Alternative view of the BTC halving cycles with estimated peaks

This alternative view of the BTC halving cycles contains estimated peaks and lows. This view may be easier to see. Please let me know if you have any questions or ideas.

تعليق:

The peaks seem to appear between the "green" & "blue" indicator lines on the "right" side of the center red lines.

تعليق:

Everyone may want to keep an eye on this chart too:

تعليق:

BTC is likely to decline over the next 12 months. However, after an estimate 2022-09-11 date, it is very likely to being increasing based off off the extended long-run historical data and trend.

تعليق:

BTC is currently in the decline

تعليق:

BTC & TOTAL Market Cap may double from 2021-10-31 to 2022-02-31

تعليق:

BTC may remain around 63.6k within 33 days; based off of the: 30m view; EMA ribbon.

تعليق:

BTC 103k by 2022-01-24 on the 3h view

BTC may see 103k by 2022-01-24. This is the 3h view; followed by a short decrease period (around 2022-02-15 or 2022-03-27 or 2022-04-20) of up to 19% after peaking.

Today is March 26, 2021 on the November 20, 2021 trend (see next two charts below).

On the chart below, BTC is measured in USDT & the "ZEC+ZEN+TRX+ETC" is measured in BTC.

2020-12-28 to 2021-12-23; View: "D". TOTAL (1,2,4) + BTCUSD + ETHUSD + ETHBTC

2020-12-28 to 2022-01-01; View: "D".
TOTAL (1,2,4) + BTCUSD + ETHUSD + ETHBTC + ETCBTC + TRXBTC + ZECBTC + ZENBTC + XLMBTC + JSTBTC + XEMBTC

تعليق:

TOTAL & T5YIE (2020-01 to 2022-01)

تعليق:

This may be a perfect forecast of BTC 3-hour (2021-05 to 2022-02) 103k by 2022-02-02.

تعليق:

تعليق:

تعليق:

تعليق:

Deflation slowing BTC purchases (NOV 8th (weekly data) ); leading to a decline in BTC prices.

تعليق:

تعليق:

BTC log 4-hour view 2021-12-15 to 2022-03-15; increase to $76k to $86k around 2022-03-15, then decrease during late March, April, & May 2022 to around $43k to $53k.

تعليق:

This is a more conservative & much slower rate of increase BTC 2022 Q1, log view, daily, forecast.
2022 Q1 BTCUSD Forecast, log view, daily. $46k 2022-01-13; $56k 2022-01-16; $53k 2022-01-24; $66k 2022-02-16; $69k 2022-03-03; $53k 2022-04-04

تعليق:

BTCUSD monthly average: 2022-01 $52666 & 2022-02 $51555

تعليق:

2022-08 chart still on target

تعليق:

Reminder: Diesel fuel expect to run out on 2022-11-19 in US & Europe. Perhaps, this shortage maybe felt at the diesel pumps around 2022-12-12. Check news & energy departments for updates.

تعليق:

تعليق:

2023 Q1 & Q2 bear. Q3 (flat) & Q4 slightly bull. mostly as recession risks increase along with WW3/WW4 activities.

تعليق:

Still on a relatively flat, then downward trend:

تعليق:

Roughly $25,555 could be next peak, before next dip.

تعليق:

$24,666.66 then decline for 2023-02

تعليق:

تعليق:

BTC may find bottom by 2023-06-06, after there is more historical data available.

تعليق:

BTC may find bottom by 2023-06-06 (daily) (2022-01 to 2024-01):

تعليق:

BTC repeating trend of 2022-07 & 2022-08 (possible double bottom or "longer flatter bottom", before the steady rise to the estimated peak of 2025-01):

تعليق:

BTC may stop declining before 2023-12.
BTC weekly 2022-03 to 2023-08
BTC weekly chart from 2022-03 to 2023-08 reflects a $36666.66 to $15666.66 zone for 2023-04 (see green dashed-line). However, the strongest resistance zones, based off of today's historical data (on 2023-02-28), reflect a $32666.66 to $15666.66 zone for 2023-08-28 (see pink dashed-line).

تعليق:

تعليق:

Based off of 2018 to 2020 analysis compared to today, there can be an additional -20% drop from today's price to 2023-06:

تعليق:

News: "Economist Harry Dent Expects Biggest Crash in Our Lifetime"
" Bitcoin may go down more like 95%, 96%. Dent expects the crypto market may crash alongside stocks, with BTC falling up to 95%-96% from its November 2021 high. "

تعليق:

1M TOTAL

تعليق:

2021-07 forecast still in play

تعليق:

تعليق:

There is a very high probability that BTC will decrease significantly from 2023-8-15 to 2024-01-15. Especially in 2023-12. recession prediction = 2024-01

تعليق:

recession prediction = 2024-01

تعليق:

2024 Recession -35% to -50% Update:

تعليق:

(click chart to play)
BTCUSDT 1W 2022-12 to 2024-02:

تعليق:

(click to play)

تعليق:

(click to play)

تعليق:

"Major Crypto Market-Wide Correction | Run For Your Life!"

تعليق:

2024-01-16 Update:

تعليق:

bottom should complete in the next 9.99 to 19.99 days (66.6 days before halving based off of past data). unless: there is a black swan effect from the 2024 spring offensive. also, using my idea "The hunt for BTC bottom" idea (aka magik box) with the Jan 3 update pattern; the increase should occur in the next 15 days as well.

تعليق:

BTCUSD 4h may reach bottom between 2024-02-01 and 2024-02-11:
(click to play)

تعليق:

still in play

تعليق:

$150000 to $250000 is still very possible for 2025