Economic cycle, market cycle, interest rates, trend lines & SPX

CBOE 10 YR TREASURY NOTE YIELD (TVC:TNX)

تم تحديثه

TVC:TNX CBOE 10 YR TREASURY NOTE YIELD

spx tnx cycles rates yields trend economiccycle

This chart provides probable market behavior given current market behavior, interest rates, and other factors such as presidential elections.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZqYlPeTs/

I am expecting a down turn during the next week which would last until late February and another leg up in SPX until the final move down in August 2017.

Trend line colors mark the same conditions on both cycles.

تعليق:

Correction: This chart provides probable future prices shown with candles. The MACD indicator also shows a similar pattern, marked with red arrows on MACD.

The recent increase in short term interest rates by the Fed can cause the yield curve to steepen or flatten depending on how the market perceives this move. It can flatten if it thinks that there will be an increase in inflation as the demand for US bonds increases. A demand on bonds will cause the yields to decrease. Price of bonds is inversely correlated to to the yield it has. Higher demand, higher price, lower yields. Bond yields, interest rates, and inflation are correlated. See link for more details on this relation and so you can understand why the market moves to short term interest rate increase and the flattening of the yield curve.

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