Now What Bitcoin? Scenario 1: Bullish - Pls check Scenario 2 too

Hello everyone again.
My bullish scenario still stands, however I started loosing hope about reaching 5k's. But still it is possible.
This is case 1: IF BITCOIN STAYS above 3750 (on bitfinex) our bull case is still valid.

Falling below 3750 will turn the Case 2 ON.
3750 is my bull STOP.

I will not be greedy and get out at 4500 if we turn bullish...

I don't believe that we will turn the market to bull and falling to 2600 is really likely.
6000 USD is my top for this Bull case