Daily Futures Volatility Forecast 23 May 22 Gold, Silver, Oil

GOLD 23 May 2022
For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 1.06% movement.
So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 1845 open candle value, is going to be:
TOP 1845 + 20 -> aprox 1865
BOT 1845 - 20 -> aprox 1825

At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 1.55%
With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 90% probability.
So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within
TOP 1845 + 28 -> aprox 1873
BOT 1845 - 28 -> aprox 1817



----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SILVER 23 May 2022
For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 1.86% movement.
So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 21.73 open candle value, is going to be:
TOP 21.73 + 0.4 -> aprox 22.13
BOT 21.73 - 0.4 -> aprox 21.32

At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 2.92%
With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 90% probability.
So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within
TOP 21.73 + 0.64 -> aprox 22.36
BOT 21.73 - 0.64 -> aprox 21.09



----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Crude Oil 23 May 2022
For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 3.19% movement.
So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 110.5 open candle value, is going to be:
TOP 110.5 + 3.55 -> aprox 114
BOT 110.5 - 3.55 -> aprox 107

At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 5.1%
With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 90% probability.
So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within
TOP 110.5 + 5.66 -> aprox 116
BOT 110.5 - 5.66 -> aprox 105



----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------