Short-term: bullish Medium-term: bullish Long-term (3 to 6 months): bearish
Technicals + 2 YR sovereign yield spreads are supportive of a potential bullish reversal for the US Dollar Index DXY as long as 104.75 MT pivotal support holds. Above 110.20 is required for a test on 114.80/117.10 key LT pivotal resistance zone where the DXY may start to kickstart a major (multi-month) corrective decline sequence.
US inflation expectations; 5 YR & 10 YR breakeven inflation rates have continued to remain soft since Mar/ Apr 2022.
Major peak of these rates tends to lead major peak of US Dollar Index DXY (Mar 2005). Current secular bull trend of DXY since Mar 08 is coming to a tailed
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