Stellar Lumens (XLMUSD) looked like it had a nested 1-2,i-ii bullish setup in place but broke that convincingly when it broke the 0.25-level, which marked the bottom of what WAS the wave-ii. Thus, our previous primary PURPLE pattern has invalidated.
However, while many cryptos broke-down so fiercely that they've completely reset their larger 5th wave rally setups by completing the 4th wave correction that started in May 2021. XLM like LTC, DASH, SOL and LINK maintains the larger 1-2 setup, and this will remain valid as long as it holds 0.199 support, which is identified as the new GREEN pattern. If XLM breaks below this, it, too, is following the bearish alternate RED pattern with lows that could drop as far down as 0.11!
While I have begun to advise against buying large amounts of most cryptos since we were supposedly in the middle of our larger 3rd wave rally, XLM has pulled back enough that if this is indeed the bottom of our subwave (ii), this would be a solid BUY opportunity. With that being said, I recommend dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to continue growing your positions as the rally continues in order to reduce risk (buying a little bit on a regular basis instead of dumping a lump sum of cash all at once). There is no telling if we'll see a slightly lower-low (which would NOT invalidate the current setup) or the worst-case bearish red alt pattern.
While our overall top projects somewhere between 0.97 and 1.16, 1here is a strong resistance at the 0.618 extension of our larger rally that topped this last spring, which projects to 1.71! The 0.618 extension is a common 5th wave target off of a larger 3-4, and there are multiple confluences at that price level.
This larger Wave 1 top (common to most altcoins) should coincide with the Major Wave 5 top for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Therefore, the coming rally top may be a good time to take profits and reallocate across other securities outside of cryptocurrency or even Stablecoins. While BTC and ETH may see a colossal crash for the ages perhaps spanning many months or years, XLM (and other altcoins) may give us a STELLAR buy opportunity for the longer-term, which would very likely get us to those amazing targets in the $9+ range.
But as always, we must allow the pattern to develop as the market chooses. It is still a good time to buy before we see any form of 3rd wave take-off. Please size your buys commensurate to your overall risk tolerance!
I use Elliott Wave analysis to project price levels for different assets and asset classes. EW is a form a technical analysis that is absolutely NOT based on fundamentals. Please be aware that this video is not intended to act as financial advice. I am not a trained or certified financial professional. You may invest based on a strategy tailored to your own skill and risk-tolerance levels.
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.