crab is more likely:
X=$0.15
AB=0.61 XA
BC=0.38 AB
0.78 XA=$0.45
*1.6 BC=$0.42
*0.88 XA=$0.27 *bat*
2 BC=$0.24
2.24 BC=$0.16
*2.6 BC=$0.095 *final target of bat*
1.13 XA=$0.077
1.27 XA=$0.037
*3.6 BC=$0.021
1.41 XA=$0.018
4.23 BC=$0.008
*1.6 XA=$0.0062 *final target of crab*
X=$0.15
AB=0.61 XA
BC=0.38 AB
0.78 XA=$0.45
*1.6 BC=$0.42
*0.88 XA=$0.27 *bat*
2 BC=$0.24
2.24 BC=$0.16
*2.6 BC=$0.095 *final target of bat*
1.13 XA=$0.077
1.27 XA=$0.037
*3.6 BC=$0.021
1.41 XA=$0.018
4.23 BC=$0.008
*1.6 XA=$0.0062 *final target of crab*