time, XAUUSD could fall below all our EMAs on the 4-hour chart, increasing the chances of further declines, as more sellers may join in. We will then aim for the 2015 obstacle, or even the 1996 zone. That zone is marked by the inside swing high of February 14th and the low of February 16th.

Alternatively, a break of the previously discussed downside line and a push somewhere above the 2039 barrier, marked near the highs of February 6th and 8th, could signal a change in the direction of the current short-term trend for XAUUSD, potentially inviting more buyers into the field. That's when we will start aiming for the next possible resistance area between the 2064 and 2065 levels, which acted as a strong resistance area from the 5th of January.

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