Exactly as written last week, Nifty did remain below 5 EMA for initial couple of days but resumed its uptrend subsequently. The reversal till 15 EMA did not happen.
Even though Nifty is galloping ahead, the momentum indicators are exhausted now. There remain 3 parallel channels on my chart. The blue and green channels may only act as resistance from here on. Eventually, Nifty should settle somewhere near the middle of black channel. This can happen either during coming week or next week.
Scenarios for the week ahead (highlighted as yellow box with red and green lines dissecting scenarios)…
Consolidation - Between 18150 and 17700 Downtrend - If breach below 17700; to drop somewhere till 17250 Uptrend - If breach above 18150; to rise somewhere till 18450
Metals, steel and realty have been booming these days. I wonder if this is a good time to exit equity and invest in real estate?
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