We can based on the last month analysis, that the current volatility is around 5.15% This is translated into 20$ from the current point.
So lets imagine that SPY is going open Monday candle around 390 With that in mind, with close to 87% probability of pointing correctly the top and bottom places we are going to have: TOP 390 + 20 -> aprox 410 BOT 390 - 20 -> aprox 370
If we want at the same time to narrow a bit this channel, we can go for close to 76% probability. In this case the volatility would be around 3.86% => 15$ TOP 390 + 15-> aprox 405 BOT 390 - 15-> aprox 375
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SPX 23-29 May 2022
We can based on the last month analysis, that the current volatility is around 5.15% This is translated into 200$ from the current point.
So lets imagine that SPX is going open Monday candle around 390 With that in mind, with close to 87% probability of pointing correctly the top and bottom places we are going to have: TOP 3900 + 200 -> aprox 4100 BOT 3900 - 200 -> aprox 3700
If we want at the same time to narrow a bit this channel, we can go for close to 74% probability. In this case the volatility would be around 3.86% => 150$ TOP 3900 + 150-> aprox 4050 BOT 3900 - 150-> aprox 3750
We can based on the last month analysis, that the current volatility is around 6.85% This is translated into 800$ from the current point.
So lets imagine that NDX is going open Monday candle around 11900 With that in mind, with close to 87% probability of pointing correctly the top and bottom places we are going to have: TOP 11900 + 800 -> aprox 12700 BOT 11900 - 800 -> aprox 11100
If we want at the same time to narrow a bit this channel, we can go for close to 75% probability. In this case the volatility would be around 5.15% => 600$ TOP 11900 + 600 -> aprox 12500 BOT 11900 - 600 -> aprox 11300
We can based on the last month analysis, that the current volatility is around 6.85% This is translated into 20$ from the current point.
So lets imagine that QQQ is going open Monday candle around 290 With that in mind, with close to 87% probability of pointing correctly the top and bottom places we are going to have: TOP 290 + 20 -> aprox 310 BOT 290 - 20 -> aprox 270
If we want at the same time to narrow a bit this channel, we can go for close to 75% probability. In this case the volatility would be around 5.15% => 15$ TOP 290 + 15-> aprox 305 BOT 290 - 15-> aprox 275
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