BTC Tracking --- Bull Swing into Q1

Heres a super simple chart I created way back on October 6th, but BTC has seemed to follow my prediction pretty religiously. Now this chart is NOTHING special. Was honestly me just making observations, charting out cycles and specific price points comparative to BTC real time. I then took those moves and compared them to our present price and price action. Averaging these moves together and running a few programs I came up with 3 scenarios. Scenario 1: BTC bounces off the current 85k threshold its at now, similar to a move we had at the start of January. We saw BTC rebound a large amount after this --- if this scenario becomes valid then I expect to see BTC back to 147k with some change. If BTC falls through the 75k threshold we could see an extreme bearish cycle repeat. Tanking BTC back down to roughly 23k (collapsing capital markets as we know it). This would essentially be an extreme recessionary occurrence -- Which I don't see happening. Scenario 3 : Is actually just a bullish extension of Scenario 1, but based off a growth cycle that occurred in the very beginning of BTCs development.

Please feel free to take a look at this and see if you can add anything to it to make it more refined. I truly think BTC is a fantastic Macro Retail Indicator for both liquidity and confidence. I personally see BTC averaging at the 85k range and sweeping into high to mid 70s. This should happen over Thanksgiving week as families will be together and fear can spread much quicker relating to asset and equity management. Then we should see our recovery back up into ATH leading from Early Dec Q4 ---- Late October Q3 2026. I expect to see 147k by April to June of next year. But we will 100% see a pump before year end. This is simply a shakeout.