Fibonacci Trend [ChartPrime]Fibonacci Trend Indicator
This powerful indicator leverages supertrend analysis to detect market direction while overlaying dynamic Fibonacci levels to highlight potential support, resistance, and optimal trend entry zones. With its straightforward design, it is perfect for traders looking to simplify their workflow and enhance decision-making.
⯁ KEY FEATURES AND HOW TO USE
⯌ Supertrend Trend Identification :
The indicator uses a supertrend algorithm to identify market direction. It displays purple for downtrends and green for uptrends, ensuring quick and clear trend analysis.
⯌ Fibonacci Levels for Current Swings :
Automatically calculates Fibonacci retracement levels (0.236, 0.382, 0.618, 0.786) for the current swing leg.
- These levels act as key zones for potential support, resistance, and trend continuation.
- The high and low swing points are labeled with exact prices, ensuring clarity.
- If the swing range is insufficient (less than five times ATR), Fibonacci levels are not displayed, avoiding irrelevant data.
⯌ Extended Fibonacci Levels :
User-defined extensions project Fibonacci levels into the future, aiding traders in planning price targets or projecting key zones.
⯌ Optimal Trend Entry Zone :
A filled area between 0.618 and 0.786 levels visually highlights the optimal entry zone for trend continuation. This allows traders to refine their entry points during pullbacks.
⯌ Diagonal Trend Line :
A dashed diagonal line connects the swing high and low, visually confirming the range and trend strength of the current swing.
⯌ Visual Labels for Fibonacci Levels :
Each Fibonacci level is marked with a label displaying its value for quick reference.
⯁ HOW TRADERS CAN POTENTIALLY USE THIS TOOL
Fibonacci Retracements:
Use the Fibonacci retracement levels to find key support or resistance zones where the price may pull back before continuing its trend.
Example: Enter long trades when the price retraces to 0.618–0.786 levels in an uptrend.
Fibonacci Extensions:
Use Fibonacci extensions to project future price targets based on the current trend's swing leg. Levels like 127.2% and 161.8% are commonly used as profit-taking zones.
Reversal Identification:
Spot potential reversals by monitoring price reactions at key Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 0.236 or 0.382) or the swing high/low.
Optimal Trend Entries:
The filled zone between 0.618 and 0.786 is a statistically strong area for entering a position in the direction of the trend.
Example: Enter long positions during retracements to this range in an uptrend.
Risk Management:
Set stop-losses below key Fibonacci levels or the swing low/high, and take profits at extension levels, enhancing your trade management strategies.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The Fibonacci Trend Indicator is a straightforward yet effective tool for identifying trends and key Fibonacci levels. It simplifies analysis by integrating supertrend-based trend identification with Fibonacci retracements, extensions, and optimal entry zones. Whether you're a beginner or experienced trader, this indicator is an essential addition to your toolkit for trend trading, reversal spotting, and risk management.
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[blackcat] L2 BullBear OscillatorOVERVIEW
The " L2 BullBear Oscillator" is a custom trading indicator for TradingView that helps traders identify market trends, potential tops and bottoms, and the strength of trends using various moving averages and price relationships.
FEATURES
Calculates a base oscillator based on the close price relative to the highest and lowest prices over the past 60 periods.
Smoothes the oscillator using exponential moving averages (EMAs).
Determines market strength through relative strength indicators and moving averages.
Identifies potential tops and strong support levels based on specific conditions involving oscillators and price actions.
Plots several signals to help traders make informed decisions.
HOW TO USE
Install the script on your TradingView chart.
Customize the settings in the "Inputs" section:
Set the periods for the short-term and long-term EMAs.
Set the periods for the three SMAs used in calculations.
Interpret the plots:
BullBear Signal (Fuchsia Line): Indicates the overall market trend. Uptrends suggest buying opportunities, while downtrends suggest selling.
Decreasing BullBear Signal (Aqua Line): Highlights periods when the trend is weakening or turning bearish, signaling possible selling opportunities.
Potential Top Condition (Yellow Plot): Signals possible trend reversals from bullish to bearish, indicating times to consider taking profits or preparing for a downtrend.
High Price Condition (Yellow Plot): Indicates strong bullish momentum but also potentially overbought conditions, which might precede a correction.
Earning Condition (Red Line): Possibly signifies strong bullish signals, indicating good times to enter long positions.
Strong Support Condition (White Arrows): Signals potential bottoms or support levels, indicating buying opportunities.
Start Hiding Condition (Fuchsia Plot): Might indicate times to exit positions or reduce exposure due to unfavorable market conditions.
ALGORITHMS
Moving Averages:
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs): Used to calculate averages of price data over specified periods.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Used to give more weight to recent prices, making the moving averages more responsive to new data.
Oscillator Calculation:
The base oscillator is calculated based on the close price's position within the highest and lowest prices over 60 periods, normalized to a 0-100 scale.
This oscillator is then smoothed using EMAs to reduce noise and make trends more visible.
Relative Strength Indicator:
Calculated based on the close price's position within the highest and lowest prices over 20 periods, also normalized to a 0-100 scale.
This is smoothed using SMAs to get a more stable signal.
Condition Checks:
Various conditions are checked to identify potential tops, strong support, and other market states based on the relationships between these indicators and price actions.
LIMITATIONS
The script is based on historical data and does not guarantee future performance.
It is recommended to use the script in conjunction with other analysis tools.
The effectiveness of the strategy may vary depending on the market conditions and asset being traded.
NOTES
The script is designed for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
Users are encouraged to backtest the strategy on a demo account before applying it to live trades.
THANKS
Special thanks to the TradingView community for their support and feedback.
Forex Hammer and Hanging Man StrategyThe strategy is based on two key candlestick chart patterns: Hammer and Hanging Man. These chart patterns are widely used in technical analysis to identify potential reversal points in the market. Their relevance in the Forex market, known for its high liquidity and volatile price movements, is particularly pronounced. Both patterns provide insights into market sentiment and trader psychology, which are critical in currency trading, where short-term volatility plays a significant role.
1. Hammer:
• Typically occurs after a downtrend.
• Signals a potential trend reversal to the upside.
• A Hammer has:
• A small body (close and open are close to each other).
• A long lower shadow, at least twice as long as the body.
• No or a very short upper shadow.
2. Hanging Man:
• Typically occurs after an uptrend.
• Signals a potential reversal to the downside.
• A Hanging Man has:
• A small body, similar to the Hammer.
• A long lower shadow, at least twice as long as the body.
• A small or no upper shadow.
These patterns are a manifestation of market psychology, specifically the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. The Hammer reflects a situation where sellers tried to push the price down but were overpowered by buyers, while the Hanging Man shows that buyers failed to maintain the upward movement, and sellers could take control.
Relevance of Chart Patterns in Forex
In the Forex market, chart patterns are vital tools because they offer insights into price action and market sentiment. Since Forex trading often involves large volumes of trades, chart patterns like the Hammer and Hanging Man are important for recognizing potential shifts in market momentum. These patterns are a part of technical analysis, which aims to forecast future price movements based on historical data, relying on the psychology of market participants.
Scientific Literature on the Relevance of Candlestick Patterns
1. Behavioral Finance and Candlestick Patterns:
Research on behavioral finance supports the idea that candlestick patterns, such as the Hammer and Hanging Man, are relevant because they reflect shifts in trader psychology and sentiment. According to Lo, Mamaysky, and Wang (2000), patterns like these could be seen as representations of collective investor behavior, influenced by overreaction, optimism, or pessimism, and can often signal reversals in market trends.
2. Statistical Validation of Chart Patterns:
Studies by Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) explored the profitability of technical analysis strategies, including candlestick patterns, and found evidence that certain patterns, such as the Hammer, can have predictive value in financial markets. While their study primarily focused on stock markets, their findings are generally applicable to the Forex market as well.
3. Market Efficiency and Candlestick Patterns:
The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) posits that all available information is reflected in asset prices, but some studies suggest that markets may not always be perfectly efficient, allowing for profitable exploitation of certain chart patterns. For instance, Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) found that momentum strategies, which often rely on price patterns and trends, could generate significant returns, suggesting that patterns like the Hammer or Hanging Man may provide a slight edge, particularly in short-term Forex trading.
Testing the Strategy in Forex Using the Provided Script
The provided script allows traders to test and evaluate the Hammer and Hanging Man patterns in Forex trading by entering positions when these patterns appear and holding the position for a specified number of periods. This strategy can be tested to assess its performance across different currency pairs and timeframes.
1. Testing on Different Timeframes:
• The effectiveness of candlestick patterns can vary across different timeframes, as market dynamics change with the level of detail in each timeframe. Shorter timeframes may provide more frequent signals, but with higher noise, while longer timeframes may produce more reliable signals, but with fewer opportunities. This multi-timeframe analysis could be an area to explore to enhance the strategy’s robustness.
2. Exit Strategies:
• The script incorporates an exit strategy where positions are closed after holding them for a specified number of periods. This is useful for testing how long the reversal patterns typically take to play out and when the optimal exit occurs for maximum profitability. It can also help to adjust the exit logic based on real-time market behavior.
Conclusion
The Hammer and Hanging Man patterns are widely recognized in technical analysis as potential reversal signals, and their application in Forex trading is valuable due to the market’s high volatility and liquidity. This strategy leverages these candlestick patterns to enter and exit trades based on shifts in market sentiment and psychology. Testing and optimization, as offered by the script, can help refine the strategy and improve its effectiveness.
For further refinement, it could be valuable to consider combining candlestick patterns with other technical indicators or using multi-timeframe analysis to confirm patterns and increase the probability of successful trades.
References:
• Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation. The Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1705-1770.
• Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764.
• Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
This provides a theoretical basis for the use of candlestick patterns in trading, supported by academic literature and research on market psychology and efficiency.
[blackcat] L2 Waveband Trading█ OVERVIEW
The Waveband Trading script calculates trading signals based on a modified Relative Strength Index (RSI)-like system combined with specific price action criteria. It plots two lines representing different smoothed RSI-like indicators and marks potential buying opportunities labeled as "S" for stronger trends and "B" for weaker but still favorable ones.
█ LOGICAL FRAMEWORK
The script begins by defining the waveband_trading_signals function which computes RSI-like metrics and determines buy signals under certain conditions. The main sections include input parameter definitions, function calls, data processing within the function, and plot commands for visual representation. Data flows from historical OHLCV data to various technical computations like EMAs and SMAs before being evaluated against user-defined thresholds to generate trade signals.
█ CUSTOM FUNCTIONS
Waveband Trading Signals:
• Purpose: Computes waveband trading signals using a customized version of the RSI indicator.
• Parameters:
— overboughtLevel: Threshold level indicating market overbought condition.
— oversoldLevel: Threshold level indicating market oversold condition.
— strongHoldLevel: Strong hold condition threshold between neutral and overbought states.
— moderateHoldLevel: Moderate hold condition threshold below strong hold level.
• [b>Returns: A tuple containing:
— k: Smoothed RSI-like metric.
— d: Further smoothed version of 'k'.
— buySignalStrong: Boolean indicating a strong trend buy signal.
— buySignalWeak: Boolean indicating a weak but promising buy signal.
█ KEY POINTS AND TECHNIQUES
• Utilizes EMA and SMA functions to smooth out price variations effectively.
• Employs crossover logic between fast ('k') and slow ('d') indicators to identify entry points.
• Incorporates volume checks ensuring increasing interest in trades aligns with upwards momentum.
• Leverages predefined threshold levels allowing flexibility to adapt to varying market conditions.
• Uses the new labeling feature ( label.new ) introduced in Pine Script v5 for marking significant chart events visually.
█ EXTENDED KNOWLEDGE AND APPLICATIONS
Potential enhancements could involve incorporating additional filters such as MACD crossovers or Fibonacci retracement levels alongside optimizing current conditions via backtesting. This technique might also prove useful in other strategies requiring robust confirmation methods beyond simple price action; alternatively, adapting it into a more automated form for execution on exchanges offering API access. Understanding key functionalities like relative strength assessment, smoothed averaging techniques, and conditional buy/sell rules enriches one’s toolkit when developing complex trading algorithms tailored specifically toward personal investment philosophies.
Adaptive Trend Flow Strategy with Filters for SPXThe Adaptive Trend Flow Strategy with Filters for SPX is a complete trading algorithm designed to identify traits and offer actionable alerts for the SPX index. This Pine Script approach leverages superior technical signs and user-described parameters to evolve to marketplace conditions and optimize performance.
Key Features and Functionality
Dynamic Trend Detection: Utilizes a dual EMA-based totally adaptive method for fashion calculation.
The script smooths volatility the usage of an EMA filter and adjusts sensitivity through the sensitivity enter. This allows for real-time adaptability to market fluctuations.
Trend Filters for Precision:
SMA Filter: A Simple Moving Average (SMA) guarantees that trades are achieved best while the rate aligns with the shifting average trend, minimizing false indicators.
MACD Filter: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) adds some other layer of confirmation with the aid of requiring alignment among the MACD line and its sign line.
Signal Generation:
Long Signals: Triggered when the fashion transitions from bearish to bullish, with all filters confirming the pass.
Short Signals: Triggered while the trend shifts from bullish to bearish, imparting opportunities for final positions.
User Customization:
Adjustable parameters for EMAs, smoothing duration, and sensitivity make certain the strategy can adapt to numerous buying and selling patterns.
Enable or disable filters (SMA or MACD) based totally on particular market conditions or consumer possibilities.
Leverage and Position Sizing: Incorporates a leverage aspect for dynamic position sizing.
Automatically calculates the exchange length based on account fairness and the leverage element, making sure hazard control is in area.
Visual Enhancements: Plots adaptive fashion ranges (foundation, top, decrease) for actual-time insights into marketplace conditions.
Color-coded bars and heritage to visually represent bullish or bearish developments.
Custom labels indicating crossover and crossunder occasions for clean sign visualization.
Alerts and Automation: Configurable alerts for each lengthy and quick indicators, well matched with automated buying and selling structures like plugpine.Com.
JSON-based alert messages consist of account credentials, motion type, and calculated position length for seamless integration.
Backtesting and Realistic Assumptions: Includes practical slippage, commissions, and preliminary capital settings for backtesting accuracy.
Leverages excessive-frequency trade sampling to make certain strong strategy assessment.
How It Works
Trend Calculation: The method derives a principal trend basis with the aid of combining fast and gradual EMAs. It then uses marketplace volatility to calculate adaptive upper and decrease obstacles, creating a dynamic channel.
Filter Integration: SMA and MACD filters work in tandem with the fashion calculation to ensure that handiest excessive-probability signals are accomplished.
Signal Execution: Signals are generated whilst the charge breaches those dynamic tiers and aligns with the fashion and filters, ensuring sturdy change access situations.
How to Use
Setup: Apply the approach to SPX or other well suited indices.
Adjust person inputs, together with ATR length, EMA smoothing, and sensitivity, to align together with your buying and selling possibilities.
Enable or disable the SMA and MACD filters to test unique setups.
Alerts: Configure signals for computerized notifications or direct buying and selling execution through third-celebration systems.
Use the supplied JSON payload to integrate with broking APIs or automation tools.
Optimization:
Experiment with leverage, filter out settings, and sensitivity to find most effective configurations to your hazard tolerance and marketplace situations.
Considerations and Best Practices
Risk Management: Always backtest the method with realistic parameters, together with conservative leverage and commissions.
Market Suitability: While designed for SPX, this method can adapt to other gadgets by means of adjusting key parameters.
Limitations: The method is trend-following and can underperform in enormously risky or ranging markets. Regularly evaluate and modify parameters primarily based on recent market conduct.
If you have any questions please let me know - I'm here to help!
Regime Classifier Oscillator (AiBitcoinTrend)The Regime Classifier Oscillator (AiBitcoinTrend) is an advanced tool for understanding market structure and detecting dynamic price regimes. By combining filtered price trends, clustering algorithms, and an adaptive oscillator, it provides traders with detailed insights into market phases, including accumulation, distribution, advancement, and decline.
This innovative tool simplifies market regime classification, enabling traders to align their strategies with evolving market conditions effectively.
👽 What is a Regime Classifier, and Why is it Useful?
A Regime Classifier is a concept in financial analysis that identifies distinct market conditions or "regimes" based on price behavior and volatility. These regimes often correspond to specific phases of the market, such as trends, consolidations, or periods of high or low volatility. By classifying these regimes, traders and analysts can better understand the underlying market dynamics, allowing them to adapt their strategies to suit prevailing conditions.
👽 Common Uses in Finance
Risk Management: Identifying high-volatility regimes helps traders adjust position sizes or hedge risks.
Strategy Optimization: Traders tailor their approaches—trend-following strategies in trending regimes, mean-reversion strategies in consolidations.
Forecasting: Understanding the current regime aids in predicting potential transitions, such as a shift from accumulation to an upward breakout.
Portfolio Allocation: Investors allocate assets differently based on market regimes, such as increasing cash positions in high-volatility environments.
👽 Why It’s Important
Markets behave differently under varying conditions. A regime classifier provides a structured way to analyze these changes, offering a systematic approach to decision-making. This improves both accuracy and confidence in navigating diverse market scenarios.
👽 How We Implemented the Regime Classifier in This Indicator
The Regime Classifier Oscillator takes the foundational concept of market regime classification and enhances it with advanced computational techniques, making it highly adaptive.
👾 Median Filtering: We smooth price data using a custom median filter to identify significant trends while eliminating noise. This establishes a baseline for price movement analysis.
👾 Clustering Model: Using clustering techniques, the indicator classifies volatility and price trends into distinct regimes:
Advance: Strong upward trends with low volatility.
Decline: Downward trends marked by high volatility.
Accumulation: Consolidation phases with subdued volatility.
Distribution: Topping or bottoming patterns with elevated volatility.
This classification leverages historical price data to refine cluster boundaries dynamically, ensuring adaptive and accurate detection of market states.
Volatility Classification: Price volatility is analyzed through rolling windows, separating data into high and low volatility clusters using distance-based assignments.
Price Trends: The interaction of price levels with the filtered trendline and volatility clusters determines whether the market is advancing, declining, accumulating, or distributing.
👽 Dynamic Cycle Oscillator (DCO):
Captures cyclic behavior and overlays it with smoothed oscillations, providing real-time feedback on price momentum and potential reversals.
Regime Visualization:
Regimes are displayed with intuitive labels and background colors, offering clear, actionable insights directly on the chart.
👽 Why This Implementation Stands Out
Dynamic and Adaptive: The clustering and refit mechanisms adapt to changing market conditions, ensuring relevance across different asset classes and timeframes.
Comprehensive Insights: By combining price trends, volatility, and cyclic behaviors, the indicator provides a holistic view of the market.
This implementation bridges the gap between theoretical regime classification and practical trading needs, making it a powerful tool for both novice and experienced traders.
👽 Applications
👾 Regime-Based Trading Strategies
Traders can use the regime classifications to adapt their strategies effectively:
Advance & Accumulation: Favorable for entering or holding long positions.
Decline & Distribution: Opportunities for short positions or risk management.
👾 Oscillator Insights for Trend Analysis
Overbought/oversold conditions: Early warning of potential reversals.
Dynamic trends: Highlights the strength of price momentum.
👽 Indicator Settings
👾 Filter and Classification Settings
Filter Window Size: Controls trend detection sensitivity.
ATR Lookback: Adjusts the threshold for regime classification.
Clustering Window & Refit Interval: Fine-tunes regime accuracy.
👾 Oscillator Settings
Dynamic Cycle Oscillator Lookback: Defines the sensitivity of cycle detection.
Smoothing Factor: Balances responsiveness and stability.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
[blackcat] L2 Kiosotto IndicatorOVERVIEW
The Kiosotto Indicator is a versatile technical analysis tool designed for forex trading but applicable to other financial markets. It excels in detecting market reversals and trends without repainting, ensuring consistent and reliable signals. The indicator has evolved over time, with different versions focusing on specific aspects of market analysis.
KEY FEATURES
Reversal Detection: Identifies potential market reversals, crucial for traders looking to capitalize on turning points.
Trend Detection: Earlier versions focused on detecting trends, useful for traders who prefer to follow the market direction.
Non-Repainting: Signals remain consistent on the chart, providing reliable and consistent signals.
Normalization: Later versions, such as Normalized Kiosotto and Kiosotto_2025, incorporate normalization to assess oversold and overbought conditions, enhancing interpretability.
VERSIONS AND EVOLUTION
Early Versions: Focused on trend detection, useful for following market direction.
2 in 1 Kiosotto: Emphasizes reversal detection and is considered an improvement by users.
Normalized Versions (e.g., Kiosotto_2025, Kiosotto_3_2025): Introduce normalization to assess oversold and overbought conditions, enhancing interpretability.
HOW TO USE THE KIOSOTTO INDICATOR
Understanding Signals:
Reversals: Look for the indicator's signals that suggest a potential reversal, indicated by color changes, line crossings, or other visual cues.
Trends: Earlier versions might show stronger trending signals, indicated by the direction or slope of the indicator's lines.
Normalization Interpretation (for normalized versions):
Oversold: When the indicator hits the lower boundary, it might indicate an oversold condition, suggesting a potential buy signal.
Overbought: Hitting the upper boundary could signal an overbought condition, suggesting a potential sell signal.
PINE SCRIPT IMPLEMENTATION
The provided Pine Script code is a version of the Kiosotto indicator. Here's a detailed explanation of the code:
//@version=5
indicator(" L2 Kiosotto Indicator", overlay=false)
//Pine version of Kiosotto 2015 v4 Alert ms-nrp
// Input parameters
dev_period = input.int(150, "Dev Period")
alerts_level = input.float(15, "Alerts Level")
tsbul = 0.0
tsber = 0.0
hpres = 0.0
lpres = 9999999.0
for i = 0 to dev_period - 1
rsi = ta.rsi(close , dev_period)
if high > hpres
hpres := high
tsbul := tsbul + rsi * close
if low < lpres
lpres := low
tsber := tsber + rsi * close
buffer1 = tsber != 0 ? tsbul / tsber : 0
buffer2 = tsbul != 0 ? tsber / tsbul : 0
// Plotting
plot(buffer1, color=color.aqua, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram)
plot(buffer2, color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram)
hline(alerts_level, color=color.silver)
EXPLANATION OF THE CODE
Indicator Definition:
indicator(" L2 Kiosotto Indicator", overlay=false): Defines the indicator with the name " L2 Kiosotto Indicator" and specifies that it should not be overlaid on the price chart.
Input Parameters:
dev_period = input.int(150, "Dev Period"): Allows users to set the period for the deviation calculation.
alerts_level = input.float(15, "Alerts Level"): Allows users to set the level for alerts.
Initialization:
tsbul = 0.0: Initializes the tsbul variable to 0.0.
tsber = 0.0: Initializes the tsber variable to 0.0.
hpres = 0.0: Initializes the hpres variable to 0.0.
lpres = 9999999.0: Initializes the lpres variable to a very high value.
Loop for Calculation:
The for loop iterates over the last dev_period bars.
rsi = ta.rsi(close , dev_period): Calculates the RSI for the current bar.
if high > hpres: If the high price of the current bar is greater than hpres, update hpres and add the product of RSI and close price to tsbul.
if low < lpres: If the low price of the current bar is less than lpres, update lpres and add the product of RSI and close price to tsber.
Buffer Calculation:
buffer1 = tsber != 0 ? tsbul / tsber : 0: Calculates the first buffer as the ratio of tsbul to tsber if tsber is not zero.
buffer2 = tsbul != 0 ? tsber / tsbul : 0: Calculates the second buffer as the ratio of tsber to tsbul if tsbul is not zero.
Plotting:
plot(buffer1, color=color.aqua, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram): Plots the first buffer as a histogram with an aqua color.
plot(buffer2, color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=3, style=plot.style_histogram): Plots the second buffer as a histogram with a fuchsia color.
hline(alerts_level, color=color.silver): Draws a horizontal line at the alerts_level with a silver color.
FUNCTIONALITY
The Kiosotto indicator calculates two buffers based on the RSI and price levels over a specified period. The buffers are plotted as histograms, and a horizontal line is drawn at the alerts level. The indicator helps traders identify potential reversals and trends by analyzing the relationship between the RSI and price levels.
ALGORITHMS
RSI Calculation:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures the speed and change of price movements. It is calculated using the formula:
RSI=100− (1+RS) / 100
where RS is the ratio of the average gain to the average loss over the specified period.
Buffer Calculation:
The buffers are calculated as the ratio of the sum of RSI multiplied by the close price for high and low price conditions. This helps in identifying the balance between buying and selling pressure.
Signal Generation:
The indicator generates signals based on the values of the buffers and the alerts level. Traders can use these signals to make informed trading decisions, such as entering or exiting trades based on potential reversals or trends.
APPLICATION SCENARIOS
Reversal Trading: Traders can use the Kiosotto indicator to identify potential reversals by looking for significant changes in the buffer values or crossings of the alerts level.
Trend Following: The indicator can also be used to follow trends by analyzing the direction and slope of the buffer lines.
Oversold/Overbought Conditions: For normalized versions, traders can use the indicator to identify oversold and overbought conditions, which can provide buy or sell signals.
THANKS
Special thanks to the TradingView community and the original developers for their contributions and support in creating and refining the Kiosotto Indicator.
IronBot v3Introduction
IronBot V3 is a TradingView indicator that analyzes market trends, identifies potential trading opportunities, and helps manage trades by visualizing entry points, stop-loss levels, and take-profit targets.
How It Works
The indicator evaluates price action within a specified analysis window to determine market trends. It uses Fibonacci retracement levels to identify key price levels for trend detection and trading signals. Based on user-defined inputs, it calculates and displays trade levels, including entry points, stop-loss, and multiple take-profit levels.
Trend Definition:
The highest high and lowest low are calculated over a specified number of candles.
The price range is determined as the difference between the highest high and lowest low.
Three Fibonacci levels are calculated within this range:
- Fib Level 0.236
- Trend Line (0.5 level)
- Fib Level 0.786
Determining Long and Short Conditions:
Long Conditions (Buy):
The closing price must be above both the trend line (0.5 level) and the Fib Level 0.236.
Additionally, the market must not currently be in a bearish trend.
Short Conditions (Sell):
The closing price must be below both the trend line and the Fib Level 0.786.
The market must not currently be in a bullish trend.
Trend State Updates:
When a condition is met, the indicator sets the trend to bullish or bearish and turns off bearish or bullish trend conditions.
If neither buy nor sell conditions are met, the trend remains unchanged, and no new trade signals are generated.
Inputs and Their Role in the Algorithm
General Settings
Analysis Window: Specifies the number of historical candles to analyze. This influences the calculation of key levels such as highs and lows, which are critical for determining Fibonacci retracement levels.
First Trade: Defines the start date for generating trading signals.
Trade Configuration
Display TP/SL: Enables or disables the visualization of take-profit and stop-loss levels on the chart.
Leverage: Defines the leverage applied to trades for risk and position size calculations.
Initial Capital: Specifies the starting capital, which is used for calculating position sizes and profits.
Exchange Fees (%): Sets the percentage of fees applied by the exchange, which is factored into profit calculations.
Country Tax (%): Allows users to define applicable taxes, which are subtracted from net profits.
Stop-Loss Configuration
Break Even: Toggles the break-even functionality. When enabled, the stop-loss level adjusts dynamically as take-profit levels are reached.
Stop Loss (%): Defines the percentage distance from the entry price to the stop-loss level.
Take-Profit Settings
The indicator supports up to four take-profit levels:
- TP1 through TP4 Ratios: Specify the price levels for each take-profit target as a percentage of the entry price.
- Profit Percentages: Allocate a percentage of the position size to each take-profit level.
Visualization Elements
Trend Indicators: Displays Fibonacci-based trend lines and markers for bullish or bearish conditions.
Trade Levels: Entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels are visualized on the chart by dotted lines for clarity. Additionally, a semi-transparent background is applied when a portion of the trade is closed to enhance visualization. Positive profits from a closed trade are green; otherwise, they are red.
Trade Profit Indicator: On each trade, every time a part of the trade is closed (e.g., take profit is reached), the profit indicator will be updated.
Performance Panel: Summarizes key account statistics, including net balance, profit/loss, and trading performance metrics.
Usage Guidelines
Add the indicator to your TradingView chart.
Configure the input settings based on your trading strategy.
Use the displayed levels and trend signals to make informed trading decisions.
Contact
For further assistance, including automation inquiries, feel free to contact me through TradingView’s messaging system.
Purpose and Disclaimer
IronBot V3 is designed for educational purposes and to assist in analyzing market trends. It is not financial advice, and users should perform their own due diligence before making any trading decisions.
Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this indicator responsibly.
CandelaCharts - Volume Imbalance (VI) 📝 Overview
Volume Imbalance occurs when there’s a noticeable gap between the bodies of two consecutive candlesticks, with no overlap between them. While the wicks of the candles might intersect, the candle bodies remain entirely separate. This phenomenon often signifies that the algorithm driving market activity did not evenly distribute prices between these two levels, leaving behind a small Volume Imbalance (VI).
A Bullish Volume Imbalance forms when the body of a green candlestick gaps above the previous candle’s body, with no overlap, indicating strong upward momentum and insufficient sell-side liquidity.
A Bearish Volume Imbalance forms when the body of a red candlestick gaps below the previous candle’s body, with no overlap, signaling intense downward pressure and a lack of buy-side liquidity.
This indicator can automatically identify volume imbalances by scanning candlestick patterns and detecting gaps between consecutive candle bodies. These volume imbalances act as price magnets, often attracting the market back to fill the gap before resuming its original direction. Recognizing and leveraging these gaps can be a powerful tool in technical analysis for predicting price movements.
📦 Features
MTF
Mitigation
Consequent Encroachment
Threshold
Hide Overlap
Advanced Styling
⚙️ Settings
Show: Controls whether VIs are displayed on the chart.
Show Last: Sets the number of VIs you want to display.
Length: Determines the length of each VI.
Mitigation: Highlights when a VI has been touched, using a different color without marking it as invalid.
Timeframe: Specifies the timeframe used to detect VIs.
Threshold: Sets the minimum gap size required for VI detection on the chart.
Show Mid-Line: Configures the midpoint line's width and style within the VI. (Consequent Encroachment - CE)
Show Border: Defines the border width and line style of the VI.
Hide Overlap: Removes overlapping VIs from view.
Extend: Extends the VI length to the current candle.
Elongate: Fully extends the VI length to the right side of the chart.
⚡️ Showcase
Simple
Mitigated
Bordered
Consequent Encroachment
Extended
🚨 Alerts
This script provides alert options for all signals.
Bearish Signal
A bearish alert triggers when a red candlestick gaps below the previous body, signaling downward pressure.
Bullish Signal
A bullish alert triggers when a green candlestick gaps above the previous body, indicating upward momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk, and many participants may incur losses. The content on this site is not intended as financial advice and should not be interpreted as such. Decisions to buy, sell, hold, or trade securities, commodities, or other financial instruments carry inherent risks and are best made with guidance from qualified financial professionals. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Turtle Soup ICT Strategy [TradingFinder] FVG + CHoCH/CSD🔵 Introduction
The ICT Turtle Soup trading setup, designed in the ICT style, operates by hunting or sweeping liquidity zones to exploit false breakouts and failed breakouts in key liquidity Zones, such as recent highs, lows, or major support and resistance levels.
This setup identifies moments when the price breaches these liquidity zones, triggering stop orders placed (Stop Hunt) by other traders, and then quickly reverses direction. These movements are often associated with liquidity sweeps that create temporary market imbalances.
The reversal is typically confirmed by one of three structural shifts : a Market Structure Shift (MSS), a Change of Character (CHoCH), or a break of the Change in State of Delivery (CISD). Each of these structural shifts provides a reliable signal to interpret market intent and align trading decisions with the expected price movement. After the structural shift, the price frequently pullback to a Fair Value Gap (FVG), offering a precise entry point for trades.
By integrating key concepts such as liquidity, liquidity sweeps, stop order activation, structural shifts (MSS, CHoCH, CISD), and price imbalances, the ICT Turtle Soup setup enables traders to identify reversal points and key entry zones with high accuracy.
This strategy is highly versatile, making it applicable across markets such as forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures. It offers traders a robust and systematic approach to understanding price movements and optimizing their trading strategies
🟣 Bullish and Bearish Setups
Bullish Setup : The price first sweeps below a Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) zone, then reverses upward after forming an MSS or CHoCH, and finally pulls back to an FVG, creating a buying opportunity.
Bearish Setup : The price first sweeps above a Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) zone, then reverses downward after forming an MSS or CHoCH, and finally pulls back to an FVG, creating a selling opportunity.
🔵 How to Use
To effectively utilize the ICT Turtle Soup trading setup, begin by identifying key liquidity zones, such as recent highs, lows, or support and resistance levels, in higher timeframes.
Then, monitor lower timeframes for a Liquidity Sweep and confirmation of a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or Change of Character (CHoCH).
After the structural shift, the price typically pulls back to an FVG, offering an optimal trade entry point. Below, the bullish and bearish setups are explained in detail.
🟣 Bullish Turtle Soup Setup
Identify Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) : In a higher timeframe (e.g., 1-hour or 4-hour), identify recent price lows or support levels that serve as SSL zones, typically the location of stop-loss orders for traders.
Observe a Liquidity Sweep : On a lower timeframe (e.g., 15-minute or 30-minute), the price must move below one of these liquidity zones and then reverse. This movement indicates a liquidity sweep.
Confirm Market Structure Shift : After the price reversal, look for a structural shift (MSS or CHoCH) indicated by the formation of a Higher Low (HL) and Higher High (HH).
Enter the Trade : Once the structural shift is confirmed, the price typically pulls back to an FVG. Enter a buy trade in this zone, set a stop-loss slightly below the recent low, and target Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) in the higher timeframe for profit.
🟣 Bearish Turtle Soup Setup
Identify Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) : In a higher timeframe, identify recent price highs or resistance levels that serve as BSL zones, typically the location of stop-loss orders for traders.
Observe a Liquidity Sweep : On a lower timeframe, the price must move above one of these liquidity zones and then reverse. This movement indicates a liquidity sweep.
Confirm Market Structure Shift : After the price reversal, look for a structural shift (MSS or CHoCH) indicated by the formation of a Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL).
Enter the Trade : Once the structural shift is confirmed, the price typically pulls back to an FVG. Enter a sell trade in this zone, set a stop-loss slightly above the recent high, and target Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) in the higher timeframe for profit.
🔵 Settings
Higher TimeFrame Levels : This setting allows you to specify the higher timeframe (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily) for identifying key liquidity zones.
Swing period : You can set the swing detection period.
Max Swing Back Method : It is in two modes "All" and "Custom". If it is in "All" mode, it will check all swings, and if it is in "Custom" mode, it will check the swings to the extent you determine.
Max Swing Back : You can set the number of swings that will go back for checking.
FVG Length : Default is 120 Bar.
MSS Length : Default is 80 Bar.
FVG Filter : This refines the number of identified FVG areas based on a specified algorithm to focus on higher quality signals and reduce noise.
Types of FVG filter s:
Very Aggressive Filter: Adds a condition where, for an upward FVG, the last candle's highest price must exceed the middle candle's highest price, and for a downward FVG, the last candle's lowest price must be lower than the middle candle's lowest price. This minimally filters out FVGs.
Aggressive Filter: Builds on the Very Aggressive mode by ensuring the middle candle is not too small, filtering out more FVGs.
Defensive Filter: Adds criteria regarding the size and structure of the middle candle, requiring it to have a substantial body and specific polarity conditions, filtering out a significant number of FVGs.
Very Defensive Filter: Further refines filtering by ensuring the first and third candles are not small-bodied doji candles, retaining only the highest quality signals.
In the indicator settings, you can customize the visibility of various elements, including MSS, FVG, and HTF Levels. Additionally, the color of each element can be adjusted to match your preferences. This feature allows traders to tailor the chart display to their specific needs, enhancing focus on the key data relevant to their strategy.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Turtle Soup trading setup is a powerful tool in the ICT style, enabling traders to exploit false breakouts in key liquidity zones. By combining concepts of liquidity, liquidity sweeps, market structure shifts (MSS and CHoCH), and pullbacks to FVG, this setup helps traders identify precise reversal points and execute trades with reduced risk and increased accuracy.
With applications across various markets, including forex, stocks, crypto, and futures, and its customizable indicator settings, the ICT Turtle Soup setup is ideal for both beginner and advanced traders. By accurately identifying liquidity zones in higher timeframes and confirming structure shifts in lower timeframes, this setup provides a reliable strategy for navigating volatile market conditions.
Ultimately, success with this setup requires consistent practice, precise market analysis, and proper risk management, empowering traders to make smarter decisions and achieve their trading goals.
[blackcat] L2 Enhanced MACD Trend█ OVERVIEW
The Enhanced MACD Trend script combines traditional Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) analysis with On-Balance Volume (OBV) insights to provide traders with a comprehensive understanding of market trends. By examining both price momentum and volume fluctuations, this tool aids in identifying potential upward or downward market transitions.
█ LOGICAL FRAMEWORK
Initially, the script prompts users to configure fundamental parameters such as the speed of moving averages. It subsequently utilizes a specialized auxiliary function named calculate_macd_obv_signals to perform intricate computations. This function calculates the discrepancy between two distinct types of moving averages (captured via MACD analysis), evaluates the direction of capital inflows and outflows within securities (using OBV), and applies smoothing techniques to mitigate undue influence from minor fluctuations. Ultimately, visual representations of these calculations are rendered on an additional chart pane for enhanced interpretability.
█ CUSTOM FUNCTIONS
Function: calculate_macd_obv_signals
• Purpose: Determines critical aspects associated with MACD and OBV.
• Parameters:
• fastLength (int): Dictates the responsiveness of the shorter Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to price variations.
• slowLength (int): Specifies the reactivity of the longer EMA.
• signalSmoothing (int): Defines the degree of smoothness applied to the divergence between EMAs.
• Functionality:
• macd_diff: Illustrates whether price increases have accelerated relative to previous levels or decelerated, providing insight into existing momentum.
• macd_signal_line: Smoothens macd_diff values, serving akin to a trailing indicator for macd_diff.
• macd_histogram: Visually accentuates disparities between macd_diff and macd_signal_line employing color-coded bars, facilitating identification of significant divergences.
• obv_signal: Represents a refined variant of short-term OBV concentrating solely on periods characterized by elevated buying interest, aiding in reduction of extraneous signals.
• moving_average_short: Analyzes recent closing prices across several sessions to corroborate burgeoning bullish or bearish tendencies.
• Returns: An array encompassing .
█ KEY POINTS AND TECHNIQUES
Advanced Features: Employs sophisticated functions including ta.ema() and ta.sma(), enabling accurate calculation of EMAs and SMAs respectively, thus enhancing precision in trend detection.
Optimization Techniques: Incorporates customizable inputs (input.int) permitting strategic adjustments alongside scrutiny of escalating or declining volumes to accurately gauge genuine sentiment shifts while discounting insignificant anomalies.
Best Practices: Maintains separation between algorithmic processes and graphical outputs, preserving organizational clarity; hence simplifying debugging efforts and future enhancements.
Unique Approaches: Integrates multifaceted assessments simultaneously – amalgamating candlestick formations and volumetric activities – offering a holistic perspective instead of reliance on singular indicators. Consequently, delivers astute recommendations grounded in diverse analytical underpinnings rather than speculative forecasts.
█ EXTENDED KNOWLEDGE AND APPLICATIONS
Potential Modifications:
1 — Implement automated alert mechanisms signaling crossover events pinpointing optimal buy/sell junctures to fine-tune timing preemptively minimizing losses proactively.
2 — Enable user customization of sensitivity criteria governing trigger intensity thereby eliminating trivial aberrations and emphasizing substantial patterns exclusively.
Application Scenarios:
Beneficial for high-frequency trading aiming to capitalize on fleeting price movements swiftly. Suitable for dynamic environments necessitating rapid responses due to frequent market volatility demanding prompt reactions. Perfect for individuals engaging in regular transactions seeking unparalleled accuracy navigating fluctuating circumstances ensuring consistent profitability amidst disturbances maintaining steady yields irrespective of upheavals.
Related Concepts:
Contemplate interactions among oscillators (such as MACD) and volume metrics detecting instances wherein they oppose each other (indicative of divergences) or concur (signaling crossovers). Profound comprehension of these interrelationships substantially refines trading strategies integrating broader economic factors, seasonal influences guiding overarching plans resulting in heightened predictive capabilities elevating trading effectiveness leveraging cumulative information transforming unprocessed statistics into actionable intelligence empowering informed decisions advancing confidently toward objectives effortlessly scaling achievements seamlessly realizing aspirations effortlessly.
Adaptive Trend Flow [QuantAlgo]Adaptive Trend Flow 📈🌊
The Adaptive Trend Flow by QuantAlgo is a sophisticated technical indicator that harnesses the power of volatility-adjusted EMAs to navigate market trends with precision. By seamlessly integrating a dynamic dual-EMA system with adaptive volatility bands, this premium tool enables traders and investors to identify and capitalize on sustained market moves while effectively filtering out noise. The indicator's unique approach to trend detection combines classical technical analysis with modern adaptive techniques, providing traders and investors with clear, actionable signals across various market conditions and asset class.
💫 Indicator Architecture
The Adaptive Trend Flow provides a sophisticated framework for assessing market trends through a harmonious blend of EMA dynamics and volatility-based boundary calculations. Unlike traditional moving average systems that use fixed parameters, this indicator incorporates smart volatility measurements to automatically adjust its sensitivity to market conditions. The core algorithm employs a dual EMA system combined with standard deviation-based volatility bands, creating a self-adjusting mechanism that expands and contracts based on market volatility. This adaptive approach allows the indicator to maintain its effectiveness across different market phases - from ranging to trending conditions. The volatility-adjusted bands act as dynamic support and resistance levels, while the gradient visualization system provides instant visual feedback on trend strength and duration.
📊 Technical Composition and Calculation
The Adaptive Trend Flow is composed of several technical components that create a dynamic trending system:
Dual EMA System: Utilizes fast and slow EMAs for primary trend detection
Volatility Integration: Computes and smooths volatility for adaptive band calculation
Dynamic Band Generation: Creates volatility-adjusted boundaries for trend validation
Gradient Visualization: Provides progressive visual feedback on trend strength
📈 Key Indicators and Features
The Adaptive Trend Flow utilizes customizable length parameters for both EMAs and volatility calculations to adapt to different trading styles. The trend detection component evaluates price action relative to the dynamic bands to validate signals and identify potential reversals.
The indicator incorporates multi-layered visualization with:
Color-coded basis and trend lines (bullish/bearish)
Adaptive volatility-based bands
Progressive gradient background for trend duration
Clear trend reversal signals (𝑳/𝑺)
Smooth fills between key levels
Programmable alerts for trend changes
⚡️ Practical Applications and Examples
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to your TradingView chart by clicking on the star icon to add it to your favorites ⭐️
👀 Monitor Trends: Watch the basis line and trend band interactions to identify trend direction and strength. The gradient background intensity indicates trend duration and conviction.
🎯 Track Signals: Pay attention to the trend reversal markers that appear on the chart:
→ Long signals (𝑳) appear when price action confirms a bullish trend reversal
→ Short signals (𝑺) indicate validated bearish trend reversals
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts for trend changes in both bullish and bearish directions, ensuring you never miss significant technical developments.
🌟 Summary and Tips
The Adaptive Trend Flow by QuantAlgo is a sophisticated technical tool designed to support trend-following strategies across different market environments and asset class. By combining dual EMA analysis with volatility-adjusted bands, it helps traders and investors identify significant trend changes while filtering out market noise, providing validated signals. The tool's adaptability through customizable EMA lengths, volatility smoothing, and sensitivity settings makes it suitable for various trading timeframes and styles, allowing users to capture trending opportunities while maintaining protection against false signals.
Key parameters to optimize for your trading and/or investing style:
Main Length: Adjust for more or less sensitivity to trend changes (default: 10)
Smoothing Length: Fine-tune volatility calculations for signal stability (default: 14)
Sensitivity: Balance band width for trend validation (default: 2.0)
Visual Settings: Customize appearance with color and display options
The Adaptive Trend Flow is particularly effective for:
Identifying sustained market trends
Detecting trend reversals with confirmation
Measuring trend strength and duration
Filtering out market noise and false signals
Remember to:
Allow the indicator to validate trend changes before taking action
Use the gradient background to gauge trend strength
Combine with volume analysis for additional confirmation
Consider multiple timeframes for a complete market view
Adjust sensitivity based on market volatility conditions
Directional Volume IndexDirectional Volume Index (DVI) (buying/selling pressure)
This index is adapted from the Directional Movement Index (DMI), but based on volume instead of price movements. The idea is to detect building directional volume indicating a growing amount of orders that will eventually cause the price to follow. (DVI is not displayed by default)
The rough algorithm for the Positive Directional Volume Index (green bar):
calculate the delta to the previous green bar's volume
if the delta is positive (growing buying pressure) add it to an SMA, else add 0 (also for red bars)
divide these average deltas by the average volume
the result is the Positive Directional Volume Index (DVI+) (vice versa for DVI-)
Differential Directional Volume Index (DDVI) (relative pressure)
Creating the difference of both Directional Volume Indexes (DVI+ - DVI-) creates the Differential Directional Volume Index (DDVI) with rising values indicating a growing buying pressure, falling values a growing selling pressure. (DDVI is displayed by default, smoothed by a custom moving average)
Average Directional Volume Index (ADVX) (pressure strength)
Putting the relative pressure (DDVI) in relation to the total pressure (DVI+ + DVI-) we can determine the strength and duration of the currently building volume change / trend. For the DMI/ADX usually 20 is an indicator for a strong trend, values above 50 suggesting exhaustion and approaching reversals. (ADVX is not displayed by default, smoothed by a custom moving average)
Divergences of the Differential Directional Volume Index (DDVI) (imbalances)
By detecting divergences we can detect situations where e.g. bullish volume starts to build while price is in a downtrend, suggesting that there is growing buying pressure indicating an imminent bullish pullback/order block or reversal. (strong and hidden divergences are displayed by default)
Divergences Overview:
strong bull: higher lows on volume, lower lows on price
medium bull: higher lows on volume, equal lows on price
weak bull: equal lows on volume, lower lows on price
hidden bull: lower lows on volume, higher lows on price
strong bear: lower highs on volume, higher highs on price
medium bear: lower highs on volume, equal highs on price
weak bear: equal highs on volume, higher highs on price
hidden bear: higher highs on volume, lower highs on price
DDVI Bands (dynamic overbought/oversold levels)
Using Bollinger Bands with DDVI as source we receive an averaged relative pressure with stdev band offsets. This can be used as dynamic overbought/oversold levels indicating reversals on sharp crossovers.
Alerts
As of now there are no alerts built in, but all internal data is exposed via plot and plotshape functions, so it can be used for custom crossover conditions in the alert dialog. This is still a personal research project, so if you find good setups, please let me know.
Market Flow Volatility Oscillator (AiBitcoinTrend)The Market Flow Volatility Oscillator (AiBitcoinTrend) is a cutting-edge technical analysis tool designed to evaluate and classify market volatility regimes. By leveraging Gaussian filtering and clustering techniques, this indicator provides traders with clear insights into periods of high and low volatility, helping them adapt their strategies to evolving market conditions. Built for precision and clarity, it combines advanced mathematical models with intuitive visual feedback to identify trends and volatility shifts effectively.
👽 How the Indicator Works
👾 Volatility Classification with Gaussian Filtering
The indicator detects volatility levels by applying Gaussian filters to the price series. Gaussian filters smooth out noise while preserving significant price movements. Traders can adjust the smoothing levels using sigma parameters, enabling greater flexibility:
Low Sigma: Emphasizes short-term volatility.
High Sigma: Captures broader trends with reduced sensitivity to small fluctuations.
👾 Clustering Algorithm for Regime Detection
The core of this indicator is its clustering model, which classifies market conditions into two distinct regimes:
Low Volatility Regime: Calm periods with reduced market activity.
High Volatility Regime: Intense periods with heightened price movements.
The clustering process works as follows:
A rolling window of data is analyzed to calculate the standard deviation of price returns.
Two cluster centers are initialized using the 25th and 75th percentiles of the data distribution.
Each price volatility value is assigned to the nearest cluster based on its distance to the centers.
The cluster centers are refined iteratively, providing an accurate and adaptive classification.
👾 Oscillator Generation with Slope R-Values
The indicator computes Gaussian filter slopes to generate oscillators that visualize trends:
Oscillator Low: Captures low-frequency market behavior.
Oscillator High: Tracks high-frequency, faster-changing trends.
The slope is measured using the R-value of the linear regression fit, scaled and adjusted for easier interpretation.
👽 Applications
👾 Trend Trading
When the oscillator rises above 0.5, it signals potential bullish momentum, while dips below 0.5 suggest bearish sentiment.
👾 Pullback Detection
When the oscillator peaks, especially in overbought or oversold zones, provide early warnings of potential reversals.
👽 Indicator Settings
👾 Oscillator Settings
Sigma Low/High: Controls the smoothness of the oscillators.
Smaller Values: React faster to price changes but introduce more noise.
Larger Values: Provide smoother signals with longer-term insights.
👾 Window Size and Refit Interval
Window Size: Defines the rolling period for cluster and volatility calculations.
Shorter windows: adapt faster to market changes.
Longer windows: produce stable, reliable classifications.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Candle Open Time labels (& TAPDA Lines)Description of the "4-Hour Candle Opening Times (TAPDA Lines)" Indicator
The "4-Hour Candle Opening Times (TAPDA Lines)" indicator integrates key principles of the Time and Price Action Trading Algorithm (TAPTA) with practical tools for analyzing market behavior. This script is designed for traders who leverage the interaction between time and price to identify opportunities in the market. The indicator supports the identification of significant price levels and potential areas of interest based on historical data and recurring patterns tied to specific timeframes.
Core Concepts
Time and Price Interaction (TAPTA Logic):
The script implements TAPTA principles by focusing on time intervals (4-hour candles) and the price action associated with those intervals.
Traders use this logic to recognize how prices behave at specific times, identifying patterns, levels of support or resistance, and potential reversals.
Highs and Lows Recognition (TAPDA):
The indicator includes logic for identifying and marking "Tapped Highs and Lows," which occur when price action retraces to previously significant levels within a specified tolerance. These taps are visually represented with horizontal lines, enabling traders to spot recurring price behaviors and levels of interest.
Dynamic Levels for Decision-Making:
By combining time and price, the script visualizes key price levels and their relevance over time, equipping traders with actionable insights for entry, exit, and risk management.
Indicator Features
1. Visual Representation of Candle Opening Times
The indicator marks the opening times of 4-hour candles on the chart.
A customizable label system displays the time in either a 12-hour or 24-hour format, with options to toggle the visibility of AM/PM suffixes.
2. TAPDA Logic
Identifies and highlights price levels that have been tapped within a specified tolerance.
Horizontal lines are drawn to mark these levels, allowing traders to see historical price levels acting as support or resistance.
The "Tapped Highs and Lows" are updated dynamically based on the most recent price action.
3. Timeframe-Specific Filtering
Users can limit the display to specific times of interest, such as 2 AM, 6 AM, and 10 AM, by toggling the "GCT (General Candle Times)" option.
Additional options allow filtering TAPDA logic by AM or PM timeframes, catering to traders who focus on specific market sessions.
4. Adjustable Plotting Limits
The script incorporates settings for controlling the maximum number of labels and lines displayed on the chart:
Max Labels: Limits the number of labels plotted for 4-hour candle opening times.
Max TAPDA Lines: Limits the number of TAPDA horizontal lines displayed.
A "Sync Lines and Labels" option ensures the same number of labels and lines are plotted when enabled, providing a consistent and clutter-free visualization.
5. Plot Maximum Capability
A "Plot Max" feature allows users to override the default behavior and force the plotting of the maximum allowed labels and lines, providing a comprehensive view of historical data.
6. User-Friendly Customization
Fully customizable label styles, including options for position, size, color, and background opacity.
Adjustable tolerance levels for TAPDA lines ensure compatibility with different market conditions and trading strategies.
Settings for flipping or aligning label positions above or below candles, or locking them to the opening price.
Script Logic
The script is built to prioritize efficiency and clarity, adhering to TradingView's Pine Script best practices and community standards:
Initialization:
Arrays are used to store historical price data, including highs, lows, and timestamps, ensuring only the necessary amount of data is processed.
A flexible and efficient data management system maintains a rolling window of data for both labels and TAPDA lines, ensuring smooth performance.
Label and Line Plotting:
Labels are plotted dynamically at user-defined positions and styles to mark the opening times of 4-hour candles.
TAPDA lines are drawn between historical high or low points and the current price action when the tolerance condition is met.
Limit Management:
The script enforces limits on the number of labels and lines plotted on the chart to maintain visual clarity.
Users can enable synchronization between the maximum labels and lines to ensure consistent visualization.
Customization Options:
Extensive customization settings allow traders to tailor the indicator to their strategies and preferences, including:
Label and line styles.
Session filtering (AM, PM, or specific times).
Display limits and synchronization options.
Capabilities
1. Enhance Time-Based Analysis
By marking significant times (4-hour candle openings), traders can identify key market phases and recurring behaviors tied to specific hours.
2. Leverage Historical Price Action
TAPDA logic highlights areas where price action interacts with historical highs and lows, providing actionable insights into potential support or resistance zones.
3. Improve Decision-Making
The indicator supports informed decision-making by blending visual data with time and price action principles, helping traders spot opportunities and mitigate risks.
4. Flexible Application Across Strategies
Suitable for day traders, swing traders, and position traders who utilize time and price action for trend analysis, reversals, or breakout strategies.
Best Practices for Use
Key Levels Analysis:
Focus on labels and TAPDA lines near critical price zones to gauge potential market reactions.
Session-Based Trading:
Use AM/PM filters or GCT settings to isolate specific trading sessions relevant to your strategy.
Combine with Other Indicators:
Enhance the effectiveness of this indicator by combining it with moving averages, RSI, or other tools for confirmation.
Risk Management:
Use the identified levels for stop-loss placement or target setting to align with your risk tolerance.
Lanczos CandlesThis indicator reconstructs price action using Lanczos resampling, incorporating lower timeframe data to create a more detailed representation of market movements. Traditional candle aggregation on higher timeframes tends to lose some price action detail - this indicator attempts to preserve more of that information through mathematical resampling.
The indicator samples price data from a lower timeframe and uses the Lanczos algorithm, a mathematical method commonly used in signal processing and image resampling, to reconstruct the price series at the chart's timeframe. The process helps maintain price movements that might otherwise be smoothed out in regular candle aggregation.
The main settings allow you to select the source timeframe for sampling, adjust the Lanczos filter width to balance smoothness versus detail preservation, and optionally enable Heikin Ashi calculation. The filter width parameter (default: 3) affects how aggressive the smoothing is - higher values produce smoother results while lower values retain more of the original variation.
This approach can be useful for technical analysis when you want to work with higher timeframes while maintaining awareness of significant price movements that occurred within those candles. The optional Heikin Ashi mode can help visualize trends in the resampled data.
The indicator works best when there's a clear ratio between your chart timeframe and the source timeframe (for example, using 1-minute data to build 5-minute candles).
Smart DCA Strategy (Public)INSPIRATION
While Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) is a popular and stress-free investment approach, I noticed an opportunity for enhancement. Standard DCA involves buying consistently, regardless of market conditions, which can sometimes mean missing out on optimal investment opportunities. This led me to develop the Smart DCA Strategy – a 'set and forget' method like traditional DCA, but with an intelligent twist to boost its effectiveness.
The goal was to build something more profitable than a standard DCA strategy so it was equally important that this indicator could backtest its own results in an A/B test manner against the regular DCA strategy.
WHY IS IT SMART?
The key to this strategy is its dynamic approach: buying aggressively when the market shows signs of being oversold, and sitting on the sidelines when it's not. This approach aims to optimize entry points, enhancing the potential for better returns while maintaining the simplicity and low stress of DCA.
WHAT THIS STRATEGY IS, AND IS NOT
This is an investment style strategy. It is designed to improve upon the common standard DCA investment strategy. It is therefore NOT a day trading strategy. Feel free to experiment with various timeframes, but it was designed to be used on a daily timeframe and that's how I recommend it to be used.
You may also go months without any buy signals during bull markets, but remember that is exactly the point of the strategy - to keep your buying power on the sidelines until the markets have significantly pulled back. You need to be patient and trust in the historical backtesting you have performed.
HOW IT WORKS
The Smart DCA Strategy leverages a creative approach to using Moving Averages to identify the most opportune moments to buy. A trigger occurs when a daily candle, in its entirety including the high wick, closes below the threshold line or box plotted on the chart. The indicator is designed to facilitate both backtesting and live trading.
HOW TO USE
Settings:
The input parameters for tuning have been intentionally simplified in an effort to prevent users falling into the overfitting trap.
The main control is the Buying strictness scale setting. Setting this to a lower value will provide more buying days (less strict) while higher values mean less buying days (more strict). In my testing I've found level 9 to provide good all round results.
Validation days is a setting to prevent triggering entries until the asset has spent a given number of days (candles) in the overbought state. Increasing this makes entries stricter. I've found 0 to give the best results across most assets.
In the backtest settings you can also configure how much to buy for each day an entry triggers. Blind buy size is the amount you would buy every day in a standard DCA strategy. Smart buy size is the amount you would buy each day a Smart DCA entry is triggered.
You can also experiment with backtesting your strategy over different historical datasets by using the Start date and End date settings. The results table will not calculate for any trades outside what you've set in the date range settings.
Backtesting:
When backtesting you should use the results table on the top right to tune and optimise the results of your strategy. As with all backtests, be careful to avoid overfitting the parameters. It's better to have a setup which works well across many currencies and historical periods than a setup which is excellent on one dataset but bad on most others. This gives a much higher probability that it will be effective when you move to live trading.
The results table provides a clear visual representation as to which strategy, standard or smart, is more profitable for the given dataset. You will notice the columns are dynamically coloured red and green. Their colour changes based on which strategy is more profitable in the A/B style backtest - green wins, red loses. The key metrics to focus on are GOA (Gain on Account) and Avg Cost.
Live Trading:
After you've finished backtesting you can proceed with configuring your alerts for live trading.
But first, you need to estimate the amount you should buy on each Smart DCA entry. We can use the Total invested row in the results table to calculate this. Assuming we're looking to trade on
BTCUSD
Decide how much USD you would spend each day to buy BTC if you were using a standard DCA strategy. Lets say that is $5 per day
Enter that USD amount in the Blind buy size settings box
Check the Blind Buy column in the results table. If we set the backtest date range to the last 10 years, we would expect the amount spent on blind buys over 10 years to be $18,250 given $5 each day
Next we need to tweak the value of the Smart buy size parameter in setting to get it as close as we can to the Total Invested amount for Blind Buy
By following this approach it means we will invest roughly the same amount into our Smart DCA strategy as we would have into a standard DCA strategy over any given time period.
After you have calculated the Smart buy size, you can go ahead and set up alerts on Smart DCA buy triggers.
BOT AUTOMATION
In an effort to maintain the 'set and forget' stress-free benefits of a standard DCA strategy, I have set my personal Smart DCA Strategy up to be automated. The bot runs on AWS and I have a fully functional project for the bot on my GitHub account. Just reach out if you would like me to point you towards it. You can also hook this into any other 3rd party trade automation system of your choice using the pre-configured alerts within the indicator.
PLANNED FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS
Currently this is purely an accumulation strategy. It does not have any sell signals right now but I have ideas on how I will build upon it to incorporate an algorithm for selling. The strategy should gradually offload profits in bull markets which generates more USD which gives more buying power to rinse and repeat the same process in the next cycle only with a bigger starting capital. Watch this space!
MARKETS
Crypto:
This strategy has been specifically built to work on the crypto markets. It has been developed, backtested and tuned against crypto markets and I personally only run it on crypto markets to accumulate more of the coins I believe in for the long term. In the section below I will provide some backtest results from some of the top crypto assets.
Stocks:
I've found it is generally more profitable than a standard DCA strategy on the majority of stocks, however the results proved to be a lot more impressive on crypto. This is mainly due to the volatility and cycles found in crypto markets. The strategy makes its profits from capitalising on pullbacks in price. Good stocks on the other hand tend to move up and to the right with less significant pullbacks, therefore giving this strategy less opportunity to flourish.
Forex:
As this is an accumulation style investment strategy, I do not recommend that you use it to trade Forex.
For more info about this strategy including backtest results, please see the full description on the invite only version of this strategy named "Smart DCA Strategy"
Market StructureThis is an advanced, non-repainting Market Structure indicator that provides a robust framework for understanding market dynamics across any timeframe and instrument.
Key Features:
- Non-repainting market structure detection using swing highs/lows
- Clear identification of internal and general market structure levels
- Breakout threshold system for structure adjustments
- Integrated multi-timeframe compatibility
- Rich selection of 30+ moving average types, from basic to advanced adaptive variants
What Makes It Different:
Unlike most market structure indicators that repaint or modify past signals, this implementation uses a fixed-length lookback period to identify genuine swing points.
This means once a structure level or pivot is identified, it stays permanent - providing reliable signals for analysis and trading decisions.
The indicator combines two layers of market structure:
1. Internal Structure (lighter lines) - More sensitive to local price action
2. General Structure (darker lines) - Shows broader market context
Technical Details:
- Uses advanced pivot detection algorithm with customizable swing size
- Implements consecutive break counting for structure adjustments
- Supports both close and high/low price levels for breakout detection
- Includes offset option for better visual alignment
- Each structure break is validated against multiple conditions to prevent false signals
Offset on:
Offset off:
Moving Averages Library:
Includes comprehensive selection of moving averages, from traditional to advanced adaptive types:
- Basic: SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA
- Advanced: KAMA, ALMA, VIDYA, FRAMA
- Specialized: Hull MA, Ehlers Filter Series
- Adaptive: JMA, RPMA, and many more
Perfect for:
- Price action analysis
- Trend direction confirmation
- Support/resistance identification
- Market structure trading strategies
- Multiple timeframe analysis
This open-source tool is designed to help traders better understand market dynamics and make more informed trading decisions. Feel free to use, modify, and enhance it for your trading needs.
DemaRSI StrategyThis is a repost to a old script that cant be updated anymore, the request was made on Feb, 27, 2016.
Here's a engaging description for the tradingview script:
**DemaRSI Strategy: A Proven Trading System**
Join thousands of traders who have already experienced the power of this highly effective strategy. The DemaRSI system combines two powerful indicators - DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average) and RSI (Relative Strength Index) - to generate profitable trades with minimal risk.
**Key Features:**
* **Trend-Following**: Our algorithm identifies strong trends using a combination of DEMA and RSI, allowing you to ride the waves of market momentum.
* **Risk Management**: The system includes built-in stop-loss and take-profit levels, ensuring that your gains are protected and losses are minimized.
* **Session-Based Trading**: Trade during specific sessions only (e.g., London or New York) for even more targeted results.
* **Customizable Settings**: Adjust the length of moving averages, RSI periods, and other parameters to suit your trading style.
**What You'll Get:**
* A comprehensive strategy that can be used with any broker or platform
* Easy-to-use interface with customizable settings
* Real-time performance metrics and backtesting capabilities
**Start Trading Like a Pro Today!**
This script is designed for intermediate to advanced traders who want to take their trading game to the next level. With its robust risk management features, this strategy can help you achieve consistent profits in various market conditions.
**Disclaimer:** This script is not intended as investment advice and should be used at your own discretion. Trading carries inherent risks, and losses are possible.
~Llama3
Alternative Price [OmegaTools]The Alternative Price script is a sophisticated and flexible indicator designed to redefine how traders visualize and interpret price data. By offering multiple unique charting modes, robust customization options, and advanced features, this tool provides a comprehensive alternative to traditional price charts. It is particularly useful for identifying market trends, detecting patterns, and simplifying complex data into actionable insights.
This script is highly versatile, allowing users to choose from five distinct charting modes: Candles, Line, Channel, Renko, and Bubbles. Each mode serves a unique purpose and presents price information in an innovative way. When using this script, it is strongly recommended to hide the platform’s default price candles or chart data. Doing so will eliminate redundancy and provide a clearer and more focused view of the alternative price visualization.
The Candles mode offers a traditional candlestick charting style but with added flexibility. Users can choose to enable smoothed opens or smoothed closes, which adjust the way the open and close prices are calculated. When smoothed opens are enabled, the opening price is computed as the average of the actual open price and the closing prices of the previous two bars. This creates a more gradual representation of price transitions, particularly useful in markets prone to sudden spikes or irregularities. Similarly, smoothed closes modify the closing price by averaging it with the previous close, the high-low midpoint, and an exponential moving average of the high-low-close mean. This technique filters out noise, making trends and price momentum easier to identify.
In the Line mode, the script displays a simple line chart that connects the smoothed closing prices. This mode is ideal for traders who prefer minimalism or need to focus on the overall trend without the distraction of individual bar details. The Channel mode builds upon this by plotting additional lines representing the highs and lows of each bar. The resulting visualization resembles a price corridor that helps identify support and resistance zones or price compression areas.
The Renko mode introduces a more advanced and noise-filtering method of visualizing price movements. Renko charts, constructed using the ATR (Average True Range) as a baseline, display blocks that represent a specific price range. The script dynamically calculates the size of these blocks based on ATR, with separate thresholds for upward and downward movements. This makes Renko mode particularly effective for identifying sustained trends while ignoring minor price fluctuations. Additionally, the open and close values of Renko blocks can be smoothed to further refine the visualization.
The Bubbles mode represents price activity using circles or bubbles whose size corresponds to relative volume. This mode provides a quick and intuitive way to assess market participation at different price levels. Larger bubbles indicate higher trading volumes, while smaller bubbles highlight periods of lower activity. This visualization is particularly valuable in understanding the relationship between price movements and market liquidity.
The coloring of candles and other chart elements is a core feature of this script. Users can select between two color modes: Normal and Volume. In Normal mode, bullish candles are displayed in the user-defined bullish color, while bearish candles use the bearish color. Neutral elements, such as midpoints or undecided price movements, are shaded with a neutral color. In Volume mode, the candle colors are dynamically adjusted based on trading volume. A gradient color scale is applied, where the intensity of the bullish or bearish colors reflects the volume for that particular bar. This feature allows traders to visually identify periods of heightened activity and associate them with specific price movements.
Engulfing patterns, a popular technical analysis tool, are automatically detected and marked on the chart when the corresponding setting is enabled. The script identifies long engulfing patterns, where the current bar's range completely encompasses the previous bar’s range and indicates a potential bullish reversal. Similarly, short engulfing patterns are identified where the current bar fully engulfs the previous bar in the opposite direction, suggesting a bearish reversal. These patterns are visually highlighted with circular markers to draw the trader’s attention.
Each feature and mode is highly customizable. The colors for bullish, bearish, and neutral movements can be personalized, and the thresholds for patterns or smoothing can be fine-tuned to match specific trading strategies. The script's ability to toggle between various modes makes it adaptable to different market conditions and analysis preferences.
In summary, the Alternative Price script is a comprehensive tool that redefines the way traders view price charts. By offering multiple visualization modes, customizable features, and advanced detection algorithms, it provides a powerful way to uncover market trends, volume relationships, and significant patterns. The recommendation to hide default chart elements ensures that the focus remains on this innovative tool, enhancing its usability and clarity. This script empowers traders to gain deeper insights into market behavior and make informed trading decisions, all while maintaining a clean and visually appealing chart layout.
Keep in mind that some of the modes of this indicator might not reflect the actual closing price of the underlying asset, before opening a trade, check carefully the actual price!
Adaptive Supertrend with Dynamic Optimization [EdgeTerminal]The Enhanced Adaptive Supertrend represents a significant evolution of the traditional Supertrend indicator, incorporating advanced mathematical optimization, dynamic volatility adjustment, intelligent signal filtering, reduced noise and false positives.
Key Features
Dynamic volatility-adjusted bands
Self-optimizing multiplier
Intelligent signal filtering system
Cooldown period to prevent signal clustering
Clear buy/sell signals with optimal positioning
Smooth trend visualization
RSI and MACD integration for confirmation
Performance-based optimization
Dynamic Band Calculation
Dynamic Band Calculation automatically adapts to market volatility, generates wider bands in volatile periods, reducing false signals. It also generates tighter bands in stable periods, capturing smaller moves and smooth transitions between different volatility regimes.
RSI Integration
The RSI and MACD play multiple crucial roles in the Adaptive Supertrend.
It first helps with momentum factor calculation. This dynamically adjusts band width based on momentum conditions. When the RSI is oversold, bands widen by 20% to prevent false signals during strong downtrends and provide more room for price movements in extreme conditions.
When the RSI is overbought, brands tighten by 20% and they become more sensitive to potential reversals to help catch trend changes earlier.
This reduces false signals in strong trends, helps detect potential reversals earlier than the usual, create adaptive band width based on market conditions and finally, better protection against whipsaws.
MACD Integration
The MACD in this supertrend indicator serves as a trend confirmation tool. The idea is to use MACD crossovers to confirm trend changes to reduce false trend change signals and enhance the signal quality.
For this to become a signal, MACD crossovers must align with price movement to help filter out weak or false signals, which acts as an additional layer of trend confirmation.
Additionally, MACD line position relative to signal line indicates trend strength, helps maintain positions in strong trends and assists in early detection of trend weakening.
Momentum Integration
Momentum Integration prevents false signals in extreme conditions, It adjusts dynamic bands based on market momentum, improves trend confirmation in strong moves and reduces whipsaws during consolidations.
Improved signals
There are a few systems to generate better signals, allowing for generally faster signals compared to original supertrend, such as:
Enforced cooldown period between signals
Prevents signal clustering
Clearer entry/exit points
Reduced false signals during choppy markets
Performance Optimization
This script implements a Sharpe ratio-inspired optimization algorithm to balance returns against risk, penalize large drawdowns, adapt parameters in real-time and improve risk-adjusted performance
Parameter Settings
ATR Period: 10 (default) - adjust based on timeframe
Initial Multiplier: 3.0 (default) - will self-optimize
Optimization Period: 50 (default) - longer periods for more stability
Smoothing Period: 3 (default) - adjust for signal smoothness
Best Practices
Use on multiple timeframes for confirmation
Allow the optimization process to run for at least 50 bars
Monitor the adaptive multiplier for trend strength indication
Consider RSI and MACD alignment for stronger signals
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Awesome Oscillator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Awesome Oscillator shall create the "Saucer" long signal (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created "Saucer signal".
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one "Saucer" signal another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's go through all concepts used in this strategy to understand how they works together. Let's start from the easies one, the EMA. Let's briefly explain what is EMA. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to current price changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). It is commonly used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. It can be calculated with the following steps:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy uses EMA an initial long term trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
Let's go to the next, short-term trend filter which consists of Alligator and Fractals. Let's briefly explain what do these indicators means. The Williams Alligator, developed by Bill Williams, is a technical indicator designed to spot trends and potential market reversals. It uses three smoothed moving averages, referred to as the jaw, teeth, and lips:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When these lines diverge and are properly aligned, the "alligator" is considered "awake," signaling a strong trend. Conversely, when the lines overlap or intertwine, the "alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator assists traders in identifying when to act on or avoid trades.
The Williams Fractals, another tool introduced by Bill Williams, are used to pinpoint potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms when there are at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar displaying the highest high (for an up fractal) or the lowest low (for a down fractal), relative to the two bars on either side.
Key Points:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often combine fractals with other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, improving the accuracy of trading decisions.
How we use their combination in this strategy? Let’s consider an uptrend example. A breakout above an up fractal can be interpreted as a bullish signal, indicating a high likelihood that an uptrend is beginning. Here's the reasoning: an up fractal represents a potential shift in market behavior. When the fractal forms, it reflects a pullback caused by traders selling, creating a temporary high. However, if the price manages to return to that fractal’s high and break through it, it suggests the market has "changed its mind" and a bullish trend is likely emerging.
The moment of the breakout marks the potential transition to an uptrend. It’s crucial to note that this breakout must occur above the Alligator's teeth line. If it happens below, the breakout isn’t valid, and the downtrend may still persist. The same logic applies inversely for down fractals in a downtrend scenario.
So, if last up fractal breakout was higher, than Alligator's teeth and it happened after last down fractal breakdown below teeth, algorithm considered current trend as an uptrend. During this uptrend long trades can be opened if signal was flashed. If during the uptrend price breaks down the down fractal below teeth line, strategy considered that uptrend is finished with the high probability and strategy closes all current long trades. This combination is used as a short term trend filter increasing the probability of opening profitable long trades in addition to EMA filter, described above.
Now let's talk about Awesome Oscillator's "Sauser" signals. Briefly explain what is the Awesome Oscillator. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
Now we know what is AO, but what is the "Saucer" signal? This concept was introduced by Bill Williams, let's briefly explain it and how it's used by this strategy. Initially, this type of signal is a combination of the following AO bars: we need 3 bars in a row, the first one shall be higher than the second, the third bar also shall be higher, than second. All three bars shall be above the zero line of AO. The price bar, which corresponds to third "saucer's" bar is our signal bar. Strategy places buy stop order one tick above the price bar which corresponds to signal bar.
After that we can have the following scenarios.
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower low. If current AO bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AO bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next "Saucer" signal.
If long trades has been opened strategy use all the next signals until number of trades doesn't exceed 5. All trades are closed when the trend changes to downtrend according to combination of Alligator and Fractals described above.
Why we use "Saucer" signals? If AO above the zero line there is a high probability that price now is in uptrend if we take into account our two trend filters. When we see the decreasing bars on AO and it's above zero it's likely can be considered as a pullback on the uptrend. When we see the stop of AO decreasing and the first increasing bar has been printed there is a high probability that this local pull back is finished and strategy open long trade in the likely direction of a main trend.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next saucer signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.10%
Maximum Single Profit: +22.80%
Net Profit: +2838.58 USDT (+28.39%)
Total Trades: 107 (42.99% win rate)
Profit Factor: 3.364
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 373.43 USDT (-2.98%)
Average Profit per Trade: 26.53 USDT (+2.40%)
Average Trade Duration: 78 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Kalman Trend Strength Index (K-TSI)The Kalman Trend Strength Index (K-TSI) is an innovative technical indicator that combines the Kalman filter with correlation analysis to measure trend strength in financial markets. This sophisticated tool aims to provide traders with a more refined method for trend analysis and market dynamics interpretation.
The use of the Kalman filter is a key feature of the K-TSI. This advanced algorithm is renowned for its ability to extract meaningful signals from noisy data. In financial markets, this translates to smoothing out price action while maintaining responsiveness to genuine market movements. By applying the Kalman filter to price data before performing correlation analysis, the K-TSI potentially offers more stable and reliable trend signals.
The synergy between the Kalman-filtered price data and correlation analysis creates an oscillator that attempts to capture market dynamics more effectively. The correlation component contributes by measuring the strength and consistency of price movements relative to time, while the Kalman filter adds robustness by reducing the impact of market noise. Basing these calculations on Kalman-filtered data may help reduce false signals and provide a clearer picture of underlying market trends.
A notable aspect of the K-TSI is its normalization process. This approach adjusts the indicator's values to a standardized range (-1 to 1), allowing for consistent interpretation across different market conditions and timeframes. This flexibility, combined with the noise-reduction properties of the Kalman filter, positions the K-TSI as a potentially useful tool for various market environments.
In practice, traders might find that the K-TSI offers several potential benefits:
Smoother trend identification, which could aid in detecting the start and end of trends more accurately.
Possibly reduced false signals, particularly in choppy or volatile markets.
Potential for improved trend strength assessment, which might lead to more confident trading decisions.
Consistent performance across different timeframes, due to the adaptive nature of the Kalman filter and the normalization process.
The K-TSI's visual representation as a color-coded histogram further enhances its utility. The changing colors and intensities provide an intuitive way to gauge both the direction and strength of trends, making it easier for traders to quickly assess market conditions.
While the K-TSI builds upon existing concepts in technical analysis, its integration of the Kalman filter with correlation analysis offers traders an interesting tool for market analysis. It represents an attempt to address common challenges in technical analysis, such as noise reduction and trend strength quantification.
As with any technical indicator, the K-TSI should be used as part of a broader trading strategy rather than in isolation. Its effectiveness will depend on how well it aligns with a trader's individual approach and market conditions. For traders looking to explore a more refined trend strength oscillator, the Kalman Trend Strength Index could be a worthwhile addition to their analytical toolkit.
