CFB-Adaptive, Williams %R w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]CFB-Adaptive, Williams %R w/ Dynamic Zones is a Jurik-Composite-Fractal-Behavior-Adaptive Williams % Range indicator with Dynamic Zones. These additions to the WPR calculation reduce noise and return a signal that is more viable than WPR alone.
What is Williams %R?
Williams %R , also known as the Williams Percent Range, is a type of momentum indicator that moves between 0 and -100 and measures overbought and oversold levels. The Williams %R may be used to find entry and exit points in the market. The indicator is very similar to the Stochastic oscillator and is used in the same way. It was developed by Larry Williams and it compares a stock’s closing price to the high-low range over a specific period, typically 14 days or periods.
What is Composite Fractal Behavior ( CFB )?
All around you mechanisms adjust themselves to their environment. From simple thermostats that react to air temperature to computer chips in modern cars that respond to changes in engine temperature, r.p.m.'s, torque, and throttle position. It was only a matter of time before fast desktop computers applied the mathematics of self-adjustment to systems that trade the financial markets.
Unlike basic systems with fixed formulas, an adaptive system adjusts its own equations. For example, start with a basic channel breakout system that uses the highest closing price of the last N bars as a threshold for detecting breakouts on the up side. An adaptive and improved version of this system would adjust N according to market conditions, such as momentum, price volatility or acceleration.
Since many systems are based directly or indirectly on cycles, another useful measure of market condition is the periodic length of a price chart's dominant cycle, (DC), that cycle with the greatest influence on price action.
The utility of this new DC measure was noted by author Murray Ruggiero in the January '96 issue of Futures Magazine. In it. Mr. Ruggiero used it to adaptive adjust the value of N in a channel breakout system. He then simulated trading 15 years of D-Mark futures in order to compare its performance to a similar system that had a fixed optimal value of N. The adaptive version produced 20% more profit!
This DC index utilized the popular MESA algorithm (a formulation by John Ehlers adapted from Burg's maximum entropy algorithm, MEM). Unfortunately, the DC approach is problematic when the market has no real dominant cycle momentum, because the mathematics will produce a value whether or not one actually exists! Therefore, we developed a proprietary indicator that does not presuppose the presence of market cycles. It's called CFB (Composite Fractal Behavior) and it works well whether or not the market is cyclic.
CFB examines price action for a particular fractal pattern, categorizes them by size, and then outputs a composite fractal size index. This index is smooth, timely and accurate
Essentially, CFB reveals the length of the market's trending action time frame. Long trending activity produces a large CFB index and short choppy action produces a small index value. Investors have found many applications for CFB which involve scaling other existing technical indicators adaptively, on a bar-to-bar basis.
What is Jurik Volty used in the Juirk Filter?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included:
Bar coloring
3 signal variations w/ alerts
Divergences w/ alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
ابحث في النصوص البرمجية عن "algo"
Intermediate Williams %R w/ Discontinued Signal Lines [Loxx]Intermediate Williams %R w/ Discontinued Signal Lines is a Williams %R indicator with advanced options:
-Williams %R smoothing, 30+ smoothing algos found here:
-Williams %R signal, 30+ smoothing algos found here:
-DSL lines with smoothing or fixed overbought/oversold boundaries, smoothing algos are EMA and FEMA
-33 Expanded Source Type inputs including Heiken-Ashi and Heiken-Ashi Better, found here:
What is Williams %R?
Williams %R, also known as the Williams Percent Range, is a type of momentum indicator that moves between 0 and -100 and measures overbought and oversold levels. The Williams %R may be used to find entry and exit points in the market. The indicator is very similar to the Stochastic oscillator and is used in the same way. It was developed by Larry Williams and it compares a stock’s closing price to the high-low range over a specific period, typically 14 days or periods.
Included:
-Toggle on/off bar coloring
-Toggle on/off signal line
OrdinaryLeastSquaresLibrary "OrdinaryLeastSquares"
One of the most common ways to estimate the coefficients for a linear regression is to use the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method.
This library implements OLS in pine. This implementation can be used to fit a linear regression of multiple independent variables onto one dependent variable,
as long as the assumptions behind OLS hold.
solve_xtx_inv(x, y) Solve a linear system of equations using the Ordinary Least Squares method.
This function returns both the estimated OLS solution and a matrix that essentially measures the model stability (linear dependence between the columns of 'x').
NOTE: The latter is an intermediate step when estimating the OLS solution but is useful when calculating the covariance matrix and is returned here to save computation time
so that this step doesn't have to be calculated again when things like standard errors should be calculated.
Parameters:
x : The matrix containing the independent variables. Each column is regarded by the algorithm as one independent variable. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
y : The matrix containing the dependent variable. This matrix can only contain one dependent variable and can therefore only contain one column. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
Returns: Returns both the estimated OLS solution and a matrix that essentially measures the model stability (xtx_inv is equal to (X'X)^-1).
solve(x, y) Solve a linear system of equations using the Ordinary Least Squares method.
Parameters:
x : The matrix containing the independent variables. Each column is regarded by the algorithm as one independent variable. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
y : The matrix containing the dependent variable. This matrix can only contain one dependent variable and can therefore only contain one column. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
Returns: Returns the estimated OLS solution.
standard_errors(x, y, beta_hat, xtx_inv) Calculate the standard errors.
Parameters:
x : The matrix containing the independent variables. Each column is regarded by the algorithm as one independent variable. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
y : The matrix containing the dependent variable. This matrix can only contain one dependent variable and can therefore only contain one column. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
beta_hat : The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) solution provided by solve_xtx_inv() or solve().
xtx_inv : This is (X'X)^-1, which means we take the transpose of the X matrix, multiply that the X matrix and then take the inverse of the result.
This essentially measures the linear dependence between the columns of the X matrix.
Returns: The standard errors.
estimate(x, beta_hat) Estimate the next step of a linear model.
Parameters:
x : The matrix containing the independent variables. Each column is regarded by the algorithm as one independent variable. The row count of 'x' and 'y' must match.
beta_hat : The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) solution provided by solve_xtx_inv() or solve().
Returns: Returns the new estimate of Y based on the linear model.
Average Down [Zeiierman]AVERAGING DOWN
Averaging down is an investment strategy that involves buying additional contracts of an asset when the price drops. This way, the investor increases the size of their position at discounted prices. The averaging down strategy is highly debated among traders and investors because it can either lead to huge losses or great returns. Nevertheless, averaging down is often used and favored by long-term investors and contrarian traders. With careful/proper risk management, averaging down can cover losses and magnify the returns when the asset rebounds. However, the main concern for a trader is that it can be hard to identify the difference between a pullback or the start of a new trend.
HOW DOES IT WORK
Averaging down is a method to lower the average price at which the investor buys an asset. A lower average price can help investors come back to break even quicker and, if the price continues to rise, get an even bigger upside and thus increase the total profit from the trade. For example, We buy 100 shares at $60 per share, a total investment of $6000, and then the asset drops to $40 per share; in order to come back to break even, the price has to go up 50%. (($60/$40) - 1)*100 = 50%.
The power of Averaging down comes into play if the investor buys additional shares at a lower price, like another 100 shares at $40 per share; the total investment is ($6000+$4000 = $10000). The average price for the investment is now $50. (($60 x 100) + ($40 x 100))/200; in order to get back to break even, the price has to rise 25% ($50/$40)-1)*100 = 25%, and if the price continues up to $60 per share, the investor can secure a profit at 16%. So by averaging down, investors and traders can cover the losses easier and potentially have more profit to secure at the end.
THE AVERAGE DOWN TRADINGVIEW TOOL
This script/indicator/trading tool helps traders and investors to get the average price of their position. The tool works for Long and Short and displays the entry price, average price, and the PnL in points.
HOW TO USE
Use the tool to calculate the average price of your long or short position in any market and timeframe.
Get the current PnL for the investment and keep track of your entry prices.
APPLY TO CHART
When you apply the tool on the chart, you have to select five entry points, and within the setting panel, you can choose how many of these five entry points are active and how many contracts each entry has. Then, the tool will display your average price based on the entries and the number of contracts used at each price level.
LONG
Set your entries and the number of contracts at each price level. The indicator will then display all your long entries and at what price you will break even. The entry line changes color based on if the entry is in profit or loss.
SHORT
Set your entries and the number of contracts at each price level. The indicator will then display all your short entries and at what price you will break even. The entry line changes color based on if the entry is in profit or loss.
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Disclaimer
Copyright by Zeiierman.
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Example: Monte Carlo SimulationExperimental:
Example execution of Monte Carlo Simulation applied to the markets(this is my interpretation of the algo so inconsistencys may appear).
note:
the algorithm is very demanding so performance is limited.
RAT Moving Average Crossover StrategyThis is based on general moving average crossovers but some modifications made to generate buy sell signals.
Weis pip zigzag jayyWhat you see here is the Weis pip zigzag wave plotted directly on the price chart. This script is the companion to the Weis pip wave ( ) which is plotted in the lower panel of the displayed chart and can be used as an alternate way of plotting the same results. The Weis pip zigzag wave shows how far in terms of price a Weis wave has traveled through the duration of a Weis wave. The Weis pip zigzag wave is used in combination with the Weis cumulative volume wave. The two waves must be set to the same "wave size".
To use this script you must set the wave size. Using the traditional Weis method simply enter the desired wave size in the box "Select Weis Wave Size" In this example, it is set to 5. Each wave for each security and each timeframe requires its own wave size. Although not the traditional method a more automatic way to set wave size would be to use ATR. This is not the true Weis method but it does give you similar waves and, importantly, without the hassle described above. Once the Weis wave size is set then the pip wave will be shown.
I have put a pip zigzag of a 5 point Weis wave on the bar chart - that is a different script. I have added it to allow your eye to see what a Weis wave looks like. You will notice that the wave is not in straight lines connecting wave tops to bottoms this is a function of the limitations of Pinescript version 1. This script would need to be in version 4 to allow straight lines. There are too many calculations within this script to allow conversion to Pinescript version 4 or even Version 3. I am in the process of rewriting this script to reduce the number of calculations and streamline the algorithm.
The numbers plotted on the chart are calculated to be relative numbers. The script is limited to showing only three numbers vertically. Only the highest three values of a number are shown. For example, if the highest recent pip value is 12,345 only the first 3 numerals would be displayed ie 123. But suppose there is a recent value of 691. It would not be helpful to display 691 if the other wave size is shown as 123. To give the appropriate relative value the script will show a value of 7 instead of 691. This informs you of the relative magnitude of the values. This is done automatically within the script. There is likely no need to manually override the automatically calculated value. I will create a video that demonstrates the manual override method.
What is a Weis wave? David Weis has been recognized as a Wyckoff method analyst he has written two books one of which, Trades About to Happen, describes the evolution of the now popular Weis wave. The method employed by Weis is to identify waves of price action and to compare the strength of the waves on characteristics of wave strength. Chief among the characteristics of strength is the cumulative volume of the wave. There are other markers that Weis uses as well for example how the actual price difference between the start of the Weis wave from start to finish. Weis also uses time, particularly when using a Renko chart. Weis specifically uses candle or bar closes to define all wave action ie a line chart.
David Weis did a futures io video which is a popular source of information about his method.
This is the identical script with the identical settings but without the offending links. If you want to see the pip Weis method in practice then search Weis pip wave. If you want to see Weis chart in pdf then message me and I will give a link or the Weis pdf. Why would you want to see the Weis chart for May 27, 2020? Merely to confirm the veracity of my algorithm. You could compare my Weis chart here () from the same period to the David Weis chart from May 27. Both waves are for the ES!1 4 hour chart and both for a wave size of 5.
Price Action and 3 EMAs Momentum plus Sessions FilterThis indicator plots on the chart the parameters and signals of the Price Action and 3 EMAs Momentum plus Sessions Filter Algorithmic Strategy. The strategy trades based on time-series (absolute) and relative momentum of price close, highs, lows and 3 EMAs.
I am still learning PS and therefore I have only been able to write the indicator up to the Signal generation. I plan to expand the indicator to Entry Signals as well as the full Strategy.
The strategy works best on EURUSD in the 15 minutes TF during London and New York sessions with 1 to 1 TP and SL of 30 pips with lots resulting in 3% risk of the account per trade. I have already written the full strategy in another language and platform and back tested it for ten years and it was profitable for 7 of the 10 years with average profit of 15% p.a which can be easily increased by increasing risk per trade. I have been trading it live in that platform for over two years and it is profitable.
Contributions from experienced PS coders in completing the Indicator as well as writing the Strategy and back testing it on Trading View will be appreciated.
STRATEGY AND INDICATOR PARAMETERS
Three periods of 12, 48 and 96 in the 15 min TF which are equivalent to 3, 12 and 24 hours i.e (15 min * period / 60 min) are the foundational inputs for all the parameters of the PA & 3 EMAs Momentum + SF Algo Strategy and its Indicator.
3 EMAs momentum parameters and conditions
• FastEMA = ema of 12 periods
• MedEMA = ema of 48 periods
• SlowEMA = ema of 96 periods
• All the EMAs analyse price close for up to 96 (15 min periods) equivalent to 24 hours
• There’s Upward EMA momentum if price close > FastEMA and FastEMA > MedEMA and MedEMA > SlowEMA
• There’s Downward EMA momentum if price close < FastEMA and FastEMA < MedEMA and MedEMA < SlowEMA
PA momentum parameters and conditions
• HH = Highest High of 48 periods from 1st closed bar before current bar
• LL = Lowest Low of 48 periods from 1st closed bar from current bar
• Previous HH = Highest High of 84 periods from 12th closed bar before current bar
• Previous LL = Lowest Low of 84 periods from 12th closed bar before current bar
• All the HH & LL and prevHH & prevLL are within the 96 periods from the 1st closed bar before current bar and therefore indicative of momentum during the past 24 hours
• There’s Upward PA momentum if price close > HH and HH > prevHH and LL > prevLL
• There’s Downward PA momentum if price close < LL and LL < prevLL and HH < prevHH
Signal conditions and Status (BuySignal, SellSignal or Neutral)
• The strategy generates Buy or Sell Signals if both 3 EMAs and PA momentum conditions are met for each direction and these occur during the London and New York sessions
• BuySignal if price close > FastEMA and FastEMA > MedEMA and MedEMA > SlowEMA and price close > HH and HH > prevHH and LL > prevLL and timeinrange (LDN&NY) else Neutral
• SellSignal if price close < FastEMA and FastEMA < MedEMA and MedEMA < SlowEMA and price close < LL and LL < prevLL and HH < prevHH and timeinrange (LDN&NY) else Neutral
Entry conditions and Status (EnterBuy, EnterSell or Neutral)(NOT CODED YET)
• ENTRY IS NOT AT THE SIGNAL BAR but at the current bar tick price retracement to FastEMA after the signal
• EnterBuy if current bar tick price <= FastEMA and current bar tick price > prevHH at the time of the Buy Signal
• EnterSell if current bar tick price >= FastEMA and current bar tick price > prevLL at the time of the Sell Signal
NAND PerceptronExperimental NAND Perceptron based upon Python template that aims to predict NAND Gate Outputs. A Perceptron is one of the foundational building blocks of nearly all advanced Neural Network layers and models for Algo trading and Machine Learning.
The goal behind this script was threefold:
To prove and demonstrate that an ACTUAL working neural net can be implemented in Pine, even if incomplete.
To pave the way for other traders and coders to iterate on this script and push the boundaries of Tradingview strategies and indicators.
To see if a self-contained neural network component for parameter optimization within Pinescript was hypothetically possible.
NOTE: This is a highly experimental proof of concept - this is NOT a ready-made template to include or integrate into existing strategies and indicators, yet (emphasis YET - neural networks have a lot of potential utility and potential when utilized and implemented properly).
Hardcoded NAND Gate outputs with Bias column (X0):
// NAND Gate + X0 Bias and Y-true
// X0 // X1 // X2 // Y
// 1 // 0 // 0 // 1
// 1 // 0 // 1 // 1
// 1 // 1 // 0 // 1
// 1 // 1 // 1 // 0
Column X0 is bias feature/input
Column X1 and X2 are the NAND Gate
Column Y is the y-true values for the NAND gate
yhat is the prediction at that timestep
F0,F1,F2,F3 are the Dot products of the Weights (W0,W1,W2) and the input features (X0,X1,X2)
Learning rate and activation function threshold are enabled by default as input parameters
Uncomment sections for more training iterations/epochs:
Loop optimizations would be amazing to have for a selectable length for training iterations/epochs but I'm not sure if it's possible in Pine with how this script is structured.
Error metrics and loss have not been implemented due to difficulty with script length and iterations vs epochs - I haven't been able to configure the input parameters to successfully predict the right values for all four y-true values for the NAND gate (only been able to get 3/4; If you're able to get all four predictions to be correct, let me know, please).
// //---- REFERENCE for final output
// A3 := 1, y0 true
// B3 := 1, y1 true
// C3 := 1, y2 true
// D3 := 0, y3 true
PLEASE READ: Source article/template and main code reference:
towardsdatascience.com
towardsdatascience.com
towardsdatascience.com
Baseline-C [ID: AC-P]The "AC-P" version of jiehonglim's NNFX Baseline script is my personal customized version of the NNFX Baseline concept as part of the NNFX Algorithm stack/structure for 1D Trend Trading for Forex. Everget's JMA implementation is used for the baseline smoothing method, with optional ATR bands at 1.0x and 1.5x from the baseline.
NNFX = No Nonsense Forex
Baseline = Component of the NNFX Algorithm that consists of a single moving average
Baseline ---> Meant to be used in conjunction with ATR/C1/C2/Vol Indicator/Exit Indicator as per NNFX Algorithm setup/structure. C1 is 1st Confirmation Indicator, C2 is 2nd Confirmation Indicator.
JMA (Jurik Moving Average) is used for the baseline and slow baseline.
A slow baseline option is included, but disabled by default.
The faint orange/purple lines are 1.0x/1.5x ATR from the Baseline, and are what I use as potential TP/SL targets or to evaluate when to stay out of a trade (chop/missed entry/exit/other/ATR breach), depending on the trade setup (in conjunction with C1/C2/Vol Indicator/Exit Indicator)
This script is heavily based upon jiehonglim's NNFX Baseline script for signaling, barcoloring, and ATR.
SSL Channel option included but disabled by default (Erwinbeckers SSL component)
POC (Point of Control) from Volume Profile is included/enabled by default for both the current timeframe and 12HR timeframe
03.freeman's InfoPanel Divergence Indicator was used a reference to replace the current/previous ATR information infopanel/info draw from jiehonglim's script. I'm not sure whether I like the previous way ATR info was displayed vs how I have it currently, but it's something that is completely optional:
Specifically: I am tuning this baseline/indicator for 1D trading as part of the NNFX system, for Forex.
DO NOT USE THIS INDICATOR WITHOUT PROPER TUNING/ADJUSTMENT for your timeframe and asset class.
Note about lack of alerts:
Alerts for baseline crosses (and other crosses) have been purposefully omitted for this version upon initial publication. While getting alerts for baseline crosses under certain conditions/filtered conditions that eliminate low-importance signals and crossover whipsaw would be great, it's something I'm still looking into.
SPECIFICALLY: There are entry, exit, take profit, and continuation signal components in relation to the Baseline to the rest of the NNFX Algorithm stack (ATR/C1/C2/Vol Indicator/Exit Indicator), including but limited to the "1 candle rule" and the "7 candle rule" as per NNFX.
Implementing alerts that are significant that also factor in these rules while reducing alert spam/false signals would be ideal, but it's also the HTF/Daily chart - visually, entry/exit/continuation signal alignment is easy to spot when trading 1D - alerts may be redundant/a pursuit in diminishing returns (for now).
//-------------------------------------------------------------------
// Acknowledgements/Reference:
// jiehonglim, NNFX Baseline Script - Moving Averages
//
// Fractured, Many Moving Averages
//
// everget, Jurik Moving Average/JMA
//
// 03.freeman, InfoPanel Divergence Indicator
//
// Ggqmna Volume stops
//
// Libertus RSI Divs
//
// ChrisMoody, CM_Price-Action-Bars-Price Patterns That Work
//
// Erwinbeckers SSL Channel
//
Liquidation Cascade Strategy by billyLes liquidations extrêmes sur Bitcoin sont des moments rares où le marché révèle ses excès. AegisTide Pro est le premier algorithme qui capture scientifiquement ces paniques pour en faire votre allié, tout en protégeant vos gains avec une stratégie de sortie intelligente.
Smart Money Breakout Signals [AlgoAlpha]Apply the indicator to your NASDAQ chart (e.g., NAS100 or NQ futures).
Look for:
BUY/SELL signals.
Take-Profit Level (green line).
Trailing Stop Level (red line).
Consolidation zones (blue background).
Uptrend/Downtrend patterns (labeled on the chart).
NUBA 20 Nes2tilson t3 rsı ema50 - 200 Bu algoritma da her türlü çeşit var. tablodan özellikleri açıp kapatabilirsiniz.
Boilerplate Configurable Strategy [Yosiet]This is a Boilerplate Code!
Hello! First of all, let me introduce myself a little bit. I don't come from the world of finance, but from the world of information and communication technologies (ICT) where we specialize in data processing with the aim of automating it and eliminating all human factors and actors in the processes. You could say that I am an algotrader.
That said, in my journey through trading in recent years I have understood that this world is often shown to be incomplete. All those who want to learn about trading only end up learning a small part of what it really entails, they only seek to learn how to read candlesticks. Therefore, I want to share with the entire community a fraction of what I have really understood it to be.
As a computer scientist, the most important thing is the data, it is the raw material of our work and without data you simply cannot do anything. Entropy is simple: Data in -> Data is transformed -> Data out.
The quality of the outgoing data will directly depend on the incoming data, there is no greater mystery or magic in the process. In trading it is no different, because at the end of the day it is nothing more than data. As we often say, if garbage comes in, garbage comes out.
Most people focus on the results only, on the outgoing data, because in the end we all want the same thing, to make easy money. Very few pay attention to the input data, much less to the process.
Now, I am not here to delude you, because there is no bigger lie than easy money, but I am here to give you a boilerplate code that will help you create strategies where you only have to concentrate on the quality of the incoming data.
To the Point
The code is a strategy boilerplate that applies the technique that you decide to customize for the criteria for opening a position. It already has the other factors involved in trading programmed and automated.
1. The Entry
This section of the boilerplate is the one that each individual must customize according to their needs and knowledge. The code is offered with two simple, well-known strategies to exemplify how the code can be reused for your own benefits.
For the purposes of this post on tradingview, I am going to use the simplest of the known strategies in trading for entries: SMA Crossing
// SMA Cross Settings
maFast = ta.sma(close, length)
maSlow = ta.sma(open, length)
The Strategy Properties for all cases published here:
For Stock TSLA H1 From 01/01/2025 To 02/15/2025
For Crypto XMR-USDT 30m From 01/01/2025 To 02/15/2025
For Forex EUR-USD 5m From 01/01/2025 To 02/15/2025
But the goal of this post is not to sell you a dream, else to show you that the same Entry decision works very well for some and does not for others and with this boilerplate code you only have to think of entries, not exits.
2. Schedules, Days, Sessions
As you know, there are an infinite number of markets that are susceptible to the sessions of each country and the news that they announce during those sessions, so the code already offers parameters so that you can condition the days and hours of operation, filter the best time parameters for a specific market and time frame.
3. Data Filtering
The data offered in trading are numerical series presented in vectors on a time axis where an endless number of mathematical equations can be applied to process them, with matrix calculation and non-linear regressions being the best, in my humble opinion.
4. Read Fundamental Macroeconomic Events, News
The boilerplate has integration with the tradingview SDK to detect when news will occur and offers parameters so that you can enable an exclusion time margin to not operate anything during that time window.
5. Direction and Sense
In my experience I have found the peculiarity that the same algorithm works very well for a market in a time frame, but for the same market in another time frame it is only a waste of time and money. So now you can easily decide if you only want to open LONG, SHORT or both side positions and know how effective your strategy really is.
6. Reading the money, THE PURPOSE OF EVERYTHING
The most important section in trading and the reason why many clients usually hire me as a financial programmer, is reading and controlling the money, because in the end everyone wants to win and no one wants to lose. Now they can easily parameterize how the money should flow and this is the genius of this boilerplate, because it is what will really decide if an algorithm (Indicator: A bunch of math equations) for entries will really leave you good money over time.
7. Managing the Risk, The Ego Destroyer
Many trades, little money. Most traders focus on making money and none of them know about statistics and the few who do know something about it, only focus on the winrate. Well, with this code you can unlock what really matters, the true success criteria to be able to live off of trading: Profit Factor, Sortino Ratio, Sharpe Ratio and most importantly, will you really make money?
8. Managing Emotions
Finally, the main reason why many lose money is because they are very bad at managing their emotions, because with this they will no longer need to do so because the boilerplate has already programmed criteria to chase the price in a position, cut losses and maximize profits.
In short, this is a boilerplate code that already has the data processing and data output ready, you only have to worry about the data input.
“And so the trader learned: the greatest edge was not in predicting the storm, but in building a boat that could not sink.”
DISCLAIMER
This post is intended for programmers and quantitative traders who already have a certain level of knowledge and experience. It is not intended to be financial advice or to sell you any money-making script, if you use it, you do so at your own risk.
Midnight Opening Ranges[TDL]Midnight Opening Range Indicator for TradingView
Description:
The Midnight Opening Range Indicator as taught by Micheal J. Huddleston is a powerful tool designed for traders who want to analyze price action during the critical midnight to 00:30 timeframe. This indicator highlights the opening range for both the current day and previous days, providing valuable insights into market behavior during this specific period. It also calculates and displays deviations from the opening range, as well as allows for custom opening prices to be set, making it highly adaptable to your trading strategy.
Key Features:
Today's Opening Range (00:00 - 00:30):
The indicator plots the high and low of the price range between 00:00 and 00:30 for the current day.
This range is highlighted on the chart, making it easy to identify the initial market movement and potential support/resistance levels.
Previous Days' Opening Ranges:
The indicator also displays the opening ranges for previous days, allowing you to how price reacts off of previous days ranges not just todays.
This feature helps in identifying patterns or recurring behaviors in the market in which price uses this range and previous days ranges throughout the trading day.
Deviations from the Opening Range:
The indicator calculates and plots deviations from the opening range, both above and below the high and low of the range.
These deviations can be used to identify potential breakout or reversal points, giving you an edge in anticipating market moves.
Custom Opening Prices:
The indicator allows you to set custom opening prices, which can be useful if you want to analyze the market based on a specific reference point rather than the default midnight opening.
This feature is particularly useful for traders who follow alternative trading sessions or have specific entry criteria.
Customizable Visuals:
The indicator offers customizable colors and styles for the opening range, deviations, and custom opening prices, allowing you to tailor the visual representation to your preferences.
How to Use:
Identify Key Levels: Use the highlighted opening range to identify key support and resistance levels for the day.
Monitor Deviations: Watch for price movements beyond the opening range deviations to spot potential breakouts or reversals.
Previous Range Data: Use previous days to identify areas of potential AMD.
Set Custom Prices: Adjust the custom opening price to align with your trading strategy or session preferences.
Ideal For:
Day Traders: Perfect for traders who focus on the early hours of the market to capture initial momentum.
Swing Traders: Useful for identifying key levels that could influence price action over several days.
Algorithmic Traders: Can be integrated into automated trading systems to trigger trades based on the opening range and deviations.
Conclusion:
The Midnight Opening Range Indicator is an essential tool for any trader looking to gain an edge in the market by focusing on the critical midnight to 00:30 timeframe. With its ability to highlight opening ranges, calculate deviations, and accommodate custom opening prices, this indicator provides a comprehensive view of market behavior during this pivotal period. Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or algorithmic trader, this indicator will help you make more informed trading decisions.
Naive Bayes Candlestick Pattern Classifier v1.1 BETAAn intermezzo on why i made this script publication..
A : Candlestick Pattern took hours to backtest, why not using Machine Learning techniques?
B : Machine Learning, no that's gonna be really heavy bro!
A : Not really, because we use Naive Bayes.
B : The simplest, yet powerful machine learning algorithm to separate (a.k.a classify) multivariate data.
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Hello, everyone!
After deep research in extracting meaningful information from the market, I ended up building this powerful machine learning indicator based on the evolution of Bayesian Statistics. This indicator not only leverages the simplicity of Naive Bayes but also extends its application to candlestick pattern analysis, making it an invaluable tool for traders who are looking to enhance their technical analysis without spending countless hours manually backtesting each pattern on each market!.
What most interesting part is actually after learning all of likely useless methods like fibonacci, supply and demand, volume profile, etc. We always ended up back to basic like support and resistance and candlestick patterns, but with a slight twist on strategy algorithm design and statistical approach. Thus, the only reason why i made this, because i exactly know that you guys will ended up in this position as time goes by.
The essence of this indicator lies in its ability to automate the recognition and statistical evaluation of various candlestick patterns. Traditionally, traders have relied on visual inspection and manual backtesting to determine the effectiveness of patterns like Bullish Engulfing, Bearish Engulfing, Harami variations, Hammer formations, and even more complex multi-candle patterns such as Three White Soldiers, Three Black Crows, Dark Cloud Cover, and Piercing Pattern. However, these conventional methods are both time-consuming and prone to subjective bias.
To address these challenges, I employed Naive Bayes—a probabilistic classifier that, despite its simplicity, offers robust performance in various domains. Naive Bayes assumes that each feature is independent of the others given the class label, which, although a strong assumption, works remarkably well in practice, especially when the dataset is large like market data and the feature space is high-dimensional. In our case, each candlestick pattern acts as a feature that can be statistically evaluated based on its historical performance. The indicator calculates a probability that a given pattern will lead to a price reversal, by comparing the pattern’s close price to the highest or lowest price achieved in a lookahead window.
One of the standout features of this script is its flexibility. Each candlestick pattern is not only coded into the system but also comes with individual toggles to enable or disable them based on your trading strategy. This means you can choose to focus on single-candle patterns like Bullish Engulfing or more complex multi-candle formations such as Three White Soldiers, without modifying the core code. The built-in customization options allow you to adjust colors and labels for each pattern, giving you the freedom to tailor the visual output to your preference. This level of customization ensures that the indicator integrates seamlessly into your existing TradingView setup.
Moreover, the indicator isn’t just about pattern recognition—it also incorporates outcome-based learning. Every time a pattern is detected, it looks ahead a predefined number of bars to evaluate if the expected reversal actually materialized. This outcome is then stored in arrays, and over time, the script dynamically calculates the probability of success for each pattern. These probabilities are presented in a real-time updating table on your chart, which shows not only the percentage probability but also the count of historical occurrences. With this information at your fingertips, you can quickly gauge the reliability of each pattern in your chosen market and timeframe.
Another significant advantage of this approach is its speed and efficiency. While more complex machine learning models like neural networks might require heavy computational resources and longer training times, the Naive Bayes classifier in this script is lightweight, instantaneous and can be updated on the fly with each new bar. This real-time capability is essential for modern traders who need to make quick decisions in fast-paced markets.
Furthermore, by automating the process of backtesting, the indicator frees up your time to focus on other aspects of trading strategy development. Instead of manually analyzing hundreds or even thousands of candles, you can rely on the statistical power of Naive Bayes to provide you with insights on which patterns are most likely to result in profitable moves. This not only enhances your efficiency but also helps to eliminate the cognitive biases that often plague manual analysis.
In summary, this indicator represents a fusion of traditional candlestick analysis with modern machine learning techniques. It harnesses the simplicity and effectiveness of Naive Bayes to deliver a dynamic, real-time evaluation of various candlestick patterns. Whether you are a seasoned trader looking to refine your technical analysis or a beginner eager to understand market dynamics, this tool offers a powerful, customizable, and efficient solution. Welcome to a new era where advanced statistical methods meet practical trading insights—happy trading and may your patterns always be in your favor!
Note : On this current released beta version, you must manually adjust reversal percentage move based on each market. Further updates may include automated best range detection and probability.
permutation█ OVERVIEW
This library provides functions for generating permutations of string or float arrays, using an iterative approach where pine has no recursion. It supports allowing/limiting duplicate elements and handles large result sets by segmenting them into manageable chunks within custom Data types. The most combinations will vary, but the highest is around 250,000 unique combinations. depending on input array values and output length. it will return nothing if the input count is too low.
█ CONCEPTS
This library addresses two key challenges in Pine Script:
• Recursion Depth Limits: Pine has limitations on recursion depth. This library uses an iterative, stack-based algorithm to generate permutations, avoiding recursive function calls that could exceed these limits.
• Array Size Limits: Pine arrays have size restrictions. This library manages large permutation sets by dividing them into smaller segments stored within a custom Data or DataFloat type, using maps for efficient access.
█ HOW TO USE
1 — Include the Library: Add this library to your script using:
import kaigouthro/permutation/1 as permute
2 — Call the generatePermutations Function:
stringPermutations = permute.generatePermutations(array.from("a", "b", "c"), 2, 1)
floatPermutations = permute.generatePermutations(array.from(1.0, 2.0, 3.0), 2, 1)
• set : The input array of strings or floats.
• size : The desired length of each permutation.
• maxDuplicates (optional): The maximum allowed repetitions of an element within a single permutation. Defaults to 1.
3 — Access the Results: The function returns a Data (for strings) or DataFloat (for floats) object. These objects contain:
• data : An array indicating which segments are present (useful for iterating).
• segments : A map where keys represent segment indices and values are the actual permutation data within that segment.
Example: Accessing Permutations
for in stringPermutations.segments
for in currentSegment.segments
// Access individual permutations within the segment.
permutation = segmennt.data
for item in permutation
// Use the permutation elements...
█ TYPES
• PermutationState / PermutationStateFloat : Internal types used by the iterative algorithm to track the state of permutation generation.
• Data / DataFloat : Custom types to store and manage the generated permutations in segments.
█ NOTES
* The library prioritizes handling potentially large permutation sets. 250,000 i about the highest achievable.
* The segmentation logic ensures that results are accessible even when the total number of permutations exceeds Pine's array size limits.
----
Library "permutation"
This library provides functions for generating permutations of user input arrays containing either strings or floats. It uses an iterative, stack-based approach to handle potentially large sets and avoid recursion limitation. The library supports limiting the number of duplicate elements allowed in each permutation. Results are stored in a custom Data or DataFloat type that uses maps to segment large permutation sets into manageable chunks, addressing Pine Script's array size limitations.
generatePermutations(set, size, maxDuplicates)
> Generates permutations of a given size from a set of strings or floats.
Parameters:
set (array) : (array or array) The set of strings or floats to generate permutations from.
size (int) : (int) The size of the permutations to generate.
maxDuplicates (int) : (int) The maximum number of times an element can be repeated in a permutation.
Returns: (Data or DataFloat) A Data object for strings or a DataFloat object for floats, containing the generated permutations.
stringPermutations = generatePermutations(array.from("a", "b", "c"), 2, 1)
floatPermutations = generatePermutations(array.from(1.0, 2.0, 3.0), 2, 1)
generatePermutations(set, size, maxDuplicates)
Parameters:
set (array)
size (int)
maxDuplicates (int)
PermutationState
PermutationState
Fields:
data (array) : (array) The current permutation being built.
index (series int) : (int) The current index being considered in the set.
depth (series int) : (int) The current depth of the permutation (number of elements).
counts (map) : (map) Map to track the count of each element in the current permutation (for duplicates).
PermutationStateFloat
PermutationStateFloat
Fields:
data (array) : (array) The current permutation being built.
index (series int) : (int) The current index being considered in the set.
depth (series int) : (int) The current depth of the permutation (number of elements).
counts (map) : (map) Map to track the count of each element in the current permutation (for duplicates).
Data
Data
Fields:
data (array) : (array) Array to indicate which segments are present.
segments (map) : (map) Map to store permutation segments. Each segment contains a subset of the generated permutations.
DataFloat
DataFloat
Fields:
data (array) : (array) Array to indicate which segments are present.
segments (map) : (map) Map to store permutation segments. Each segment contains a subset of the generated permutations.
Shannon Entropy Volatility AnalyzerThis algorithm aims to measure market uncertainty or volatility using a Shannon entropy-based approach. 🔄📊
Entropy is a measure of disorder or unpredictability, and here we use it to evaluate the structure of price returns within a defined range of periods (window length). 🧩⏳ Thus, the goal is to detect changes to identify conditions of high or low volatility. 🔍⚡
What we seek with Shannon's formula in this algorithm is to measure market uncertainty or volatility through dynamic entropy. This measure helps us understand how unpredictable price behavior is over a given period, which is key to making informed decisions. 📈🧠
Through this formula, we calculate the level of disorder or dispersion in price returns based on their probability of occurrence, enabling us to identify moments of high or low volatility. 💡💥
Shannon Entropy Calculation 📏
• Uses probabilities to measure uncertainty in returns. 🎲
• Entropy is normalized on a scale of 0 to 100, where:
o High Entropy: Unpredictable movements (high uncertainty). ⚠️💥
•
o Low Entropy: Structured movements (low uncertainty). 📉🔒
•
• With probabilities, we measure the level of dispersion or unpredictability of returns using Shannon's entropy formula. 📊🔍
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Indicator Usefulness 🛠️
• Identify High Volatility: When the market is unpredictable, the indicator signals "High Uncertainty." ⚡🔮
• Detect Market Stability: When the market is more predictable and structured, the indicator highlights "Low Uncertainty." 🔒🧘♂️
• Neutral Zones: Helps monitor markets without extreme conditions, enabling safer entry or exit opportunities. ⚖️🚶♂️
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Uncertainty Zones 🌀
1. High Uncertainty: When entropy exceeds the upper threshold. 🚨🔺
2. Low Uncertainty: When entropy is below the lower threshold. 🔻💡
3. Neutral: When entropy lies between both thresholds. ⚖️🔄
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What We Aim to Achieve with the Formula in Practice 🎯
1. Detection of Volatile Moments: Shannon’s formula helps us identify when the market is unpredictable. This is a good moment to take additional precautions, such as reducing position size or avoiding trading during high volatility phases. ⚠️📉
2. Trading Opportunities in Stable Markets: With low entropy, we can identify when the market is more predictable, favoring trend or momentum strategies with a higher chance of success. 🚀📈
3. Optimization of Risk Management: By measuring market volatility in real-time, we can adjust entry and exit strategies, tailoring risk based on the level of uncertainty detected. 🔄⚖️
________________________________________
We hope this makes it easy to interpret and use. If you have any questions or comments, please feel free to reach out to us! 📬😊
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy leverages the combination of Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator(AC), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Acceleration/Deceleration shall create one of two types of long signals (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created long signal.
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one long signal, another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about Acceleration/Deceleration signals. AC indicator is calculated using the Awesome Oscillator, so let's first of all briefly explain what is Awesome Oscillator and how it can be calculated. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO), where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now we can explain which AC signal types are used in this strategy. The first type of long signal is when AC value is below zero line. In this cases we need to see three rising bars on the histogram in a row after the falling one. The second type of signals occurs above the zero line. There we need only two rising AC bars in a row after the falling one to create the signal. The signal bar is the last green bar in this sequence. The strategy places the buy stop order one tick above the candle's high, which corresponds to the signal bar on AC indicator.
After that we can have the following scenarios:
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower high. If current AC bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AC bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next AC signal.
If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. All open trades are closed when the trend shifts to a downtrend, as determined by the combination of the Alligator and Fractals described earlier.
Why we use AC signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC bars after period of falling AC bars indicates the high probability of local pull back end and there is a high chance to open long trade in the direction of the most likely main uptrend. The numbers of rising bars are different for the different AC values (below or above zero line). This is needed because if AC below zero line the local downtrend is likely to be stronger and needs more rising bars to confirm that it has been changed than if AC is above zero.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next AC signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.15%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.57%
Net Profit: +2108.85 USDT (+21.09%)
Total Trades: 111 (36.94% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.391
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 367.61 USDT (-2.97%)
Average Profit per Trade: 19.00 USDT (+1.78%)
Average Trade Duration: 75 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Enhanced Market Analyzer with Adaptive Cognitive LearningThe "Enhanced Market Analyzer with Advanced Features and Adaptive Cognitive Learning" is an advanced, multi-dimensional trading indicator that leverages sophisticated algorithms to analyze market trends and generate predictive trading signals. This indicator is designed to merge traditional technical analysis with modern machine learning techniques, incorporating features such as adaptive learning, Monte Carlo simulations, and probabilistic modeling. It is ideal for traders who seek deeper market insights, adaptive strategies, and reliable buy/sell signals.
Key Features:
Adaptive Cognitive Learning:
Utilizes Monte Carlo simulations, reinforcement learning, and memory feedback to adapt to changing market conditions.
Adjusts the weighting and learning rate of signals dynamically to optimize predictions based on historical and real-time data.
Hybrid Technical Indicators:
Custom RSI Calculation: An RSI that adapts its length based on recursive learning and error adjustments, making it responsive to varying market conditions.
VIDYA with CMO Smoothing: An advanced moving average that incorporates Chander Momentum Oscillator for adaptive smoothing.
Hamming Windowed VWMA: A volume-weighted moving average that applies a Hamming window for smoother calculations.
FRAMA: A fractal adaptive moving average that responds dynamically to price movements.
Advanced Statistical Analysis:
Skewness and Kurtosis: Provides insights into the distribution and potential risk of market trends.
Z-Score Calculations: Identifies extreme market conditions and adjusts trading thresholds dynamically.
Probabilistic Monte Carlo Simulation:
Runs thousands of simulations to assess potential price movements based on momentum, volatility, and volume factors.
Integrates the results into a probabilistic signal that informs trading decisions.
Feature Extraction:
Calculates a variety of market metrics, including price change, momentum, volatility, volume change, and ATR.
Normalizes and adapts these features for use in machine learning algorithms, enhancing signal accuracy.
Ensemble Learning:
Combines signals from different technical indicators, such as RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Stochastic Oscillator, and statistical features.
Weights each signal based on cumulative performance and learning feedback to create a robust ensemble signal.
Recursive Memory and Feedback:
Stores and averages past RSI calculations in a memory array to provide historical context and improve future predictions.
Adaptive memory factor adjusts the influence of past data based on current market conditions.
Multi-Factor Dynamic Length Calculation:
Determines the length of moving averages based on volume, volatility, momentum, and rate of change (ROC).
Adapts to various market conditions, ensuring that the indicator is responsive to both high and low volatility environments.
Adaptive Learning Rate:
The learning rate can be adjusted based on market volatility, allowing the system to adapt its speed of learning and sensitivity to changes.
Enhances the system's ability to react to different market regimes.
Monte Carlo Simulation Engine:
Simulates thousands of random outcomes to model potential future price movements.
Weights and aggregates these simulations to produce a final probabilistic signal, providing a comprehensive risk assessment.
RSI with Dynamic Adjustments:
The initial RSI length is adjusted recursively based on calculated errors between true RSI and predicted RSI.
The adaptive RSI calculation ensures that the indicator remains effective across various market phases.
Hybrid Moving Averages:
Short-Term and Long-Term Averages: Combines FRAMA, VIDYA, and Hamming VWMA with specific weights for a unique hybrid moving average.
Weighted Gradient: Applies a color gradient to indicate trend strength and direction, improving visual clarity.
Signal Generation:
Generates buy and sell signals based on the ensemble model and multi-factor analysis.
Uses percentile-based thresholds to determine overbought and oversold conditions, factoring in historical data for context.
Optional settings to enable adaptation to volume and volatility, ensuring the indicator remains effective under different market conditions.
Monte Carlo and Learning Parameters:
Users can customize the number of Monte Carlo simulations, learning rate, memory factor, and reward decay for tailored performance.
Applications:
Scalping and Day Trading:
The fast response of the adaptive RSI and ensemble learning model makes this indicator suitable for short-term trading strategies.
Swing Trading:
The combination of long-term moving averages and probabilistic models provides reliable signals for medium-term trends.
Volatility Analysis:
The ATR, Bollinger Bands, and adaptive moving averages offer insights into market volatility, helping traders adjust their strategies accordingly.
Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion by Kevin Davey Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion Strategy Description
The Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion Strategy is a popular trading approach based on the concept of volatility and market overreaction. The strategy leverages Bollinger Bands, which consist of an upper and lower band plotted around a central moving average, typically using standard deviations to measure volatility. When the price moves beyond these bands, it signals potential overbought or oversold conditions, and the strategy seeks to exploit a reversion back to the mean (the central band).
Strategy Components:
1. Bollinger Bands:
The bands are calculated using a 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a multiple (usually 2.0) of the standard deviation of the asset’s price over the same period. The upper band represents the SMA plus two standard deviations, while the lower band is the SMA minus two standard deviations. The distance between the bands increases with higher volatility and decreases with lower volatility.
2. Mean Reversion:
Mean reversion theory suggests that, over time, prices tend to move back toward their historical average. In this strategy, a buy signal is triggered when the price falls below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential oversold condition. Conversely, the position is closed when the price rises back above the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an overbought condition.
Entry and Exit Logic:
Buy Condition: The strategy enters a long position when the price closes below the lower Bollinger Band, anticipating a mean reversion to the central band (SMA).
Sell Condition: The long position is exited when the price closes above the upper Bollinger Band, implying that the market is likely overbought and a reversal could occur.
This approach uses mean reversion principles, aiming to capitalize on short-term price extremes and volatility compression, often seen in sideways or non-trending markets. Scientific studies have shown that mean reversion strategies, particularly those based on volatility indicators like Bollinger Bands, can be effective in capturing small but frequent price reversals  .
Scientific Basis for Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands, developed by John Bollinger, are widely regarded in both academic literature and practical trading as an essential tool for volatility analysis and mean reversion strategies. Research has shown that Bollinger Bands effectively identify relative price highs and lows, and can be used to forecast price volatility and detect potential breakouts . Studies in financial markets, such as those by Fernández-Rodríguez et al. (2003), highlight the efficacy of Bollinger Bands in detecting overbought or oversold conditions in various assets .
Who is Kevin Davey?
Kevin Davey is an award-winning algorithmic trader and highly regarded expert in developing and optimizing systematic trading strategies. With over 25 years of experience, Davey gained significant recognition after winning the prestigious World Cup Trading Championships multiple times, where he achieved triple-digit returns with minimal drawdown. His success has made him a key figure in algorithmic trading education, with a focus on disciplined and rule-based trading systems.
ICT Judas Swing | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new ICT Judas Swing Indicator! This indicator is built around the ICT's "Judas Swing" strategy. The strategy looks for a liquidity grab around NY 9:30 session and a Fair Value Gap for entry confirmation. For more information about the process, check the "HOW DOES IT WORK" section.
Features of the new ICT Judas Swing :
Implementation of ICT's Judas Swing Strategy
2 Different TP / SL Methods
Customizable Execution Settings
Customizable Backtesting Dashboard
Alerts for Buy, Sell, TP & SL Signals
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The strategy begins by identifying the New York session from 9:30 to 9:45 and marking recent liquidity zones. These liquidity zones are determined by locating high and low pivot points: buyside liquidity zones are identified using high pivots that haven't been invalidated, while sellside liquidity zones are found using low pivots. A break of either buyside or sellside liquidity must occur during the 9:30-9:45 session, which is interpreted as a liquidity grab by smart money. The strategy assumes that after this liquidity grab, the price will reverse and move in the opposite direction. For entry confirmation, a fair value gap (FVG) in the opposite direction of the liquidity grab is required. A buyside liquidity grab calls for a bearish FVG, while a sellside grab requires a bullish FVG. Based on the type of FVG—bullish for buys and bearish for sells—the indicator will then generate a Buy or Sell signal.
After the Buy or Sell signal, the indicator immediately draws the take-profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) targets. The indicator has three different TP & SL modes, explained in the "Settings" section of this write-up.
You can set up alerts for entry and TP & SL signals, and also check the current performance of the indicator and adjust the settings accordingly to the current ticker using the backtesting dashboard.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
This indicator is an all-in-one suit for the ICT's Judas Swing concept. It's capable of plotting the strategy, giving signals, a backtesting dashboard and alerts feature. Different and customizable algorithm modes will help the trader fine-tune the indicator for the asset they are currently trading. Three different TP / SL modes are available to suit your needs. The backtesting dashboard allows you to see how your settings perform in the current ticker. You can also set up alerts to get informed when the strategy is executable for different tickers.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Swing Length -> The swing length for pivot detection. Higher settings will result in
FVG Detection Sensitivity -> You may select between Low, Normal, High or Extreme FVG detection sensitivity. This will essentially determine the size of the spotted FVGs, with lower sensitivies resulting in spotting bigger FVGs, and higher sensitivies resulting in spotting all sizes of FVGs.
2. TP / SL
TP / SL Method ->
a) Dynamic: The TP / SL zones will be auto-determined by the algorithm based on the Average True Range (ATR) of the current ticker.
b) Fixed : You can adjust the exact TP / SL ratios from the settings below.
Dynamic Risk -> The risk you're willing to take if "Dynamic" TP / SL Method is selected. Higher risk usually means a better winrate at the cost of losing more if the strategy fails. This setting is has a crucial effect on the performance of the indicator, as different tickers may have different volatility so the indicator may have increased performance when this setting is correctly adjusted.
pseudorenko█ CALCULATE PSEUDO-RENKO VALUE
Calculates and returns the Pseudo-Renko Stabilized value (or close price) based on a given input value, along with the direction of the current Renko brick. This function adapts the traditional Renko brick size dynamically based on the volatility of the input value using a combination of SMA and EMA calculations. The calculated price represents the closing price of the most recent Pseudo-Renko brick, while the direction indicates the trend ( 1 for uptrend, -1 for downtrend).
Parameters:
* `val` :
* Type: ` float `
* Description: The input value upon which the Pseudo-Renko calculations are performed. You can use any price series or custom value as input.
* `sensitivity` :
* Type: ` float `
* Default Value: ` 1.0 `
* Description: Controls the sensitivity of the brick size to the volatility of the `val`. Higher values lead to larger bricks, resulting in a smoother Renko chart. Lower values produce smaller bricks, leading to a more reactive chart.
* Possible Values: Any positive float.
* `length` :
* Type: ` int `
* Default Value: ` 7 `
* Description: The length used for calculating the EMA and SMA in the dynamic brick size calculation. It influences how quickly the brick size adapts to changing volatility of the `val`.
* Possible Values: Any positive integer.
Return Values:
* `lastRenkoClose` :
* Type: ` float `
* Description: The closing price of the last completed Pseudo-Renko brick based on the `val`.
* `renkoDirection` :
* Type: ` int `
* Description: The direction of the current Pseudo-Renko brick based on the `val`:
* ` 1 `: Uptrend
* ` -1 `: Downtrend
* ` 0 `: No change (initially, or no brick change since the previous bar)
Example Usage:
//@version=5
indicator("Pseudo-Renko Stabilized (Val)", overlay=true)
// Get user inputs
sensitivityInput = input.float(0.1, "Sensitivity",0.01,step=0.01)
lengthInput = input.int(5, "Length",2)
// Example usage with the 'close' price as the input value
= pseudo_renko(math.avg(close,open), sensitivityInput, lengthInput)
// Plot the Renko close price
plot(renkoClose, "Renko Close", renkoDirection>0?color.aqua:color.orange,2)
// You can also use other values as input, such as:
// = pseudo_renko(high, sensitivityInput, lengthInput)
// = pseudo_renko(low, sensitivityInput, lengthInput)
This example demonstrates how to use the `pseudo_renko` function within an indicator. It takes user inputs for `sensitivity` and `length`, then calculates the Pseudo-Renko values using the average of the `close` and `open` prices as the `val`. The resulting `renkoClose` price is plotted on the chart, with a color change based on the `renkoDirection`. It also illustrates how you can use other values, like `high` and `low`, as input to the function.
Note: The Pseudo-Renko algorithm is based on adapting the Renko brick size dynamically based on the input `val`. This provides more flexibility compared to the normal, but is experimental. The `sensitivity` and `length` parameters, along with the choice of the `val`, offer further customization to tune the algorithm's behavior to your preference and trading style.
