could we still hold GU for bullish

١٨ سبتمبر ٢٠٢٤

an Elliott Wave analysis. Here's a breakdown of what the chart might indicate:

1. Elliott Wave Count:
- The chart shows a series of five waves, with the current price action seemingly in the fifth wave (labeled "(5)").
- This suggests that the pair is in an impulsive upward trend, with the potential for a fifth wave to complete the current rally.

2. Support and Resistance Zones:
- The chart also highlights several horizontal yellow areas, likely representing support and resistance levels. These levels could be key areas for potential reversals or price reactions.

3. Price Target for Wave 5:
- A red arrow indicates the anticipated wave (5) movement, pointing towards a higher price level, which might suggest a bullish continuation.

4. Trend Channel:
- A rising channel seems to enclose the price action, indicating that the overall trend is upward, and the price is following this structured path.

٢٣ سبتمبر ٢٠٢٤

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GBP/USD chart on a 1-day timeframe with clearer indications and a refined trading plan. Here's a detailed breakdown of what has changed and the current market outlook based on this chart:

1. Wave (5) Projection:
Wave (5) remains highlighted as the final upward wave in this Elliott Wave pattern, suggesting a continued bullish trend.
A red arrow indicates a potential price rise towards the 1.37309 level. This aligns with the expectation that the fifth wave could push the price higher.
2. Risk-Reward Setup:
The green and red box appears to represent a Risk-Reward Ratio (R
) setup:
The green zone marks the potential target zone for this trade (upside profit), corresponding to the wave (5) target of around 1.37309.
The red zone highlights the stop-loss area, sitting at around 1.31680, showing the potential downside risk.
The setup indicates a favorable risk-reward ratio, with the target much higher than the stop-loss level.
3. Support Levels:
Several yellow horizontal lines still denote key support levels:
A significant support level at 1.31680, which aligns with the stop-loss level. This is likely a critical support area, and if broken, it might invalidate the bullish scenario.
Additional lower supports around 1.28700 and 1.26700, which could be of interest if the bullish outlook does not play out.
4. Price Action:
The current price is around 1.33451, which is consolidating after a move higher, indicating potential bullish continuation once the price breaks out of this consolidation.
Price action shows higher highs and higher lows, which is a strong bullish signal within the Elliott Wave count.
5. Trading Outlook:
Bullish Case: The fifth wave is expected to push GBP/USD towards 1.37309, offering a strong upside target.
Bearish Risk: If the price breaks below 1.31680 (stop-loss level), it might invalidate the bullish wave count, leading to a potential deeper retracement.
The chart suggests a bullish trade setup with an entry near the current levels, aiming for a target of 1.37309. The risk is managed with a stop-loss below 1.31680, allowing for a favorable risk-reward ratio.