스프링 then SoS

아직은 서플라이의 흔적. SoS 의 부재.
Closed all margin long . holding only spots from 29k.

waiting for Price action to be more clear.

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following purple path.

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and little adjust, don't see a SoS. we will have a slight pull back towards demand.
expect it to hit 32k ish.

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its time for great bear trap setup P

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No altcoins yet for me, its time for the KING

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Last Point Of Support (LPS): Should have a LACK OF SUPPLY indicated by a RELATIVE NARROWING of the SPREAD and a DECREASE IN THE VOLUME. The comparison is between the up move constituting the (SOS) and the REACTION FOLLOWING it, the (LPS). See the Back-up to the Edge of the Creek (BEC). What if the stock has a possible (SOS) indicated by a widening spread and increasing volume on the move up and is then followed by good supply on possible (LPS) indicated by wide spread and high volume on the reaction? This CANCELS the probability of the fist action being a (SOS) and the stock will probably continue in the trading range for additional testing.

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검은 원 = LOCAL SOS
파란색 원 = LPS

볼륨은 줄어들지 않고 있으며 시장에는 여전히 서플라이의 흔적.

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but i bet this is new base for next leg up = LPS (last point of support)
Don't see a proof of "distribution"
supply absorbing near local support.

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mean reversion :

spot cvd being the lower,
more sells on futs.

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i love trap trap ~ and bear is in trouble ~

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invalidation is clear. and i still think this is liquidity sweep , get more short in the market then squeeze up .

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LONG AND STRONG

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We could still sweep the support, but still.. don't see a distribution here.

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If the price of a bottom 2 is higher than the price of bottom 1, it’s a higher low and a convincing bounce.
If the prices are the same, it’s still a W-bottom but somewhat weaker.
If the bottom 2 is lower, it might not be the final bottom yet.
With bbands you will look for the 3-push and W-bottom structures relative to the bbands:

If the bottom 2 has lower price than bottom 1 but is farther up from the lower bband than bottom 1, it’s a strongly convincing bottom. The edge lies in the fact that it’s a higher low relatively to the bbands, a bullish structure that a lot of traders will miss.

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not confirmed yet, this bigger tf bounce is higher than last low ( bb band 1) ?
what confirms

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see the volume profile.

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ETH

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*wyckoff perspective

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there you go.
아주 적당한 타이밍에 새로운 테더 발행 :)
SoS 로 쓰일 총알?

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the market cycle ?

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stopped out in margin long, just holding spot.
but i still think this goes up.
will scale in margin long gain.

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scaled in margin long

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spring or test of previous spring

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stopped out margin long
holding spots for now

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Supply 가 시장에 확인.
빨간 박스에서 supply 가 다시 absorption 되는지 확인

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buy back strong after sell down = SoS :)

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consolidate , absorb more supply (or could just fly)

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지난 저점에서 볼륨 확인후 재차 상승하는 경우의 Long entry.
하지만 현재도 서플라이가 줄어들지 않고 있는 흔적.
급하게 롱을 열기에는 high risk.

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do not long the resistance
there is weird supply keep showing up in small tf.
sold spot, open hedge short on ETH at 1344

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RED ALERT RED ALERT

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market seems very imbalance now. selling 70% of my spots too.
be careful, you can buy back anytime when you see confirmation.
but this volume action is not what i was waiting for to confirm breakout.

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we can sure see red path too. but i don't like this volume action here.
조심 조심 또 조심..

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I reckon we need to go way lower again to set market
imbalance -> balance..

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스프링이라고 확인하였지만 지금 보여주는 것은... 조심

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Doesnt seem to sustainable.. will wait for entry or see if it reclain

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yeah.. still its a little short squeeze in action rather than SoS

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i am waiting one more day to see if it reclaim the creek, shows some strength.
before that scaling in short in small position.

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현재의 TR 이 시작될때는 볼륨을 기반으로 재축적이라고 생각했지만
supply , absorption 을 고려할때 한번 더 low 를 테스트 할 것 이라고 생각합니다.
그리고 그 저점은 이전 저점보다 더 많은 유동성을 향해 갈 것이고
그 저점 도달시 빠른 속도로 반등할 것 (1-2일) 이라고 생각합니다.

급하게 포지션을 갖기보단, 34를 확실하게 reclaim 한 것을 확인하는 경우 (daily close) , 작은 풀백들에서 나누어 매수 포지션을 고려하는 것이 좋다고 생각하고.

저는 현재 조금의 스팟 롱과 이더 숏을 갖고 있습니다.

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ETH now

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BTC nov.2020

compare the volume, and you get an idea

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lots of ppl will start to buy eth on 1250ish.. good luck.. i see something brewing up

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closed short in profit.

elon musk tweet insta pump lol

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تم إغلاق الصفقة يدويًا:

insta pump and volume is quiet amazing.
차트로 보기보다는 최근 시장(미증시) 생각하면
한발자국 멀리서 짧은 거래만 하는것이 좋아보입니다.

thread close.