TraderEngineering

ETH → Ascending Wedge, Double Top, About to Drop!? Let's Answer.

شراء
INDEX:ETHUSD   اثيريوم
Ethereum has a string of reversal indications that give us a picture of bearish price action. Are these data points enough to enter a short?

How do we trade this? 🤔
Three pushes up, an ascending wedge, and strong resistance alone is not enough justification to enter a reversal trade unless you fade your position (small entries until the reversal happens). It's better to wait for a strong bear bar closing on or near its low below the 30EMA to provide enough probability to justify a reversal trade. If the price breaks below the Daily 30EMA and closes a candle with followthrough or a re-test of the 30EMA as resistance, a short entry is justified.

Alternatively, if we find support at the 30EMA or get a strong bull bar closing near it's high, it's reasonable to think the price will hit the next resistance target of $2520.00. I would trade small on any long position this late in the trend as it's more likely we're about to enter a trading range or major pullback.


💡 Trade Ideas 💡

Short Entry: $2,150.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $2,250.00
✅ Take Profit: $1,950.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2

Long Entry: $2,250.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $2,150.00
✅ Take Profit: $2,450.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2


🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑

1. Three Pushes up in Bull Trend.
2. Formed Ascending Wedge, Price Fell Out.
3. Potential Double Top, Wait for Break Below 30EMA to Short.
4. If Bounce at Support, Reasonable to Long to Next Resistance.
5. RSI at 55.00 below Moving Average, Indecision.


💰 Trading Tip 💰
Three pushes up, an ascending wedge, and strong resistance alone is not enough justification to enter a reversal trade unless you fade your position (small entries until the reversal happens). It's better to wait for a strong bear bar closing on or near its low below the 30EMA to provide enough probability to justify a reversal trade. Your probability is still inherently low, but catching a trend when it starts gives you more room for reward, that's the tradeoff.


⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!


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-Joe Dean
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TraderEngineering.com
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