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Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis:Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis:
Based on our strategy integrating SMC, Elliott Wave, Gann angles, and Fibonacci retracement levels, gold is currently showing signs of weakness after a strong bullish rally. Below is a breakdown of the market structure:
1️⃣ Market Structure & Price Action:
• Gold reached a weak high around the 2960 zone before showing rejection.
• A clear BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside confirms a shift in market sentiment.
• Price is now trading below the previous daily high (PDH) and approaching key demand zones.
2️⃣ Key Levels:
• Support Levels:
• 2787 - 2770: Major demand zone and 50% retracement from the latest impulsive move.
• 2720 - 2697: Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level and equilibrium zone.
• Resistance Levels:
• 2905 - 2921: Fibonacci 50%-61.8% retracement of the last leg down.
• 2960 - 2980: Premium supply zone (previous high).
3️⃣ Smart Money & Liquidity Zones:
• Stop Hunt Area: Liquidity has been swept around 2960 where the market reversed.
• Discount Buying Zone: Institutions might accumulate orders in the 2780-2720 range.
• Premium Selling Zone: If price retests 2905 - 2921, sellers are likely to step in again.
4️⃣ Trading Recommendations:
✅ Scalping Buy:
• Entry: 2785 - 2770
• Target 1: 2850
• Target 2: 2900
• SL: 2762
❌ Scalping Sell:
• Entry: 2905 - 2921 (Fibonacci & resistance)
• Target 1: 2850
• Target 2: 2780
• SL: 2950
📌 Long-Term Investment View:
• Gold remains in an overall uptrend, and any dips towards 2720-2697 should be considered strong buying opportunities for a long-term bullish move.
• If price holds above 2800, we expect a continuation toward 3000+ levels in the next months.
Conclusion:
• Gold is currently retracing, and a buy zone is forming near 2780-2720.
• Smart money concepts suggest accumulation around equilibrium levels.
• Short-term traders can look for a rejection at 2905 for a sell, or 2785-2770 for a buy.
• Long-term investors can buy dips towards 2720 for a rally continuation toward 3000+.
📊 Risk Management Tip: Ensure a 1:3 risk-reward ratio and wait for confirmations at key levels before executing trades.
نظرة فنية على تاسى يتحرك مؤشر تاسي في اتجاه عرضي على المدى القصير، مع ظهور سيطرة واضحة للقوى البيعية خلال تداولات نهاية الأسبوع الماضي، مما أدى إلى تشكيل مستوى مقاومة بالقرب من 12,100-12,110 نقطة. استمرار الضغط البيعي في المرحلة الحالية قد يدفع المؤشر لاختبار مستويات الدعم الحالية حول 11,750-11,760 نقطة.
في حال كسر هذه المستويات، يُنصح بتفعيل أوامر وقف الخسارة، حيث سيتجه المؤشر حينها نحو مستويات الدعم التالية بين 11,500-11,450 نقطة.
على الجانب الآخر، سينتهي هذا السيناريو السلبي في حال تدخل المشترين بقوة ونجاح المؤشر في اختراق مستوى 12,100 نقطة. بخلاف ذلك، يظل الاتجاه العرضي والضغط البيعي هو السيناريو المهيمن على المؤشر في الوقت الحالي.
TASI is currently moving in a sideways trend over the short term, with clear selling pressure dominating during the end of last week’s trading sessions, forming a resistance level around 12,100-12,110 points. If the selling pressure persists, the index may test the current support levels around 11,750-11,760 points.
If these support levels are broken, it is advisable to activate stop-loss orders, as the index would then likely target the next support levels at 11,500-11,450 points.
On the other hand, the negative scenario will be invalidated if strong buying activity emerges, leading to a breakout above the 12,100-point level. Otherwise, the initial scenario of continued sideways movement with selling pressure will remain dominant for now.