Macro View & Context
Weekly Outlook: Analysts expect range-bound trading with continued consolidation under 25,000. Nifty rebounded from ~24,400 recently, but a breakout above 25,000 remains elusive. Toby-heavy cues are looking modestly optimistic, supported by domestic macro trends and auto sector strength.
F&O Expiry Dynamics: Weekly options now expire on Tuesday, meaning Monday becomes the new "expiry eve"—a day often marked by increased spot-vol vs. thin volumes and elevated theta (time decay) impact.
Recommended strategy: With limited move expected, options plays like short strangles can capitalize on low directional movement and theta decay.
Technicals Across Timeframes
1-Day (Daily Chart)
Overall tone: Neutral-to-cautious. Price is consolidating; indicators (like RSI & MACD) are flat—no strong directional bias.
4-Hour Chart
Current structure: Sideways rectangular consolidation, roughly between 24,400–25,000.
A breakout either way could define the weekly closing trend.
1-Hour Chart
Short-term setup: 70% of moving averages (20/50/100/200) show bullish bias, although some very short-term (5/10 MA) signals remain mixed — indicating stabilization above mid-range.
Pivot analysis shows key resistance near 24,852–24,875, and support near 24,750–24,730.
15-Minute Action Plan for Tomorrow (Expiry Eve)
Time-Based Setup (09:00–15:30)
Pre-Open to First 30 Minutes
Observe initial range; likely tight consolidation given expiry eve.
Key zone: 24,750–24,850 (intraday range).
Trade Execution Rules
Long Trade:
Trigger: 15-min candle closes above 24,850 with volume support.
Entry: Next candle's open (~24,860).
Targets: 24,900 → 24,950 → 25,000.
Stop-Loss: ~24,830.
Short Trade:
Trigger: 15-min candle closes below 24,750 with confirmation.
Entry: Next open (~24,740).
Targets: 24,700 → 24,650 → 24,600.
Stop-Loss: ~24,770.
Range Day Strategy (if neither breakout triggers)
Trade within the established 24,750–24,850 range.
Small scalps: buy near 24,760, sell near 24,840; stops tight (~5-10 pts).
Weekly Outlook: Analysts expect range-bound trading with continued consolidation under 25,000. Nifty rebounded from ~24,400 recently, but a breakout above 25,000 remains elusive. Toby-heavy cues are looking modestly optimistic, supported by domestic macro trends and auto sector strength.
F&O Expiry Dynamics: Weekly options now expire on Tuesday, meaning Monday becomes the new "expiry eve"—a day often marked by increased spot-vol vs. thin volumes and elevated theta (time decay) impact.
Recommended strategy: With limited move expected, options plays like short strangles can capitalize on low directional movement and theta decay.
Technicals Across Timeframes
1-Day (Daily Chart)
Overall tone: Neutral-to-cautious. Price is consolidating; indicators (like RSI & MACD) are flat—no strong directional bias.
4-Hour Chart
Current structure: Sideways rectangular consolidation, roughly between 24,400–25,000.
A breakout either way could define the weekly closing trend.
1-Hour Chart
Short-term setup: 70% of moving averages (20/50/100/200) show bullish bias, although some very short-term (5/10 MA) signals remain mixed — indicating stabilization above mid-range.
Pivot analysis shows key resistance near 24,852–24,875, and support near 24,750–24,730.
15-Minute Action Plan for Tomorrow (Expiry Eve)
Time-Based Setup (09:00–15:30)
Pre-Open to First 30 Minutes
Observe initial range; likely tight consolidation given expiry eve.
Key zone: 24,750–24,850 (intraday range).
Trade Execution Rules
Long Trade:
Trigger: 15-min candle closes above 24,850 with volume support.
Entry: Next candle's open (~24,860).
Targets: 24,900 → 24,950 → 25,000.
Stop-Loss: ~24,830.
Short Trade:
Trigger: 15-min candle closes below 24,750 with confirmation.
Entry: Next open (~24,740).
Targets: 24,700 → 24,650 → 24,600.
Stop-Loss: ~24,770.
Range Day Strategy (if neither breakout triggers)
Trade within the established 24,750–24,850 range.
Small scalps: buy near 24,760, sell near 24,840; stops tight (~5-10 pts).
منشورات ذات صلة
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إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.