The Psychology Of Trading: Advanced Course (Part 1)

٢٢ أكتوبر

What are you looking for when you engage in the process we call trading? Are you in it for the money? Are you in it for learning, excitement or fun?

Are you aware of what you are dealing with?

What is this situation that we experience with the market that it tends to move contrary to anything we expect? We decide to buy and sure enough, the market goes down the next day. We've been holding for months and nothing happens, prices are going down and we cannot wait any longer to see everything go up. Somehow we give up, sell everything and the next day, sure enough, the exact same pair we sold starts to rise, the new one we buy was moving strongly but in that moment we bought the growth momentum is gone.

What is happening here? How did it get to this?

Can you explain how this works and how to get in a situation that produces positive results?

Absolutely, that's my job.

The market is alive but at the same time, the "market," as an individual or entity does not exist. The market is nothing more than you and me, multiplied a million times over.

Before we go deep into the market, let's answer the first question above.

As we engage with the Cryptocurrency market, or any market for that matter, we tend to do so without a plan, without a vision and thus we have to join the market force. When we join this market force we become entangled with the market. This entanglement can be either a positive or a negative polarization. Another way to become entangled is by reading news articles and analyses, notice that the news always tend to be negatively polarized with the market. When the say down, the market goes up. When they say up, the market goes down. This is the same phenomenon that causes your pairs to drop when you buy, and rise when you sell. It is a form of entanglement. The same concept as in "quantum entanglement" in quantum physics.

The first thing you need to know is that you are not making a decision for yourself, when you are in front of the computer and thinking, should I do this or that, there is literally a million people thinking the same. When you decide, they've all decided and this happens because of the entanglement.

Now, the reason why the market drops when you buy is because a million people decided to do the same, this is the mass. The bots that are owned by the exchanges trade against this mass. Anything you do, they simply do the contrary. They don't take any action, ever, they simply wait for the mass to take action, program their bots to do some calculations and then move contrary to whatever the mass does. Easy money.

If a large group of people decide to buy a pair, the whales, professional traders and exchanges will move to that same pair and sell. If the mass decides to sell a pair, the same group will buy and drive prices up.

The only way to become detached from this situation is by planning, because in this way you will create your own reality, your own timeline, your own vision and you won't be restricted to whatever the market force does. As soon as you lose your own vision you will get tangled up with the mass again and at this time you will give back any on all the profits you made.

That's why planning is so important. It is not because you have to have an actual plan, but because you will be able to make decisions that are not based on an impulse, the market impulse, you will make decisions made on your own. Just this small detail will make the difference between a win and a loss.

You can become entangled with an exchange, for example, by procrastinating in front of the screen, just looking at numbers and clicking around. This is surely a recipe for disaster.

As soon as you do whatever it is you are doing, detach. Go do something useful; read, meditate, exercise, breathe, or you can read my stuff. But you have to do something that expands your mind and creates new pathways in your brain, if it is an energy draining exercise you will eventually get tired and get drawn back into the herd and you will be moved again by the market impulse which will result in a loss.

This is the psychology of trading. We all know we can buy at the right time but somehow sell wrong. We can make many positive moves and then mess it all up. This is because the game is more than buying and selling, it is all in your mind and to have a strong mind you need knowledge, information, confidence; knowledge is power and I am giving you some specialized knowledge that I hope might help you improve your results.

Namaste.