🔹 Current Price: 84,070
🔹 Key Levels:
🟢 Support: 78,189 (Fib 0.65), 72,138 (Fib 0.618)
🔴 Resistance: 97,418 (Fib 0.886), 109,609 (Fib 1.0)
🔮 Possible Scenarios:
📉 Scenario 1: Deeper Pullback Before Rally 🚀
BTC drops to the golden pocket (Fib 0.618-0.65 at 72k-78k).
Bulls step in, creating a higher low.
If confirmed, BTC pushes back to 98k and eventually towards 1.618 Fib at 175k.
🔹 Odds: 60/40
📈 Scenario 2: Immediate Rebound and Breakout 💥
BTC holds current support (~84k) and bounces.
Breaks through 97k resistance, confirming strength.
Push towards 109k, then 134k.
🔹 Odds: 40/60 (lower probability due to weak momentum signals).
⚠️ Scenario 3: Bearish Case: Break Below 72k
If BTC loses 72k, we could see 56k (Fib 0.5) tested.
Would invalidate bullish structure short-term.
🔹 Odds: 30/70
🎯 Key Watch Points:
1️⃣ Reaction at 78-72k: If buyers step in aggressively, scenario 1 is more likely.
2️⃣ Strength above 97k: If BTC reclaims this level, bulls take control.
3️⃣ Macro environment: External factors (ETF flows, Fed policy) could accelerate or delay moves.
🚀 Long-term structure remains bullish, but in short-term shakeouts are very likely.
🔹 Key Levels:
🟢 Support: 78,189 (Fib 0.65), 72,138 (Fib 0.618)
🔴 Resistance: 97,418 (Fib 0.886), 109,609 (Fib 1.0)
🔮 Possible Scenarios:
📉 Scenario 1: Deeper Pullback Before Rally 🚀
BTC drops to the golden pocket (Fib 0.618-0.65 at 72k-78k).
Bulls step in, creating a higher low.
If confirmed, BTC pushes back to 98k and eventually towards 1.618 Fib at 175k.
🔹 Odds: 60/40
📈 Scenario 2: Immediate Rebound and Breakout 💥
BTC holds current support (~84k) and bounces.
Breaks through 97k resistance, confirming strength.
Push towards 109k, then 134k.
🔹 Odds: 40/60 (lower probability due to weak momentum signals).
⚠️ Scenario 3: Bearish Case: Break Below 72k
If BTC loses 72k, we could see 56k (Fib 0.5) tested.
Would invalidate bullish structure short-term.
🔹 Odds: 30/70
🎯 Key Watch Points:
1️⃣ Reaction at 78-72k: If buyers step in aggressively, scenario 1 is more likely.
2️⃣ Strength above 97k: If BTC reclaims this level, bulls take control.
3️⃣ Macro environment: External factors (ETF flows, Fed policy) could accelerate or delay moves.
🚀 Long-term structure remains bullish, but in short-term shakeouts are very likely.
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إخلاء المسؤولية
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