$XRP correction underway. Eyeing higher prices overall

٨ يناير ٢٠١٨

Here's my thoughts on the possible movements of XRP over the coming days. I am anticipating price to move below the ~$2 level which is the yearly open. With the expectation that the yearly candle will be green/bullish, that means any movement below $2 will turn out to be the wick.

There is currently a void on the weekly chart and I have marked out the level with the purple line. This also lines up with the ICT OTE fib level and an area of previous consolidation on the lower time frames. XRP has had a great run up and is due for this correction which I see as healthy for the coin/token. I expect some news to drive out the weak hands below $2.

I would expect a quick run down to the $1.10-1.25 level before this altcoin continues higher an ultimately to new ATH.

٩ يناير ٢٠١٨

ملاحظة

So far price has been under a controlled decline which I am liking - no real panic selling or FOMO candles at this stage.

My first level of buying in will be at the 50% fib around 1.75. From there I will scale in more if it keeps declining. My other buying levels will be 1.60, 1.40 and 1.25 but I will also be looking for strength around these levels as there is no guarantee this will hit the lower targets.

Once the low of the retracement is found, I will update this chart or post a new chart with some targets for taking some profits. Overall though, this is a buy and hold for me - just adding to my current stack.

١٠ يناير ٢٠١٨

تم فتح الصفقة

1st entry at the 50% fib level has been hit. Partial entry taken at 1.75. Next target is the stops at 1.60

١٠ يناير ٢٠١٨

ملاحظة

I have sold half of the coins/tokens I bought at 1.75 & 1.65. I sold them at 1.98 on the rally. I was hoping for further decline during the US trading session but it seems to have entered into a consolidation.

With the H4 candle bodies holding below the yearly open at 1.97 I am now looking for the drop to continue in the Asian session. There is also a confluence of a H4 ICT breaker at this level with the 50% around 1.99 (see chart below).

Also, if the latest wick high at 2.07 holds, then by using a fib extension (pink fibs) from the low at 1.61 to this high, you will see the 200% extension lines up at 1.15 with the old weekly high (1.25) and OTE (1.11) - see second chart.

I will probably buy in with half of my funds at 1.30 then see what I can get from 1.25 down as it depends on whether I am at the screen or not.

١٠ يناير ٢٠١٨

ملاحظة

By the way, there is also a H4 breaker covering the target area for more confluence

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ملاحظة

١١ يناير ٢٠١٨

ملاحظة

With the current news on MoneyGram it looks like XRP may have found a bottom in this retracement (still to be confirmed). At the moment, we have a market structure break to the upside and I am waiting to see if the H4 breaker holds (first chart). There is also another 5 hours left on the daily candle, and if it can stay green then that is good news as the daily order block has held it's ground (second chart).

I've entered with the rest of my position (unleveraged) at 2.00 inside the H4 breaker.

١٦ يناير ٢٠١٨

ملاحظة

Well, we've now hit the $1 level. I'm adding to my collection here. Note that we could still see a run down to 0.80-0.85 levels

١٦ يناير ٢٠١٨

ملاحظة

Some nice RSI divergence around this $1.00 level.
M15 chart - tradingview.com/x/NUkx6vA1/

H1 chart - tradingview.com/x/751gRtkF/

H4 in progress - tradingview.com/x/7l3aEym3/

Daily in progress - tradingview.com/x/WSvBPMD9/

١٦ يناير ٢٠١٨

ملاحظة

M15 RSI divergence

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ملاحظة

H1 RSI divergence

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ملاحظة

H4 RSI divergence (incomplete candle)

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ملاحظة

Daily RSI divergence (incomplete candle)

١٨ يناير ٢٠١٨

ملاحظة

While price action has so far followed my chart, I now believe we will see a deeper retracement. You will see we didn't take out the stops at the 0.86 level and instead have put in a triple bottom (H4 chart and lower). From here price has now rallied creating optimism for the bulls in order to build sell stops below the triple bottom. I see this current bounce having an upper limit of 1.80.

As per the chart below, I think we will see a bottom between 0.50 - 0.64; and I would expect it to happen either this weekend or early next week. You will also notice the old ATH at 0.399 as an extended target.

As a point of confluence, you will notice the two blue boxes. The first was created from the 2018 open to the January high. This box was then copied and used to measure an identical move down using the 2018 open as the median. As you can see it lines up with a stop run at the 0.64 level.