BTC 1W Breakdown: My Current Read on the Structure - Nov 23 2025

Here’s the simplified version of what I’m seeing (and expecting) on this weekly chart.

Blue zones = support
Orange zone = major resistance
Teal path = my forward outlook into next year

Support Levels (Blue)

I’ve mapped out three key support areas that I think matter most on the weekly:

$80.4K: First major support. If BTC is going to bounce early, this is where it would probably try.

$72K: The big one for me. This has historical confluence, prior consolidation, and strong demand. If we’re going to get a proper “cycle reset” type pullback, this is where I think it happens.

$61K: Deeper support. I’m not calling for this in the baseline scenario, but if things get extra sloppy or we see forced liquidations, this is absolutely on the table.

Resistance (Orange)

$105K is still the level BTC needs to reclaim to flip the macro structure back into full-on expansion mode. It was the rejection area earlier in the run, and I expect it to act as the mid-cycle ceiling until momentum rebuilds.

My Expected Path (Teal)

This teal line is basically my roadmap:

Dip into support: I’m leaning toward at least a move into the low-$70Ks.

Choppy consolidation: The usual mid-cycle grind. Weeks of sideways action, fakeouts, and probably a lot of frustration.

Reclaiming the mid-range: A slow climb back toward $100K–105K.

Breakout later next year: Once that resistance is cleared, I think BTC finally gets the strength to push into new highs and run toward the $140K–160K zone.

This is the kind of structure that shakes out weak hands, clears leverage, and resets indicators before a real expansion phase kicks in.

Overall View:

It’s not the clean, vertical moonshot scenario… but honestly, this kind of multi-month reset is exactly what fuels the next big leg. If this plays out, there’s going to be plenty of opportunity to accumulate before the breakout.

This is a long-game weekly view: slow, messy, but ultimately bullish.