DXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 60% DXY, 40% Cash.

*US September PCE price index increased 0.3% from August, and Core PCE increased by 0.6%. DXY, US Treasuries, Gold, Agriculture, GBPUSD and Cryptos are up while VIX, Equities, Equity Futures, EURUSD and Energy are down. In Vladimir Putin's speech today he announced the 'formal' annexation of four regions in Ukraine, many believe this is to allow Russia to use chemical or nuclear weapons as part of Putin's promise to "... defend our land with all the powers and means at our disposal”. Putin also continued painting the narrative of the West as Satanic dictators in hopes of bolstering that perspective amongst Russia's people and allies; he also placed direct blame on the West for sabotaging the Nordstream Pipeline earlier this week. In Putin's words about the liberties and freedoms people have in the West, one can hear the Russian Orthodox directorship of Moscow's Patriarch Kirill who recently claimed that the Russian war dead have had their sins forgiven. One thing that Putin mentioned that is agreeable is that the USA is the only country to have used nuclear weapons on another country, whether Putin's Russia is the second, only time will tell. Short story long, Putin appears to be building up the necessary ingredients to officially start World War 3. Key Upcoming Dates: S&P US September Manufacturing PMI at 945am EST 10/03; September Employment Situation at 830am EST 10/07.*

Price is currently trending down at ~$112 after being rejected by $114.63 resistance, the next support (minor) is at $110.02. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $111.40, this margin is bearish. RSI is currently trending up at 60.51 after bouncing off of 59.17 support; the next resistance (minor) is at 70.28. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down at 29 as it approaches a test of 24.14 support with no signs of trough formation. MACD remains bullish and is currently trending down at 1.19 as it's still technically testing 1.24 resistance, the next support is at 0.64. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 36 as Price is seeing a downward correction, this is neutral at the moment.

If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely retest the upper trendline of the channel from October 2008 at ~$114 as resistance which will likely coincide with a retest of $114.63 resistance as well. However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely test $110 minor support. Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $111.50.
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