Megabar Breakout (Range & Volume & RSI)Hey there,
This strategy is based on the idea that certain events lead to what are called Megabars. Megabars are bars that have a very large range and volume. I wanted to verify whether these bars indicate the start of a trend and whether one should follow the trend.
Summary of the Code:
The code is based on three indicators: the range of the bar, the volume of the bar, and the RSI. When certain values of these indicators are met, a Megabar is identified. The direction of the Megabar indicates the direction in which we should trade.
Why do I combine these indicators?
I want to identify special bars that have the potential to mark the beginning of a breakout. Therefore, a bar needs to exhibit high volume, have a large range (huge price movement), and we also use the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to assess potential momentum. Only if all three criteria are met within one candle, do we use this as an identifier for a megabar.
Explanation of Drawings on the Chart:
As you can see, there is a green background on my chart. The green background symbolizes the time when I'm entering a trade. Only if a Megabar happens during that time, I'm ready to enter a trade. The time is between 6 AM and 4 PM CET. It's just because I prefer that time. Also, the strategy draws an error every time a Megabar happens based on VOL and Range only (not on the RSI). That makes it pretty easy to go through your chart and check the biggest bars manually. You can activate or deactivate these settings via the input data of the strategy.
When Do We Enter a Trade?
We wait for a Megabar to happen during our trading session. If the Megabar is bullish, we open a LONG trade at the opening price of the next candle. If the Megabar is bearish, we open a SHORT trade at the opening price of the next candle.
Where Do We Put Our Take Profit & Stop Loss?
The default setting is TP = 40 Pips and SL = 30 Pips. In that case, we are always trading with a risk-reward ratio of 1.33 by default. You can easily change these settings via the input data of the strategy.
Strategy Results
The criteria for Megabars were chosen by me in a way that makes Megabars something special. They are not intended to occur too frequently, as the fundamental idea of this strategy would otherwise not hold. This results in only 37 closed trades within the last 12 months. If you change the criterias for a megabar to a milder one, you will create more Megabars and therefore more trades. It's up to you. I have adapted this strategy to the 30-minute chart of the EURUSD. In the evaluation, we consider a period of 12 months, which I believe is sufficient.
My default settings for the indicators look like this:
Avg Length Vol 20
Avg Multiplier Vol 3
Avg Length Range 20
Avg Multiplier Range 4
Value SMA RSI for Long Trades 50
Value SMA RSI for Short Trades 70
IMPORTANT: The current performance overview does not display the results of these settings. Please change the settings to my default ones so that you can see how I use this strategy.
I do not recommend trading this strategy without further testing. The script is meant to reflect a basic idea and be used as a tool to identify Megabars. I have made this strategy completely public so that it can be further developed. One can take this framework and test it on different timeframes and different markets.
Breakoutsignal
London BreakOut ClassicHey there, this is my first time publishing a strategy. The strategy is based on the London Breakout Idea, an incredibly popular concept with abundant information available online.
Let me summarize the London Breakout Strategy in a nutshell: It involves identifying key price levels based on the Tokyo Session before the London Session starts. Typically, these key levels are the high and low of the previous Tokyo session. If a breakout occurs during the London session, you simply follow the trend.
The purpose of this code
After conducting my research, I came across numerous posts, videos, and articles discussing the London Breakout Strategy. I aimed to automatically test it myself to verify whether the claims made by these so-called trading gurus are accurate or not. Consequently, I wrote this script to gain an understanding of how this strategy would perform if I were to follow its basic settings blindly.
Explanation of drawings on the chart:
Red or Green Box: A box is drawn on our chart displaying the exact range of the Tokyo trading session. This box is colored red if the trend during the session was downward and green if it was upward. The box is always drawn between the high and the low between 0:00 AM and 7:00 AM UTC. You can change the settings via the Inputs "Session time Tokyo" & "Session time zone".
Green Background: The green background represents the London trading session. My code allows us to make entries only during this time. If we haven't entered a trade, any pending orders are canceled. I've also programmed a timeout at 11 pm to ensure every trade is closed before the new Tokyo session begins.
Red Line: The red line is automatically placed in the middle of our previous Tokyo range. This line acts as our stop loss. If we cross this line after entering a trade but before reaching our take profit, we'll be stopped out.
When do we enter a trade?
We wait for a candle body to close outside of the previous Tokyo range to enter a trade with the opening of the next candle. We only enter one trade per day.
Where do we put our Take Profit?
The code calculates the exact distance between our entry point and the stop loss. We are trading a risk-reward ratio of 1:1 by default, meaning our take profit is always the same number of pips away from our entry as the stop loss. The Stop Loss is always defined by the red line on the chart. You can change the risk-reward ratio via the inputs setting "CRV", to see how the result changes.
What is the purpose of this script?
I wanted to backtest the London breakout strategy to see how it actually works. Therefore, I wrote this code so that everybody can test it for themselves. You can change the settings and see how the result changes. Typically, you should test this strategy on forex markets and on either 1Min, 5 Min, or 15 Min timeframe.
What are the results?
Over the last 3-6 months (over 100 trades), trading the strategy with my default settings hasn't proven to be very successful. Consequently, I do not recommend trading this strategy blindly. The purpose of this code is to provide you with a foundation for the London Breakout Strategy, allowing you to modify and enhance it according to your preferences. If you're contemplating whether to give it a try, you can assess the results from the past months by using this code as a starting point.
Open DriveOpen Drive is a market profile concept introduced by Jim Dalton. It occurs when the price moves directionally and persistently for the first 30 minutes from the cash market open.
It is necessary to use 30-minute bars as there needs to be enough time to measure an extreme move of the cash open. This means there will be fewer trades than other strategies using faster time periodicities.
The script finds open drives from these time points 0700/ 0800 and 1300/1430.
The entry signal also has a breakout threshold using the 5-bar high and 5-bar low to only take trades moving away from the prior 5-bar range. This weeds out most mid-range trades and small range expansion bars.
If the price has had a strong move from the open and has broken either below the prior 5-bar low or above the prior 5-bar high by an amount equal to the prior 5-bar range a trade is entered in the direction of the move.
The Exit criteria; exit after 3 bars which is 90mins when using a 30min periodicity.
Note, this script is shared to show that momentum generated on or around the cash open tends to persist. The entry and exits of this strategy are quite naive but there are plenty of ways to take more aggressive entries on faster time frames when an open drive occurs. The times chosen for this strategy will suit stock index futures mainly. The user can experiment with other futures products and their corresponding pit/ cash open hours.
Google "open drive market profile" for more information on open drives and market profile concepts.
Happy trading!
Trend Following with Donchian Channels and MACDThis is a trend following system based on the Donchian Channels. Instead of using a simple moving average crossover, this system uses the MACD as the trendfilter:
Long positions:
* Price makes a new 50 day high,
* The MACD-line crosses above or is above the Signal-line.
* Both the MACD and the Signal-lines are above the zero-line.
Short positions:
* Price makes a new 50 day low,
* The MACD-line crosses below or is below the Signal-line.
* Both the MACD and the Signal-lines are below the zero-line.
Stoploss:
The initial and the trailing stoploss are 4 ATRs away from the price.
Keltner Channel [LINKUSDT] 1HThis is a long-only strategy tested on LINK/USDT, 1 hour bar, from Feb 2019. The entry is determined by the breakout of upper Keltnel Channel and when the +DI is higher than 32. Instead of a fixed stop-loss from the original script , I change the exit to the middle band of the Keltnel Channel. 1st profit target will close 20% of the position. 2nd profit target will close 30% of the position. While the remaining 50% position will be closed when the price closes below the middle band of the Keltnel Channel, to take advantage of big trend. All parameters are adjustable. I added another option to enable or disable the ribbon trend filter.
My thoughts: For the same period, LINK appreciated 3000%. So I guess most in and out strategies couldn’t beat a buy and hold strategy during this period. But this doesn’t mean that this strategy is not feasible as each strategy is designed to only take advantage of a certain pattern or behavior of the market. Also, short term strategies allow you to use leverage and hence enable you to use you capital efficiently. Commission is set to 0.1%, taking account of the slippage.
Suggestion: Please perform walk forward analysis before you use real money for trading. Parameters need to be adjusted from time to time depends on your analysis. Can try using ATR for profit targets as over a longer term, the volatility might drop hence a high fixed % profit targets might not be realistic.
Any suggestions are welcome!
Soldiers Pattern ModifiedThis can be perceived as modified 3 soldiers, relaxed NR4 or even extended harami candlestick pattern.
Works for any instrument and any timeframe.
The idea is to find out any number of candles having their individual highs and lows, all within high and low range of base candle.
The count of soldiers and if they must be of same color, both can be configured.
Additional configurable settings is to add further check of having body of soldiers as well within body of base candle.
Trading strategy: Trade high or low breakout of base candle, having other as stop loss, for a risk reward ratio of 1:2.
2 Candles Inside ATR2 agitated candles falling inside ATR range, awaiting possibly a big move.
Buy / Sell signals at combined high / low can be used as order with other as stop loss.
Counter trade, when this minimal stop loss is hit, is also as useful. However, wait till the SL candle closes, before opening position on the other side.
Works quite well on 15 mins chart, with settings of ATR duration 25 and multiplier 0.6. These settings are configurable, so feel free.
Trend Following BreakoutEasy Trend Following Strategy using Highs and Lows breakout of the last X candles to enter and exit trades.
You can easily change the ENTRY and EXIT value in order to find the best settings.
This strategy seems to be working well for $BTC and $ETH on the 4H and 1D.
I didn't play with it too much as I am testing script to trade on the 15 minutes chart with margin. This script can't do this successfully but I hope it can be helpful for what you want to achieve.
Donchain BreakoutIt is a long only strategy.
1. Buy when price breaks out of the upper band.
2. Exit has two options. Option 1 allows you to exit using lower band. Option 2 allows you to exit using basis line.
3. Slippage and commissions are not considered in the return calculation.
