NZDUSD - Is this a trend change?

Story:

1. Location is Excellent - Fib touch
   
2. Bottom Speed Index a bit on the high side - I would preferred them to be higher to denote hard to move down moves.
   
3. Immediate reaction after the last high down volume wave the largest up volume wave.
   
4. The up waves are increasing
   

What we need now is a retracement with small volume to go long. There is chance also to retest the level, no one knows. The forecast is Long.