ETH Dynamic Risk Strategy# ETH Dynamic Risk Strategy - Publication Description
## Overview
The ETH Dynamic Risk Strategy is a systematic approach to accumulating Ethereum during bear markets and distributing during bull markets. It combines multiple risk indicators into a single composite metric (0-1 scale) that identifies optimal buying and selling zones based on market conditions.
## Key Features
• **Multi-Component Risk Metric**: Combines 4 weighted indicators to assess market conditions
• **Tiered Buy/Sell System**: 3 levels of buy signals (L1, L2, L3) and 3 levels of sell signals based on risk thresholds
• **Configurable Filters**: Optional buy filters to reduce signal frequency by 30-50%
• **Visual Risk Zones**: Color-coded risk metric plot with clear threshold lines
• **Comprehensive Dashboard**: Real-time statistics including position size, P/L, and component scores
## How It Works
### Risk Components (Configurable Weights)
1. **Log Return from ATH** (Default: 35%)
- Tracks drawdown from all-time high over lookback period
- Deep drawdowns (-70% to -90%) = low risk / buying opportunity
- Near ATH (0% to -20%) = high risk / selling opportunity
2. **ETH/BTC Ratio** (Default: 25%)
- Measures ETH strength relative to Bitcoin
- Below historical average = ETH undervalued = low risk
- Above historical average = ETH overvalued = high risk
3. **Volatility Regime** (Default: 20%)
- Compares current volatility to long-term average
- Compressed volatility at lows = opportunity
- Expanded volatility at highs = danger
4. **Trend Strength** (Default: 20%)
- Uses multiple EMA alignment and slope analysis
- Strong downtrends = low risk scores
- Strong uptrends = high risk scores
### Trading Logic
**Buy Signals:**
- L1: Risk ≤ 0.30 → Buy $100 (default)
- L2: Risk ≤ 0.20 → Buy $250 total
- L3: Risk ≤ 0.10 → Buy $450 total
**Sell Signals (Sequential):**
- L1: Risk ≥ 0.75 → Sell 25% of position
- L2: Risk ≥ 0.85 → Sell 35% of remaining
- L3: Risk ≥ 0.95 → Sell 40% of remaining
**Buy Filters (Optional):**
- Minimum days between buys (prevents clustering)
- Minimum risk drop required (ensures falling risk)
- Toggle on/off to compare performance
## Settings Guide
### Risk Components
Toggle individual components on/off and adjust their weights. Total weight is automatically normalized. Experiment with different combinations to match your market view.
### Advanced Settings
- ATH Lookback: How far back to look for all-time highs (500-2000 recommended)
- Volatility Period: Window for volatility calculations (40-100 recommended)
- ETH/BTC MA Period: Moving average for ratio comparison (100-300 recommended)
- Trend Period: Base period for trend calculations (50-150 recommended)
### Trading Thresholds
Customize buy/sell trigger points and position sizes. Lower buy thresholds = more aggressive accumulation. Higher sell thresholds = holding longer into bull markets.
### Buy Filters
- Enable/disable filtering system
- Min Days Between Buys: Spacing between purchases (1-3 recommended)
- Min Risk Drop: How much risk must fall (-0.001 to -0.01 range)
## Best Practices
• **Timeframe**: Works best on daily (1D) and 3-day (3D) charts
• **Initial Capital**: Set based on your DCA budget (default $10,000)
• **Backtest First**: Test different parameter combinations on historical data
• **Position Sizing**: Adjust buy amounts to match your risk tolerance
• **Monitor Filters**: Check "Filtered Buys" stat to ensure filter isn't too strict
## Use Cases
- Long-term ETH accumulation strategy
- Systematic DCA with market-adaptive buying
- Risk-based portfolio rebalancing
- Educational tool for understanding crypto market cycles
## Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk. The strategy uses historical price action and technical indicators which may not predict future movements. Always do your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
## Credits
Strategy concept and development by nakphanan with assistance from Claude AI (Anthropic). Built using Pine Script v5....Mostly from Claude AI!!!
## Version History
v7.0 - Initial release with 4-component risk metric, tiered trading system, and optional buy filters
مؤشرات اتساع النطاق
"Ultimate Sniper & Rocket Strategy [By Dhanapal]//@version=5
// This script is a complete trading system combining Trend, Momentum, and Reversal strategies.
// Created for Nifty & BankNifty Intraday Trading.
indicator("Ultimate Sniper & Rocket Strategy", overlay=true, shorttitle="Ultimate Strategy")
// ==========================================
// 1. EMA Cloud (Trend Visualization)
// ==========================================
// 9, 21, 50, 200 EMAs to identify the trend direction quickly.
ema9 = ta.ema(close, 9)
ema21 = ta.ema(close, 21)
ema50 = ta.ema(close, 50)
ema200 = ta.ema(close, 200)
plot(ema9, color=color.new(color.red, 50), title="EMA 9")
plot(ema21, color=color.new(color.blue, 50), title="EMA 21")
plot(ema50, color=color.new(color.green, 50), title="EMA 50")
plot(ema200, color=color.new(color.black, 50), title="EMA 200", linewidth=2)
// ==========================================
// 2. VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
// ==========================================
plot(ta.vwap(close), title="VWAP", color=color.purple, linewidth=2)
// ==========================================
// 3. KEY LEVELS: PDH, PDL, TODAY H/L
// ==========================================
d_high = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", high , lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on)
d_low = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", low , lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on)
// Plot Previous Day Levels (Thick Lines)
plot(d_high, title="Prev Day High (PDH)", color=color.green, linewidth=2)
plot(d_low, title="Prev Day Low (PDL)", color=color.red, linewidth=2)
// Plot Today's Live Levels (Dashed Lines)
t_high = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", high, lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on)
t_low = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", low, lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on)
plot(t_high, title="Today High", color=color.new(color.blue, 0), linewidth=1, style=plot.style_dashed)
plot(t_low, title="Today Low", color=color.new(color.blue, 0), linewidth=1, style=plot.style_dashed)
// ==========================================
// 4. RIGHT SIDE LABELS (Clear Visibility)
// ==========================================
if barstate.islast
label.new(bar_index + 3, d_high, "PDH", style=label.style_label_left, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, size=size.small)
label.new(bar_index + 3, d_low, "PDL", style=label.style_label_left, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, size=size.small)
label.new(bar_index + 3, t_high, "Day High", style=label.style_label_left, color=color.blue, textcolor=color.white, size=size.small)
label.new(bar_index + 3, t_low, "Day Low", style=label.style_label_left, color=color.blue, textcolor=color.white, size=size.small)
// ==========================================
// 5. STRATEGY 1: SNIPER (Reversal)
// ==========================================
// Best for catching bottoms/tops. Based on MACD Crossover + RSI Strength.
rsi = ta.rsi(close, 14)
= ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9)
// Buy Logic: MACD Crosses Up AND RSI > 50 (Momentum Gaining)
sniper_buy = ta.crossover(macdLine, signalLine) and (rsi > 50)
// Sell Logic: MACD Crosses Down AND RSI < 50 (Momentum Losing)
sniper_sell = ta.crossunder(macdLine, signalLine) and (rsi < 50)
// ==========================================
// 6. STRATEGY 2: ROCKET (Breakout)
// ==========================================
// Best for strong trend moves. Based on Supertrend reversal.
= ta.supertrend(3, 10)
rocket_buy = ta.crossunder(direction, 0)
rocket_sell = ta.crossover(direction, 0)
// ==========================================
// 7. PLOTTING SIGNALS
// ==========================================
// Sniper Signals (Yellow/Orange Triangles)
plotshape(sniper_buy, title="Sniper Buy", location=location.belowbar, color=color.yellow, style=shape.triangleup, size=size.small, text="SNIPER", textcolor=color.black)
plotshape(sniper_sell, title="Sniper Sell", location=location.abovebar, color=color.orange, style=shape.triangledown, size=size.small, text="SNIPER", textcolor=color.white)
// Rocket Signals (Blue/Pink Labels)
plotshape(rocket_buy, title="Rocket Buy", location=location.belowbar, color=color.aqua, style=shape.labelup, size=size.small, text="ROCKET", textcolor=color.black)
plotshape(rocket_sell, title="Rocket Sell", location=location.abovebar, color=color.fuchsia, style=shape.labeldown, size=size.small, text="ROCKET", textcolor=color.white)
// ==========================================
// 8. CANDLE & BACKGROUND COLORS
// ==========================================
var color bar_c = na
// Base Trend Color (Green/Red based on Supertrend)
if direction < 0
bar_c := color.green
else
bar_c := color.red
// Override Color for Signals
if rocket_buy
bar_c := color.aqua
if rocket_sell
bar_c := color.fuchsia
if sniper_buy
bar_c := color.yellow
if sniper_sell
bar_c := color.orange
barcolor(bar_c, title="Candle Colors")
// Background Tint
bgcolor(direction < 0 ? color.new(color.green, 90) : color.new(color.red, 90), title="Trend Background")
Master Strategy: BTC W1 Mean Reversion [Institutional SOP]Overview This is an institutional-grade Mean Reversion and Range Rotation strategy designed specifically for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Perpetual Futures. It operates on the philosophy that liquidity resides at the extremes of the previous week's range (Previous Week High/Low). The strategy looks for false breakouts (Sweeps) followed by a confirmed return to the range (Reclaim), targeting the weekly equilibrium (EQ).
Core Logic: The Deviation Play Unlike standard breakout strategies, this indicator hunts for trapped liquidity.
Weekly Levels (Fixed): It calculates PWH (Previous Week High) and PWL (Previous Week Low) based on confirmed, closed weekly data. These levels act as the "Box" for the current week.
The Sweep: We wait for price to pierce the PWH or PWL (taking liquidity/stops). The script uses a dynamic ATR-based threshold to filter out noise (micro-pokes).
The Reclaim (4H Close): A signal is generated ONLY if a 4H candle closes back inside the weekly range shortly after the sweep. This confirms rejection of higher/lower prices.
The Entry: The script suggests a Limit Order at the retested level (PWH/PWL) to maximize R:R.
Institutional Quality Filters ("Kill Switches") To prevent trading in unfavorable conditions, the script includes strict SOP (Standard Operating Procedure) filters:
Trend Filter (ADX): Blocks mean reversion signals if the daily trend is too strong (ADX > 25).
Expansion Filter: Blocks signals if price accepted levels outside the range for too long (prevents fighting a true breakout).
Weekly Range Filter: Filters out weeks that are statistically too tight (chop) or too wide (expansion).
Time Filter: A reclaim must happen within a set number of 4H bars after the sweep (default: 3).
Key Features
Zero Repainting: Logic is based strictly on closed candles ( , , ).
State Machine Logic: Uses internal memory to track sweeps regardless of chart timeframe glitches.
Operational Dashboard: Displays current status, countdown to next decision candle (4H close), and exact parameters for the last valid signal (Entry, SL, TP).
Unified Alerting: A single "Any function call" alert handles both Long and Short scenarios dynamically.
Clean Visuals: Levels are plotted with line breaks to avoid visual clutter between weeks.
How to Use
Timeframe: Set your chart to 4H. This is crucial as the logic relies on 4H closes.
Signals: Wait for the "4H RECLAIM" label.
Execution: Place a Limit Order at the suggested Level (PWH/PWL).
Stop Loss: Use the calculated SL provided by the indicator (Swing extreme + ATR buffer).
Target: TP1 is always the EQ (Equilibrium/Mid-range).
CVD Zones & Divergence [Pro]# CVD Zones & Divergence
**Complete CVD order flow toolkit** - Divergences, POC, Profile, and Supply/Demand zones all in one professional indicator.
## 🎯 What It Does
Combines **four powerful order flow tools** into a single, cohesive indicator:
1. **CVD Divergences** - Early warnings + confirmed signals
2. **Point of Control (POC)** - Fair value equilibrium line
3. **CVD Profile** - Visual distribution histogram
4. **Supply/Demand Zones** - Real absorption-based S/R levels
All based on **Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)** - actual buying/selling pressure, not approximations.
## ✨ Key Features
### 🔄 CVD Divergences (Dual Mode)
**Confirmed Divergences** (High Accuracy)
- Solid lines (customizable colors)
- 🔻 Bear / 🔺 Bull labels
- Win rate: ~70-80%
- Best for swing traders
**Early Warning Mode** ⚡ (Fast Signals)
- Dashed lines (default purple)
- ⚠️ Early Bear / ⚠️ Early Bull labels
- Fires 6+ bars earlier
- Win rate: ~55-65%
- Best for scalpers/day traders
### 🎯 Point of Control (POC)
- **Independent lookback** (300 bars default)
- Yellow line showing fair value
- Where most CVD activity occurred
- Acts as dynamic support/resistance
- Resets and recalculates continuously
### 📊 CVD Profile Histogram
- **Visual CVD distribution** over lookback period
- **Split buy/sell** (blue/orange bars)
- **Value Area** (70% CVD zone highlighted)
- Position: Right/Left/Current (your choice)
- Shows where actual order flow happened
### 📦 Supply/Demand Zones
- **Absorption-based** detection (not guesses!)
- Green = Demand (buyers absorbed 2:1+)
- Red = Supply (sellers absorbed 2:1+)
- Shows **real** institutional levels
- Auto-sorted by strength
- Displays top 8 zones
## 📊 What You See on Chart
```
Your Chart:
├─ 🔴 Red lines (bearish divergences)
├─ 🟢 Green lines (bullish divergences)
├─ 🟣 Purple dashed (early warnings)
├─ 🟡 Yellow POC line (fair value)
├─ 📊 Blue/Orange profile (right side)
├─ 🟢 Green boxes (demand zones)
└─ 🔴 Red boxes (supply zones)
```
## ⚙️ Recommended Settings
### 15m Day Trading (Most Popular)
```
📊 Profile:
- Lookback: 150 bars
- Profile Rows: 24
- Position: Right
🎯 POC:
- POC Lookback: 300 bars
- Show POC: ON
📦 Zones:
- Min Absorption Ratio: 2.0
- HVN Threshold: 1.5
- Max Zones: 8
🔄 Divergences:
- Pivot L/R: 9
- Early Warning: ON
- Early Right Bars: 3
- Min Bars Between: 40
- Min CVD Diff: 5%
```
### 5m Scalping
```
Profile Lookback: 100
POC Lookback: 200
Pivot L/R: 7
Early Warning Right: 2
Min Bars Between: 60
```
### 1H Swing Trading
```
Profile Lookback: 200
POC Lookback: 400-500
Pivot L/R: 12-14
Early Warning Right: 4-5
Min Bars Between: 30
Min CVD Diff: 8%
```
## 💡 How to Trade
### Setup 1: Divergence at Zone ⭐ (BEST - 75%+ win rate)
**Entry:**
- Price hits demand/supply zone
- Divergence appears (early or confirmed)
- Double confluence = high probability
**Example (Long):**
```
1. Price drops into green demand zone
2. ⚠️ Early bullish divergence fires
3. Enter long with tight stop below zone
4. Target: POC or next supply zone
```
**Risk/Reward:** 1:3 to 1:5
---
### Setup 2: POC Bounce/Rejection
**Entry:**
- Price approaches POC line
- Wait for reaction (bounce or rejection)
- Enter in direction of reaction
**Long Setup:**
```
1. Price pulls back to POC from above
2. POC acts as support
3. Bullish divergence appears (confirmation)
4. Enter long, stop below POC
```
**Short Setup:**
```
1. Price rallies to POC from below
2. POC acts as resistance
3. Bearish divergence appears
4. Enter short, stop above POC
```
**Risk/Reward:** 1:2 to 1:4
---
### Setup 3: Zone + Profile Confluence
**Entry:**
- Supply/demand zone aligns with thick profile bar
- Shows high CVD activity at that level
- Triple confluence = very high probability
**Example:**
```
1. Supply zone at 26,100
2. Profile shows heavy selling at 26,100
3. Price rallies to 26,100
4. Bearish divergence appears
5. Enter short
```
**Risk/Reward:** 1:4 to 1:6
---
### Setup 4: Early Warning Scalp ⚡
**Entry (Aggressive):**
- ⚠️ Early warning fires
- Price at zone or POC
- Enter immediately
- Tight stop (1-2 ATR)
**Management:**
```
- Take 50% profit at 1:1
- Move stop to breakeven
- 🔻 Confirmed signal → Trail stop
- Exit rest at target
```
**Risk/Reward:** 1:1.5 to 1:2
**Trades/day:** 3-8
---
### Setup 5: Multi-Timeframe (Advanced)
**Confirmation Required:**
```
Higher TF (1H):
- Confirmed divergence
- At major POC or zone
Lower TF (15m):
- Early warning triggers
- Entry with better timing
```
**Benefits:**
- HTF gives direction
- LTF gives entry
- Best of both worlds
**Risk/Reward:** 1:3 to 1:5
---
## 📊 Component Details
### CVD Profile
**What the colors mean:**
- **Blue bars** = Buying CVD (demand)
- **Orange bars** = Selling CVD (supply)
- **Lighter shade** = Value Area (70% CVD)
- **Thicker bar** = More volume at that price
**How to use:**
- Thick bars = Support/Resistance
- Profile shape shows market structure
- Balanced profile = range
- Skewed profile = trend
---
### Supply/Demand Zones
**How they're detected:**
1. High Volume Node (1.5x average)
2. CVD buy/sell ratio calculated
3. Ratio ≥ 2.0 → Zone created
4. Sorted by strength (top 8 shown)
**Zone labels show:**
- Type: "Demand" or "Supply"
- Ratio: "2.8:1" = strength
**Not like other indicators:**
- ❌ Other tools use price action alone
- ✅ This uses actual CVD absorption
- Shows WHERE limit orders defended levels
---
### Point of Control (POC)
**What it shows:**
- Price with highest CVD activity
- Market's "fair value"
- Dynamic S/R level
**How to use:**
- Price above POC = bullish bias
- Price below POC = bearish bias
- POC retest = trading opportunity
- POC cross = trend change signal
**Independent lookback:**
- Profile: 150 bars (short-term)
- POC: 300 bars (longer-term context)
- Gives stable, relevant POC
---
## 🔧 Settings Explained
### 📊 Profile Settings
**Lookback Bars** (150 default)
- How many bars for profile calculation
- Lower = more recent, reactive
- Higher = more historical, stable
**Profile Rows** (24 default)
- Granularity of distribution
- Lower = coarser (faster)
- Higher = finer detail (slower)
**Profile Position**
- Right: After current price
- Left: Before lookback period
- Current: At lookback start
**Value Area** (70% default)
- Highlights main CVD concentration
- 70% is standard
- Higher % = wider zone
---
### 🎯 POC Settings
**POC Lookback** (300 default)
- Independent from profile
- Longer = more stable POC
- Shorter = more reactive POC
**Show POC Line/Label**
- Toggle visibility
- Customize color/width
---
### 📦 Zone Settings
**Min Absorption Ratio** (2.0 default)
- Buy/Sell threshold for zones
- 2.0 = 2:1 ratio minimum
- Higher = fewer, stronger zones
**HVN Threshold** (1.5 default)
- Volume must be 1.5x average
- Higher = stricter filtering
- Lower = more zones
**Max Zones** (8 default)
- Limits display clutter
- Shows strongest N zones only
---
### 🔄 Divergence Settings
**Pivot Left/Right** (9/9 default)
- Bars to confirm pivot
- Higher = slower, more confirmed
- Lower = faster, less confirmed
**Early Warning**
- ON = Show early signals
- Early Right Bars (3 default)
- 3 = 6 bars faster than confirmed
**Filters:**
- Min Bars Between (40): Prevents spam
- Min CVD Diff % (5): Filters weak signals
**Visual:**
- Line styles: Solid/Dashed/Dotted
- Colors: Customize all 4 types
- Labels: Toggle ON/OFF
---
## 🎨 Color Customization
**Divergences:**
- Bullish Confirmed: Green (default)
- Bearish Confirmed: Red (default)
- Early Bullish: Purple (default)
- Early Bearish: Purple (default)
**Zones & Profile:**
- Bull/Demand: Green
- Bear/Supply: Red
- Buy CVD Profile: Blue
- Sell CVD Profile: Orange
- Value Area Up/Down: Lighter blue/orange
**POC:**
- POC Color: Yellow (default)
All customizable to your preference!
---
## 🔔 Alerts Available
**6 Alert Types:**
1. 🔻 Bearish Divergence (confirmed)
2. 🔺 Bullish Divergence (confirmed)
3. ⚠️ Early Bearish Warning
4. ⚠️ Early Bullish Warning
5. (Manual: POC cross)
6. (Manual: Zone touch)
**Setup:**
1. Click Alert (⏰)
2. Choose "CVD Zones & Divergence"
3. Select alert type
4. Configure notification
5. Create!
---
## 💎 Pro Tips
### From Experienced Traders:
**"Use zones with divergences for best setups"**
- Zone alone: 60% win rate
- Divergence alone: 65% win rate
- Both together: 75%+ win rate
**"POC is your friend"**
- Price tends to revert to POC
- Great target for counter-trend trades
- POC cross = potential trend change
**"Profile tells the story"**
- Thick bars = institutional levels
- Balanced profile = range-bound
- Skewed high = distribution (top)
- Skewed low = accumulation (bottom)
**"Early warnings for entries, confirmed for confidence"**
- Early = better entry price
- Confirmed = validation
- Use both in scale-in strategy
**"Filter by timeframe"**
- 1m-5m: Very fast, many signals
- 15m: Sweet spot for most traders
- 1H-4H: High quality, fewer signals
---
## 🔧 Tuning Guide
### Too Cluttered?
**Simplify:**
```
✅ Show Divergences: ON
✅ Show POC: ON
❌ Show Zones: OFF (or reduce to 4-5)
❌ Show Value Area: OFF
❌ Divergence Labels: OFF
→ Clean chart with just lines + POC
```
### Missing Opportunities?
**More Signals:**
```
↓ Pivot Right: 6-7
↓ Early Warning Right: 2
↓ Min Bars Between: 25-30
↓ Min CVD Diff: 2-3%
↓ Min Absorption Ratio: 1.8
```
### Too Many False Signals?
**Stricter Filters:**
```
↑ Pivot Right: 12-15
↑ Min Bars Between: 60
↑ Min CVD Diff: 8-10%
↑ Min Absorption Ratio: 2.5
↓ Max Zones: 4-5
```
### POC Not Making Sense?
**Adjust POC Lookback:**
```
If too high: Increase to 400-500
If too low: Increase to 400-500
If jumping around: Increase to 500+
→ Longer lookback = more stable POC
```
---
## ❓ FAQ
**Q: Difference from CVD Divergence (standalone)?**
A: This is the **complete package**:
- Divergence tool = divergences only
- This = divergences + POC + profile + zones
- Use divergence tool for clean charts
- Use this for full analysis
**Q: Too slow/laggy?**
A: Reduce computational load:
```
Profile Rows: 18 (from 24)
Lookback: 100 (from 150)
Max Zones: 5 (from 8)
```
**Q: No volume data error?**
A: Symbol has no volume
- Works: Futures, stocks, crypto
- Maybe: Forex (broker-dependent)
- Doesn't work: Some forex pairs
**Q: Can I use just some features?**
A: Absolutely! Toggle what you want:
```
Zones only: Turn off divergences + POC
POC only: Turn off zones + divergences
Divergences only: Turn off zones + POC + profile
Mix and match as needed!
```
**Q: Best timeframe?**
A:
- **1m-5m**: Scalping (busy, many signals)
- **15m**: Day trading ⭐ (recommended)
- **1H-4H**: Swing trading (quality signals)
- **Daily**: Position trading (very selective)
**Q: Works on crypto/forex/stocks?**
A:
- ✅ Futures: Excellent
- ✅ Stocks: Excellent
- ✅ Crypto: Very good (major pairs)
- ⚠️ Forex: Depends on broker volume
---
## 📈 Performance Expectations
### Realistic Win Rates
| Strategy | Win Rate | Avg R/R | Trades/Week |
|----------|----------|---------|-------------|
| Early warnings only | 55-65% | 1:1.5 | 15-30 |
| Confirmed only | 70-80% | 1:2 | 8-15 |
| Divergence + Zone | 75-85% | 1:3 | 5-12 |
| Full confluence (all 4) | 80-90% | 1:4+ | 3-8 |
**Keys to success:**
- Don't trade every signal
- Wait for confluence
- Proper risk management
- Trade what you see, not what you think
---
## 🚀 Quick Start
**New User (5 minutes):**
1. ✅ Add to 15m chart
2. ✅ Default settings work well
3. ✅ Watch for 1 week (don't trade yet!)
4. ✅ Note which setups work best
5. ✅ Backtest on 50+ signals
6. ✅ Start with small size
7. ✅ Scale up slowly
**First Trade Checklist:**
- Divergence + Zone/POC = confluence
- Clear S/R level nearby
- Risk/reward minimum 1:2
- Position size = 1% risk max
- Stop loss placed
- Target identified
- Journal entry ready
---
## 📊 What Makes This Special?
**Most indicators:**
- Use RSI/MACD divergences (lagging)
- Guess at S/R zones (subjective)
- Don't show actual order flow
**This indicator:**
- Uses real CVD (actual volume delta)
- Absorption-based zones (real orders)
- Profile shows distribution (real activity)
- POC shows equilibrium (real fair value)
- All from one data source (coherent)
**Result:**
- Everything aligns
- No conflicting signals
- True order flow analysis
- Professional-grade toolkit
---
## 🎯 Trading Philosophy
**Remember:**
- Indicator shows you WHERE to look
- YOU decide whether to trade
- Quality over quantity always
- Risk management is #1
- Patience beats aggression
**Best trades have:**
- ✅ Multiple confluences
- ✅ Clear risk/reward
- ✅ Obvious invalidation point
- ✅ Aligned with trend/context
**Worst trades have:**
- ❌ Single signal only
- ❌ Poor location (middle of nowhere)
- ❌ Unclear stop placement
- ❌ Counter to all context
---
## ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
**Important:**
- Past performance ≠ future results
- All trading involves risk
- Only risk what you can afford to lose
- This is a tool, not financial advice
- Use proper position sizing
- Keep a trading journal
- Consider professional advice
**Your responsibility:**
- Which setups to trade
- Position size
- Entry/exit timing
- Risk management
- Emotional control
**Success = Tool + Strategy + Discipline + Risk Management**
---
## 📝 Version History
**v1.0** - Current Release
- CVD divergences (confirmed + early warning)
- Point of Control (independent lookback)
- CVD profile histogram
- Supply/demand absorption zones
- Value area visualization
- 6 alert types
- Full customization
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## 💬 Community
**Questions?** Drop a comment below
**Success story?** Share with the community
**Feature request?** Let me know
**Bug report?** Provide details in comments
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**Happy Trading! 🚀📊**
*Professional order flow analysis in one indicator.*
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Daily & Weekly ConfluenceDaily & Weekly Confluence is a precision momentum-alignment indicator built on Stochastic RSI, designed to highlight high-probability bullish conditions when lower-timeframe momentum aligns with higher-timeframe structure. It combines live Stoch RSI signals with a forward-shifted momentum path and a robust daily/weekly confirmation system to help traders anticipate and confirm trend transitions with clarity and discipline.
Why this indicator matters
Momentum signals are most effective when they agree across timeframes. Daily & Weekly Confluence filters noise by requiring alignment between daily and weekly Stoch RSI behavior, allowing traders to focus on setups that occur within a supportive higher-timeframe context rather than reacting to isolated signals.
What the indicator shows
1. Live Stochastic RSI (%K / %D)
The indicator plots real-time Stoch RSI values for the active chart timeframe, including standard overbought and oversold reference levels. These lines represent current momentum conditions and form the basis for all signal logic.
2. Forward-shifted Stoch RSI path
A user-defined Stoch RSI pattern window is sampled from the past and drawn forward on the chart. This path visually maps how momentum previously evolved and where similar momentum behavior may re-emerge. Optional normalization keeps the path scaled to recent conditions for consistent visual interpretation.
3. Momentum cross visualization
When %K and %D intersect within the forward-shifted path, the indicator can display:
Color-cycling vertical reference lines
Small directional arrows at the crossing point
A single highlighted label marking the next upcoming cross
These visuals are designed to keep attention on momentum inflection zones, not clutter.
Multi-timeframe signal logic
Weekly signals
The indicator independently computes weekly Stoch RSI values and detects:
Confirmed bullish crosses
Near-cross conditions based on distance and slope
Daily signals
Daily bullish crosses and near-cross conditions are detected using the same logic but on the daily timeframe.
Weekly context filter (optional)
Daily signals can be restricted so they only trigger when weekly momentum is already bullish or has recently turned bullish. This alignment filter significantly reduces counter-trend signals.
Dual confirmation
When daily and weekly bullish crosses occur together, the indicator flags a high-confidence confluence event.
Alerts built for real trading
Preconfigured alert conditions include:
Weekly bullish confirmed
Weekly bullish near-cross
Daily bullish confirmed
Daily bullish near-cross
Daily signals with weekly confirmation required
Dual daily + weekly confirmation
Alerts can be configured to trigger only on confirmed bar closes for cleaner execution timing.
How to use it effectively
Use weekly signals to define directional bias
Use daily signals for timing within that bias
Treat “near-cross” alerts as early warnings, not entries
Give the highest weight to dual confirmed alignment events
This indicator is best suited for swing traders, position traders, and systematic momentum strategies that prioritize structure, confirmation, and discipline over reactive entries.
CAPEX//@version=6
indicator("美光 CapEx 噴發追蹤器", overlay=true)
// --- 輸入設定 ---
threshold = input.float(20.0, title="CapEx 噴發閾值 (%)", minval=1.0)
lookback = input.int(4, title="對比前幾季", minval=1)
// --- 取得財務數據 (資本支出 - 季度) ---
// 使用 request.financial 抓取美光的資本支出 (Capital Expenditures)
capex = request.financial("NASDAQ:MU", "CAPITAL_EXPENDITURES", "FQ")
// --- 計算變動率 ---
// 因為財務數據在圖表上是階梯狀的,我們取當前有效值
current_capex = nz(capex)
prev_capex = nz(capex )
// 計算增長率 (注意:capex 在財報是負數,所以我們取絕對值來計算)
capex_growth = (math.abs(current_capex) - math.abs(prev_capex)) / math.abs(prev_capex) * 100
// --- 判斷噴發條件 ---
is_surge = capex_growth >= threshold
// --- 繪製視覺效果 ---
// 當 CapEx 噴發時,背景顯示紅色 (代表擴產警訊)
bgcolor(is_surge ? color.new(color.red, 85) : na, title="CapEx 噴發區間")
// 在圖表下方標註文字
plotshape(is_surge, style=shape.labelup, location=location.bottom, color=color.red, text="CapEx 激增", textcolor=color.white, size=size.small)
// --- 儀表板 (選用) ---
var table tb = table.new(position.top_right, 2, 2, bgcolor=color.new(color.black, 70), border_width=1)
if barstate.islast
table.cell(tb, 0, 0, "本季 CapEx:", text_color=color.white)
table.cell(tb, 1, 0, str.tostring(current_capex / 1e9, "#.##") + " B", text_color=color.red)
table.cell(tb, 0, 1, "較上季增長:", text_color=color.white)
table.cell(tb, 1, 1, str.tostring(capex_growth, "#.##") + "%", text_color=is_surge ? color.red : color.green)
Market Daily This is a high-accuracy intraday trading indicator designed for indices and stocks, built on trend + institutional levels + volatility control.
The script is non-repainting, rule-based, and suitable for live trading and paid subscriptions.
PDH/PDL Breakout Pip MeasurerThe indicator tracks and measures daily breakout performance when price breaks the Previous Day's High (PDH) or Previous Day's Low (PDL). This indicator provides exact pip/point measurements of how far breakouts travel before hitting your stop-loss, with comprehensive statistics for strategy optimization.
Function
Tracks breakouts above PDH (Previous Day's High) and below PDL (Previous Day's Low)
Measures maximum distance price travels after breakout before stop-loss hit
Calculates exact pip/point gains for every breakout move
Provides statistical analysis of breakout performance over time
Identifies only first breakout of each day for clean signals
Performance Metrics
Exact pip measurement for every breakout move
Statistics table with Count, Average, Min, Max pips
Separate tracking for bullish and bearish breakouts
Historical performance accumulation over time
Active breakout monitoring in real-time
Settings
Adjustable pip multiplier - works with any instrument (Forex, indices, crypto)
Separate stop-loss settings for bull/bear breakouts
Visual control - show/hide levels, labels, table
Built-in alerts for breakout notifications
Round Level Pro Stats
Here is a professional English description of your indicator, which you can use for your own records or if you ever want to share it on the TradingView Community Scripts:
Indicator Name: Dynamic Round Levels & Historical Strength Grid
Overview
This indicator is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to identify and evaluate "Round Number" psychological levels (e.g., 1.17100, 1.17200, 1.17300). Unlike a static grid, this tool actively scans historical data to provide a "Strength Score" for each level, helping traders distinguish between minor price points and significant historical reaction zones.
Key Features
Automated Price Grid: Generates a clean, horizontal grid based on user-defined price intervals (Steps). Perfect for Forex (0.001 pips), Stocks, or Crypto.
Historical Strength Engine: Analyzes up to 5,000 historical bars to calculate how "respected" a price level is.
The "3-Candle Confirmation" Logic: A level's strength is only increased if the price touches the line and successfully reverses/bounces, staying on the same side for at least 3 subsequent candles.
Smart Visual Coding:
Green (High Strength): Levels with >60% historical reversal success.
Orange (Medium Strength): Levels with 35%–60% success.
Red (Low Strength): Levels frequently breached without reaction.
Pro HUD Display: Bold percentage labels are positioned at the far right of the chart (near the price scale) to keep the main trading area clutter-free.
How to Use
Set your Step: For Forex, use 0.001 to see 10-pip increments. For Bitcoin or Gold, use 10 or 100.
Lookback Period: Adjust the history scan (up to 5,000 bars) to match your trading timeframe.
Identify Support/Resistance: Look for Green % STR labels. These represent "Round Numbers" that have acted as strong barriers in the past, offering higher-probability entry or exit points.
Technical Summary for Pine Script
Language: Pine Script v5
Max Lines/Labels: 500 (Optimized for performance)
Placement: Far-right margin alignment using bar_index offsets.
Rachev Regime AnalyzerRachev Regime Analyzer ~ GForge
What It Does
Measures the ratio of extreme gains to extreme losses to identify whether markets favor bulls or bears. When your best moves are bigger than your worst moves, conditions are bullish. When the opposite is true, conditions are bearish.
Simple Interpretation:
Ratio > 1.2 → Bullish regime (tail gains exceed tail losses)
Ratio < 0.8 → Bearish regime (tail losses exceed tail gains)
Between → Neutral/transitional
Key Features
Two Modes:
Single Asset: Analyze current chart
Multi-Asset: Aggregate regime across 5 assets with custom weights (great for gauging overall crypto/market conditions)
Customizable:
Lookback period (20-200 bars)
Tail percentile (what counts as "extreme")
Bullish/bearish thresholds
6 color schemes
Optional MA smoothing
Visual Signals:
Buy/sell markers at threshold crosses
Background regime coloring
Info table with current values and confidence score
Configurable alerts
How to Use
Choose lookback period based on your timeframe (40-60 bars is a good start)
Watch for threshold crosses - these mark regime changes
Check confidence score - higher = more reliable
Use multi-asset mode to see if entire market is shifting (not just one coin)
Best combined with: Trend indicators, support/resistance, volume analysis
Parameters
Lookback: More bars = smoother, less responsive
Alpha (0.10): Defines extreme events - lower = more extreme
Thresholds: Adjust based on asset volatility
Return Type: Log returns recommended for most assets
What Makes It Useful
Unlike simple volatility measures, this shows asymmetry - whether extreme moves favor upside or downside. A ratio of 1.5 means your extreme gains are 50% larger than extreme losses - that's actionable information about risk-reward dynamics.
Multi-asset aggregation is particularly powerful for crypto traders wanting to gauge if BTC, ETH, SOL, etc. are all showing similar regime characteristics.
Disclaimer
Educational tool only. Not financial advice. Use proper risk management. No indicator works in isolation - always consider broader market context.
Developed by GForge
Comments and feedback welcome! 👍
Dual-Timeframe ABR DashboardDual-Timeframe ABR Dashboard 是一款专为日内交易者设计的波动率参考工具,用于同时评估当前周期与日线级别的平均K线波幅(ABR)。
该指标基于 Average Bar Range(高低差的简单平均),帮助交易者快速判断:
单根K线的“正常”波动范围
当前价格相对于 ABR 的百分比位置
当日是否已接近日线级别的常规波动极限
指标不会在图表上绘制干扰性线条,而是通过状态栏与固定表格实时展示最新 ABR 数值,适合用于:
目标利润(TP)与止盈管理
趋势是否具备延续空间的判断
避免在“已走完波幅”的位置追价入场
这是一个为实盘决策服务,而非视觉美观的专业级日内交易辅助指标。
======================================================================
Dual-Timeframe ABR Dashboard is a volatility reference tool designed specifically for day traders, providing a clear view of Average Bar Range (ABR) on both the current timeframe and the daily timeframe.
By measuring the simple average of each bar’s high–low range, this indicator helps traders quickly assess:
What constitutes a “normal” bar movement on the active timeframe
Current price movement expressed as a percentage of ABR
Whether the session has already consumed most of its typical daily range
Instead of plotting lines on the chart, the indicator presents real-time ABR values via the status line and a fixed dashboard table, keeping the chart clean and execution-focused.
This tool is particularly useful for:
Profit target and trade management
Evaluating remaining trend potential during the session
Avoiding late entries after the daily range is largely exhausted
Built for practical intraday decision-making, not visual clutter.
ADX Regime (5m) Companion PaneADX Regime Filter (5-Minute) — Trade Permission Indicator
This indicator is a market regime filter designed to answer one question only:
Is this market worth trading right now?
It is built specifically for intraday futures trading, with a strong focus on Gold (GC / MGC) and prop-firm style discipline.
What This Indicator Does
This ADX indicator does not give buy or sell signals.
Instead, it tells you when to trade and when to stand down.
Gold spends a large portion of the day in compression or VWAP chop.
Trading during those periods destroys consistency and drawdown control.
This indicator helps you avoid those conditions.
How ADX Is Used Here
ADX is calculated on the 5-minute timeframe
It measures trend strength and expansion, not direction
Direction should come from structure or higher-timeframe bias, not ADX
ADX is used strictly as a permission filter.
ADX Zones Explained
The indicator includes clear horizontal reference levels:
Below 18
Compression / chop
No trade environment
20 to 35
Optimal expansion zone
Best conditions for pullbacks and continuations
35 to 45
Strong trend
Trade cautiously or only first pullbacks
Above 45
Late expansion or news-driven volatility
No new entries recommended
These zones are visual guides to keep trading decisions objective.
What This Indicator Is NOT
It is not a signal generator
It is not an entry tool
It is not predictive
ADX does not tell you what direction to trade.
It tells you whether trading is allowed at all.
Best Practices
Use ADX on the 5-minute chart
Combine it with:
Higher-timeframe trend
VWAP or key levels
Clear price action
If ADX is below 18, standing aside is a valid trade decision
Who This Indicator Is For
Futures traders
Prop firm traders
Traders who value:
Capital protection
Fewer but higher-quality trades
Consistency over activity
Core Principle
ADX is a gatekeeper.
When it says no, you do nothing.
When it says yes, you still wait for structure and location.
This mindset alone can dramatically improve discipline and results.
ZERO LANG Nube EMA 18-36 + Volumen EstrictoThis indicator is designed to show market trends using a cloud pattern. When the price retests the cloud and bounces back across it with high volume, it generates a buy signal, and vice versa when the price falls.
It uses the 18-period EMA and the 36-period EMA.
Drawdown % + STD Bands: Log-Scale Macro ToolDrawdown % + STD Bands: Log-Scale Macro ToolDescription: The exact indicator big-macro accounts use: tracks real-time drawdown from the rolling 252-period peak, then plots -1σ (blue) and -2σ (orange) bands on a clean percent scale. Built for weekly charts-shows if a stock, index, or crypto is statistically cheap (hit -1σ) or generational-buy territory (-2σ). Works flawlessly on SPX, Nasdaq, Bitcoin, Gold, Tesla... anything. How to Use (read it aloud like a voice memo): 1. Slap this under any chart, set to weekly timeframe . 2. Flip the price pane to log scale -zero negotiations. 3. Watch the thick red line: • Hovering 0 %? Bullish noise, chill. • Kissing blue (-10 % to -25 %)? Start loading-happens every 1-2 years. • Touching orange (-30 %+)? Panic sale finished. Buy like rent money's burning a hole. 4. Zoom out five-ten years; monthly works too if you want lazy vibes. Daily? Trash-too twitchy. Pro tip: Name your watchlist Panic Plays, drop this in, and ping me when MELI or GOOGL hits orange. I'll confirm if it's actually stupid-cheap.
UVOL Thrust TrackerUVOL Thrust Tracker identifies institutional breadth thrusts using NYSE up-volume as a percentage of total volume (USI:UVOL / USI:TVOL), plotted directly on price.
The indicator highlights:
TRUE 90% UVOL thrusts (rare, high-conviction breadth events)
Surrogate thrust clusters (multi-day 80–89% participation)
Cluster failures (momentum that fails to expand)
Structural thrust failures (2022-style false starts)
A regime filter based on the chart symbol’s moving averages separates bull vs bear environments, dynamically adjusting thresholds and failure logic.
This tool is designed for regime confirmation and risk management, not short-term entries. TRUE thrusts typically confirm trend continuation, while failures warn when breadth support breaks down.
Note: This indicator is intended for regime and risk assessment, not precise entries or exits.
Relative Strength vs S&P 500 (SPX/ES) Relative Strength vs S&P 500
This indicator measures the relative performance of an asset compared to the S&P 500, helping traders and investors identify whether an asset is outperforming or underperforming the broader market.
The calculation is based on a price ratio between the selected asset and the S&P 500, optionally normalized to a base value (100) for easier interpretation.
How to read it:
Above the baseline (100) → the asset is outperforming the S&P 500
Below the baseline (100) → the asset is underperforming the S&P 500
Rising line → strengthening relative performance
Falling line → weakening relative performance
Why it’s useful:
Helps focus on market leaders, not just assets that “look cheap”
Filters trades and investments in the direction of relative strength
Useful for swing trading, long-term investing, and portfolio allocation
Widely used in institutional and professional asset management
This indicator is best used as a trend and selection filter, in combination with technical setups (support/resistance, VWAP, structure).
9 HMA Direction Scalper (Pure Flip)new easier 9hma directional pure flip, it will help you with scalping short trends
Squeeze Momentum + MACD Balancedcombines Squeeze Momentum and MACD, scaling the MACD to visually match the Squeeze Momentum histogram. I went through your code and it looks mostly correct, but I can give you a few notes and potential improvements to make it cleaner and more robust:
GEMINI Advanced SMA with Trend & AlertsDescription:
This indicator is a professional Trend & Signal analysis tool designed to help traders identify market direction, entries, and momentum strength at a glance. It combines a customizable dual Moving Average system with an advanced real-time Information Dashboard.
The script is built to keep charts clean while providing maximum data through the on-screen panel.
📈 Key Features
1. Dual Moving Average System
Fast MA (Signal Line): Acts as the primary trigger for entries.
Slow MA (Trend Baseline): Filters the overall market direction.
Visual Cloud: The area between the two MAs is filled with color (Green/Red) to visualize the trend strength and potential support/resistance zones.
Flexibility: You can choose between SMA, EMA, HMA, WMA, or RMA for both lines independently.
2. Professional Data Dashboard A customizable table positioned on your chart provides real-time analytics:
Price Action: Immediate Bullish/Bearish status.
MA Status: Shows if the Fast and Slow MAs are currently Rising or Falling.
Exact Levels: Displays the precise price values of the MAs.
Spread Analysis: Monitors the gap between the Fast and Slow MA ("Expanding" vs "Squeezing") to help identify momentum acceleration or exhaustion.
3. Signals & Alerts
BUY Signal: Generated when the Price crosses OVER the Fast MA.
SELL Signal: Generated when the Price crosses UNDER the Fast MA.
Alerts: Fully compatible with TradingView alerts for automation.
4. Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Support You can calculate the Moving Averages based on a higher timeframe (e.g., viewing 4-hour MAs while trading on a 15-minute chart) to stay aligned with the macro trend.
🛠 How to Use
Trend Identification: Look at the "Cloud" color. Green indicates an uptrend context; Red indicates a downtrend context.
Entry Points: Use the "BUY" and "SELL" labels.
Pro Tip: Take BUY signals only when the Cloud is Green (trading with the trend).
Pro Tip: Take SELL signals only when the Cloud is Red.
Momentum Check: Use the Dashboard to see if the Spread is "EXPANDING" (strong momentum) or "SQUEEZING" (potential consolidation or reversal).
⚙️ Settings
Fast/Slow Length & Type: Fully customizable periods and MA types.
MTF: Enable/Disable higher timeframe calculations.
Dashboard: You can toggle the table visibility, change its size (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large), and move it to any corner of the screen.
Disclaimer: This tool is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
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