speculation trade on BTC after FED result

BTC always got rejection many times and can't breakout easily and 26.400 level on fib 61.8% already got rejection that probably will make the death cat bounce.
the volatility will come on the FED report, and if the break out can't happen again / make a fake out.
SHORT from 26.200 level
SL = 26.400 - 26.500
TP on
step 1 --> 25.300
step 2 --> 24.500
step 3 --> 23.300
step 4 --> 21.800

and if the Bulls going stronger and the breakout happen, we can play on the confirmation on the 4H
open order on 26.400
SL = 25.900
TP 1 = 27.200
TP 2 = 28.000
TP 3 = 29.600
TP 4 = 31.300

if analysis with elliot wave, if bulls happen ABC down theory already complish, and wave 1 is start it and the bulls will end in 40K from fib 1.618

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TP Short step 1 is reached. probably step 2 will got it and would pull back to test 61,8% at 26.400, and if got rejection it would death cat bounce to step 3