E9 Shark-32 PatternUnderstanding the Shark-32 Pattern and its Trading Applications
The Shark-32 Pattern is a bearish technical trading formation used to predict market reversals or trend continuations. It highlights a downward move followed by a corrective rally, signaling a potential resumption of the downtrend. Here’s a breakdown of how it works:
What is the Shark-32 Pattern?
The Shark-32 pattern is a five-wave structure typically observed in bearish markets:
Wave 0 to X: A significant price decline starts the pattern.
Wave X to A: A correction pushes the price slightly upward.
Wave A to B: The price drops again but doesn’t reach the initial low.
Wave B to C: A final sharp decline concludes the pattern.
Once Wave C is formed, it suggests that the market will continue to move downward, presenting a potential selling or shorting opportunity.
Using the Pattern in Trading
This pattern is valuable for traders seeking high-probability bearish setups. The goal is to capitalize on the continuation of a downtrend following the corrective rally (X to A). Identifying the Shark-32 pattern helps anticipate the next wave of selling pressure.
Trading Setup
Identify a Shark-32 pattern.
If the price closes above the pattern's high, buy at the open the next day.
If the price closes below the pattern's low, short at the open the next day.
Sell/cover when the price moves 7% in the direction of the breakout.
Close the trade for a loss if the price moves 7% in the opposite direction.
For example, in a bull market after an upward breakout from a Shark-32, the net gain was $69.55. The method won 56% of the time with 5,218 winning trades and an average gain of $714.07. Conversely, 44% of trades were losers, with an average loss of $747.33. The average holding period was 26 calendar days.
The gains and losses were closely aligned with the 7% threshold set for this test.
Key Target Levels
To enhance the strategy, use dotted projection lines as target levels:
Upper Target: Drawn above the high of the corrective rally (Wave A). If the price breaks above this line, it may signal further upward movement, indicating a potentially weaker downtrend.
Lower Target: Positioned below the low of Wave C, providing a target for bearish trades.
These lines help determine future price targets and assist in setting take-profit or stop-loss levels.
Trading the Breakout
Look for breakouts once the Shark-32 pattern is identified:
Upward Breakout: If the price closes above the green line (high from two bars ago), it indicates a potential reversal to the upside.
Downward Breakout: If the price breaks below the red line (low from two bars ago), it confirms the bearish continuation.
Breakouts allow traders to adjust their positions based on market shifts.
Trading Tips
Continuation: The Shark-32 pattern acts as a continuation 60% of the time, confirming the ongoing trend.
Breakout Confirmation: Wait for the price to close above or below the pattern’s key levels before entering a trade.
Trade with the Trend: Since the Shark-32 is a continuation pattern, expect the breakout to align with the inbound price trend.
Symmetry: Patterns with symmetry often perform better. For more insights, refer to detailed trading literature.
Half-Staff: The Shark-32 can form midway in a trend, similar to flags and pennants.
Shark-32: Trading Performance
Based on an analysis of 23,369 trades, the following performance metrics were observed:
Bull Market with Upward Breakout: The average net profit was $69.55. This method won 56% of the time, with winning trades averaging $714.07. Losing trades, which constituted 44% of the total, had an average loss of $747.33. The average holding period was 26 calendar days.
Bull Market with Downward Breakout: The average net loss was $(76.36). This method won 43% of the time, with winning trades averaging $753.56. Losing trades, which constituted 57% of the total, had an average loss of $706.32. The average holding period was 23 calendar days.
Bear Market with Upward Breakout: The average net loss was $(89.13). This method won 46% of the time, with winning trades averaging $710.77. Losing trades, which constituted 54% of the total, had an average loss of $756.97. The average holding period was 16 calendar days.
Bear Market with Downward Breakout: The average net profit was $65.17. This method won 52% of the time, with winning trades averaging $781.62. Losing trades, which constituted 48% of the total, had an average loss of $722.41. The average holding period was 13 calendar days.
Bulkowski
M.Right Candlestick Patterns & Bulkowski Percentages 1.0Hello Traders!
As a fan of Bulkowski, I figured I'd release this for everyone's benefit as well.
The legendary candlestick pattern expert, Thomas Bulkowski, has over 35 years of trading and analysis experience and is the absolute go-to expert when it comes to candlestick pattern identification.
Bulkowski Candlestick Percentages from his site and books.
Source: Built in "All Candlestick Patterns"
In this version,
--> Added 8 Candles and removed some that are statistically insignificant and others that Bulkowski doesn't use (can add back if requested).
--> Added 2 Colors for Bullish and Bearish Continuations.
----> Assigned Colors Tested performance to Continuations.
--> Built-in Variables and Candles adjusted slightly to conform to Bulkowski pattern principles.
--> Moved inputs back to ABC order.
--> Decided to leave the theoretical performance positioning for the signal (i.e. Top for theoretically bearish ). However..
----> I adjusted the signal color to match Bulkowski's tested performance.
--> Removed Plot Close (obsolete)
--> Hover over signal to see both Theoretical and Tested Performance.
Figured I'd help give an edge to the @TradingView Community like so many before me have been able to.
Please feel free to add comments, share insight, and of course, like!
Cheers,
Mike
NR7 Indicator Based on Thomas Bulkowski's TheoriesThis NR7 indicator was built on the concept by Thomas Bulkowski and his ThePatternSite. NR7 is based on high to low price range (true range) that is the smallest of the prior 6 days (7 days total), when one NR7 shows, it means that today's candle body (low to high) is the narrowest of the past 7 days. Then if the current close is higher than the NR7's high, we call it a bullish breakout; and if the current close is lower than the NR7's low, we call it a bearish breakout. Regardless the direction, once the current close price goes above or below the high or low of the NR7 candle, we call it a "breakout" in this strategy. Bulkowski suggested on his website that only gave 7 calendar days (NOT trading days) for the symbol to breakout after NR7 occurs, and if the underlying asset does not breakout within 7 calendar days after one NR7 occurs, we would abandon this NR7 signal and start recounting again.
Since most securities/indexes do not trade on the weekends and have no data available, I switched 7 calendar days breakout limit to 5 trading days breakout limit, which will work on most assets. However, if you are trading cryptocurrencies or forex which have data on the weekends, feel free to add 2 more days to finish the NR7 count, all you have to do is to add "Buy6", "Buy7", "Sell6" and "Sell7" under line 11 and line 17, then add the senarioes under those "if" statements.
Every "NR7" will show up on the chart with a cross symbol and text next to it, then green arrowups show bullish signals and red arrowdowns show bearish signals. Bulkowski also added a "CPI" index on his NR7 strategy, this indicator does not include that "CPI equation" for simplicity purposes and other time frame tradings other than just weekly signals. Please like and share this script, let me know if any questions, thanks!
[naoligo] 10x MA (H, D, W, M)This one is based on "Generic 8x MA Plotter" indicator, by @LazyBear.
It will plot three Moving Averages based on current time interval and seven based on chosen periods by hour, day, week and month. You will be able to see where is, for example, a 50 days SMA when using a 5 minutes time interval chart. I find it very useful to analyze, in a snap, possible price ranges and enter/exit points. All reference values are from setups known and used by traders.
Cons: Use it wisely, because if you choose to plot all the 10 Moving Averages, he will consume a lot of the computer resources.
Enjoy!!
Edit: I forgot to mention that you can choose between EMA or SMA for each time interval, that are distributed in:
2x MA Hour;
2x MA Day;
2x MA Week;
1x MA Month.
I've tried to keep the code as simple as possible, so you can increase that number or modify the Moving Average that each time interval will use.
Peace!
[naoligo] Pivot Points (Daily)Suporte/Resistência do Pivot diário para gráficos intraday
Marcação do S/R tradicional e S/R Fibonacci
Daily Pivot Point Support/Resistances on intraday charts
Both Traditional and Fibonacci methods plotted
Downside Weekly ReversalBased on Thomas Bulkowski's top ranking small pattern: the Downside Weekly Reversal pattern.
Add this indicator to your weekly charts.
Blue bars represent weekly reversals and green bars following blue bars indicate an upside breakout. These are to be traded in a Bull market.
Red bars following blue bars indicate a downside breakout. These are to be traded in a Bear market.
More details: thepatternsite.com
