📅 1D Chart | SMC | BOS/CHoCH | FVG Zones | ORB (0930–0945)
Price: $213.50 | Volume: 20.64M
The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is pushing into the equilibrium zone after a clean Break of Structure (BOS) from the mid-May lows. This rally signals regained bullish intent, but macro and liquidity overhead remain the key challenges.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
🟩 Current Zone: Sitting at $213.50 near equilibrium
🟨 First Supply Zone (Reaction Expected): ~$227.98–$230
🟥 Strong High/Final Target Zone: $243–$250 (Premium)
Key Confluence:
CHoCH into BOS confirms structure shift
Volume decreasing slightly—awaiting re-accumulation before next leg
🧠 Probabilistic Positioning:
📈 Bullish Continuation (65%):
Pullback toward $210–213 zone (equilibrium) before reclaiming higher resistance. Strong move likely if macro sentiment aligns (Fed pause, rate-cut optimism).
📉 Bearish Rejection (35%):
Failure to hold $210 leads to re-tests of:
$200 zone (OB/FVG)
Extended: $186–$175
🌐 Macro Context:
Small-caps are interest rate-sensitive. With markets pricing fewer hikes and potential cuts into late 2025, capital rotation into risk assets may continue.
GDP revision and ISM Services softness support risk-on flows. However, real yields remain sticky, capping aggressive upside.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $210–213.50
Target 1: $227.98
Target 2: $243+
Invalidation: Close below $210 (re-enter lower OBs)
🔒 Risk-to-Reward: ~1:3 on breakout retest scenario
📌 Conclusion:
IWM is climbing the risk ladder with structure and volume backing it. Watch for reaction at the mid-supply zone ($228–230). A clean break above could validate a move toward the premium zone.
#IWM #Russell2000 #SmartMoneyConcepts #TechnicalAnalysis #VolumeProfile #FVG #MarketStructure #TradingView #MacroOutlook #BOS #SMC #Equilibrium #RiskReward
Price: $213.50 | Volume: 20.64M
The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is pushing into the equilibrium zone after a clean Break of Structure (BOS) from the mid-May lows. This rally signals regained bullish intent, but macro and liquidity overhead remain the key challenges.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
🟩 Current Zone: Sitting at $213.50 near equilibrium
🟨 First Supply Zone (Reaction Expected): ~$227.98–$230
🟥 Strong High/Final Target Zone: $243–$250 (Premium)
Key Confluence:
CHoCH into BOS confirms structure shift
Volume decreasing slightly—awaiting re-accumulation before next leg
🧠 Probabilistic Positioning:
📈 Bullish Continuation (65%):
Pullback toward $210–213 zone (equilibrium) before reclaiming higher resistance. Strong move likely if macro sentiment aligns (Fed pause, rate-cut optimism).
📉 Bearish Rejection (35%):
Failure to hold $210 leads to re-tests of:
$200 zone (OB/FVG)
Extended: $186–$175
🌐 Macro Context:
Small-caps are interest rate-sensitive. With markets pricing fewer hikes and potential cuts into late 2025, capital rotation into risk assets may continue.
GDP revision and ISM Services softness support risk-on flows. However, real yields remain sticky, capping aggressive upside.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $210–213.50
Target 1: $227.98
Target 2: $243+
Invalidation: Close below $210 (re-enter lower OBs)
🔒 Risk-to-Reward: ~1:3 on breakout retest scenario
📌 Conclusion:
IWM is climbing the risk ladder with structure and volume backing it. Watch for reaction at the mid-supply zone ($228–230). A clean break above could validate a move toward the premium zone.
#IWM #Russell2000 #SmartMoneyConcepts #TechnicalAnalysis #VolumeProfile #FVG #MarketStructure #TradingView #MacroOutlook #BOS #SMC #Equilibrium #RiskReward
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إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.