30 Day Federal Funds Futures (Jun 2022)

Measuring the impact of todays inflation print

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US-Senator Manchin just said minutes ago that we can not longer ignore the economic pain of inflation and todays print was another reminder that "team transitory's" credibility is eroding fast. But well, what do the markets think the Fed will do?

I took the Federal Funds Future for June (the date at which a majority of market participants see the first rate increase) and inverted it, so I get the projected rate. (100-Federal Fund Future Quote = expected rate). For clarity I also added the effective federal funds rate and the Fed target band (0-25 bps).

Enjoy.

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