Great area to open short position. Markets are moving into blow-off top (short-term) time for pull back and Institutional money to take part in the Market
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adjusting stop-loss to 192.75ملاحظة
adjust stop-loss to $190.5أغلقت الصفقة: تم الوصول لوقف الخسارة
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Re-entering positionملاحظة
adding to position at 197.5 - same stop lossتم فتح الصفقة
Day Traders can start scalping at this position ملاحظة
weekly anchored VWAP is at 178 - expect buyers ملاحظة
8:30 am non-farm payrolls report- vip this will make or break markets todayتم إغلاق الصفقة يدويًا
TSLA Wants to go to 200تم فتح الصفقة
Back into short - Stop loss at 201.85ملاحظة
If Futures break, Then TSLA will break $200 - Current Divergence
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Move Stop-Loss to $195.5 or scalp 1/3 profits hereملاحظة
possible Bearish Continuation patternملاحظة
Moving stop-loss to 192.5تم فتح الصفقة
added more at $193 with tight stop at $193.5ملاحظة
next targets $183/$184 then 172 Stop -loss $193
scalping Stop-loss $191.56
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Good news regarding Elon after-hours / TSLA up +1.5% This could be the catalyst to gap this up Monday past $200
TSLA is SUPER BULLISH, it may not consolidate until after $210 or $230 -
*** I suggest taking 1/2 profits- a break over $200 will be a wash
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TSLA seems to be unstoppable! currently in Bullish Flag mode in the 15min - measured move to $198 - Break or open above 199 will signal move to $205-$207I started shorting @ $198 - MY stop-loss will be 195
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*** 1 possible idea for bears... if TSLA moves past $198 and gets quickly rejected @ 200.8 this could be a Quadruple negative divergence on 1hr - that can lead into a 10% pullback --- not advice to trade - just a contrarian point of view & technical indicator analysisملاحظة
last attempt at shorting under $198 ملاحظة
Be careful of bullish flag forming on 5 minملاحظة
8ema & 21 ema are great intraday bounce area's :تم فتح الصفقة
intraday stop-loss $193Swing Short Stop-loss $196.25
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back into short- stop-loss @ 198.8Exhaustion coming in , but strong chance of Liquidity grab past 200 and pull back- intra-day
Be-careful
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moving stop-loss to $197 -ملاحظة
So many $200 call options in play - Pump & Dump scenario in the works - be carefulملاحظة
We have not seen the H&S play-out .. bullish chart pattern w/ negative divergence could push TSLA to weekly expected high before a sell-offملاحظة
Wallstreet does not want to pay $200 calls...lol ..the day is not over!Trading ranges: $197-$193 / $193-189 / $189-182
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*BE CAREFUL-*DO NOT FOMO *Exhaustion Rally/Bull Trap Warning - Keep an eye on US500 &US100 - if they make new highs I will trust this move-up, feels like a Pump & Dump Distribution event.تم فتح الصفقة
I don’t believe Wall-street will pay the $200 calls options this week- could be wrongتم فتح الصفقة
Sold $210 Calls March 10 expملاحظة
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Went Above $212 - Back in @$214ملاحظة
TSLA STRONG... be careful - Make or break time again intraday:ملاحظة
$210 holding Strong - TSLA could go up to tag $215ملاحظة
Intraday Traders: VWAP HoldingPossible Bullish & Bearish Move in Short Term:
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Come on TSLA.. Break..... Stop-Loss set at 211.31 and re-shorting around $214 ...
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$205 is Bounce area to $207-$208 .. continuation of capitulation **break of $209 is Bullish.
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Set-Stop-loss at $209...but I'm pretty sure Wall-Street is not going to pay-out $200 calls tomorrow..lets see price action with break of 205..ملاحظة
If Bulls Break above $209 & hold to close- I am closing all short positions and selling my calls and puts for a profitملاحظة
***Revision- If TSLA closes above $206.82 I'm closing all short positions and will wait to see how price action is tomorrow*I'm still holding 1/3 of my overall Long Position
Don't be afraid to take profits if you are shorting... 1/3, then 1/3..so on
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Short active - I missed $208 short but caught small short at $206.5 *After-Hours Trading is Dangerous -تم إغلاق الصفقة يدويًا
Closed 206.5 pre-market shorts after it could not drop below $200TSLA is still STRONG above $200 - Bears need to get a Daily Close below $200
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Trend Line Expansion:Break of $197.5 could seal the deal for Reversal
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Report Dropping at 10am - *be careful of Big swings - TSLA above $$197.5 can still recover with a positive report. Good Luck to anyone shorting - I am waiting until after 10ملاحظة
Here are some SUPPLY & DEMAND zones to assist with Intraday - It's Looking Like TSLA is tying to reclaim $200 - Markets will probably wait until CPI Data before Making Big Moves either way Good Luck today everyoneملاحظة
Revised S&D + Median Trading ZONE Bulls- you need to get price above $200 and fill the morning gap
Bears- Keep price under $200 -especially under $197.5
I'm out until 2- Good trading to everyone
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I had to Refine areas:ملاحظة
TSLA is finding support at the 0.618 retracement from the break of previous resistance. Bears need to stop TSLA from getting past 0.236 extension ($198) or we can see the move to $200 and continue Bullish momentumملاحظة
will TSLA play out H&S on 1hr or Double Top on 4hr? - Bearish Divergences everywhere. * Look for $207 Gap-fill this may play into Double-Top with higher high before dropping. Daily Close above $218 invalidates Correction*Max pain on Options is $170
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Break-out Bull Flag on 15 min puts move up to $211 ... currently double top is also palying out on 15 min which plays into 1hr. H&S Pattern ... regardless Be-careful going long here ...Intraday Trading is best until we see failure or continuation in markets. CPI report was bad today, PPI could be the nail in the coffin ملاحظة
BULLS are showing Strength. Short positions Be careful past $215 Is everyone feeling the FOMO yet? LOL ... Is Wallstreet Finally going to PAY on $200 call options this week? ... Sure..they like to loose money?Shorts look for Lower high on Daily ($211 is a good risk to reward shorting Area)
Longs look for Break of $214.50 - advancing to $223 - trouble @$217-$219 Big Supply @$223
Good Luck
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Bulls are trying to gap open above $214 *** There is something Sketchy about this rally yesterday... Major Options Manipulation is in play.. be careful of "Pump & Dump" today. $221.26 is a target Fib area ...I still think this is a bull trap, but could be completely wrong and this could hit $250 or $260 before Big pullback - *Vix at Break-out support
DXY trying to break-out
10y&2y- still going up
CPI HOT
Retail sales Hot
*2 market narratives - The Squeeze is on/Manipulation is Strong/ Traps on both ends are being set -
You might want to wait for first 15minutes of trading before choosing a side.
Good Luck all
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something is getting ready to Break:ملاحظة
BULLs: IF NDX & SPY fill gaps, we could see continuation of rallyBears: You want the gap and sell off with VIX spiking back above 20
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Battle Lines are Drawn:ملاحظة
Bulls you want to see a strong bounce between 206-207ملاحظة
another indecision candle on 30min * notice trading rangemedian is $210 - close above that on 30min is bullish - see correlation on 15min
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30 min - another indecision candle - close above $210 on 30 min is bullish (piercing Candlestick)ملاحظة
shorts good at $212 with stop-loss at $214.5Longs $207 stop-loss at $204
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Shorts - move stop-loss to $212 or $211.79ملاحظة
intraday shorts can reset here @ 212 or 213.5 *follow price action $214.5 tight stop-lossملاحظة
Bulls - SPX & NDX are recovering *need a break through $214 with strong bounce retest for continuation.keep an eye on Vix - currently at support
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Bears have to push TSLA under $208 - Continuation Diamond Pattern is setting upملاحظة
Bears need to hold or... C&H Pattern in play too:ملاحظة
Revised Distribution - TSLA is beginning or completing final Phase of distribution, we could see one more UTAD to 0.382 Fib from all time Highs ($221) , but option wall may prevent this.ملاحظة
This Kangaroo market is targeting options & shaking out retail swing positions- I am currently staying away from buying options lasting longer than the day. This market is great for day trading or staying with your mid-term bias, intraday swing trading is being shaken out on both ends to scare retail from their positions.TSLA looks to be maintaining a breakout to the downside on this bearish wedge/continuation diamond pattern.
Close below $195 maintains bearish theme for me - stronger case is a close below $191
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Bulls - you need a strong bounce off the green trendline - do not let TSLA make a lower low on the 1hr. Bullish bias- $192-$195 are dip buying areas - Close below $191 on Daily confirms Bearish Bias
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Bulls Prevented TSLA from Closing Below MY $195 Bear signal - Gap up above $200 was inportant for a bullish continuation ($197-$198 was strong resistance) If TSLA can close above $205 today with strong volume and above $198 on the monthly, then I think TSLA is highly likely make a new higher high to begin final phase of distribution...although**** this is Consolidation and could be "Re-Accumulation" MY small frame signals are Bearish but TSLa may explode if they show a new moderately priced vehicle on March 1st (Investor Day)ملاحظة
intraday - $205 1st resistance, $209 second resistance ... I still believe this is Distribution but am open to bullish continuation - Watch Price action and how TSLA reactes to MAjor S&R along with Weekly Expected Zones *OPtions Max Pain is $198 - we could also see a "Buy the Rumor, Sell- the news set-up for March1"
Good Luck to all
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Bulls -I would like to see a retest of $205 to confirm support then continuation through to $221 - & Move to 200 MA *currently Double Bottom Break-out pattern on 15min -target move is $220Bears - Important to push price below $198 before Wednesday
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This will be my Day updating this Thread - I will begin a new Thread before MARCH 1st - Last info I would like to share:I will be keeping an eye on Large Time Frame Divergence to confirm my Distribution thesis...if* TSLA makes a new High , I had expected the new high last week, but this was not the case. I am still holding on 1/3 of my position (sold at $198 & $210) I plan on seeing how TSLA will react to Expected Moves & 200 MA .. I believe Bulls want to push to $221 - I will sell calls there *not recommended advice, this is how I trade. I will continue to day trade on both sides.
*today TSLa needs to confirm $205 as new support before getting through $208-$209 then to $216 and finally the $220 area.
Good Luck All
I do believe there is a good Bullish Case that Nathan Makes:
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Comment:Weekly Options Info & important Dates:
*MARCH 1st: Investor's DAY -****VIP "Buy the Rumor -Sell the News" or Sell the Rumor Buy the News" ... watch Price action & Volume Leading up to Wednesday
Economic Calendar is lighter beginning this week - Next weeks Job Data is VIP
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taking a short position here - good risk to reward set-up intraday ملاحظة
$208.7 - Stop-loss 210.02 ***Warning -TSLA is Strong the Risk is $1.52 Reward is over $8This is not not advise to trade
*$210.8-$214 is a better supply zone
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Break below $208 confirms short-term bear / Break of $209.68 is goal for bulls right now
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I'm also putting on a long position here : 5to 1 reward to riskملاحظة
Stop-loss on short - moved to $208.6 in case power hour bulls show up ( small profit Long is active
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stop-loss on Long moved to 207.73 - small profit if TSLA does go BEARISH... BULLs should (need to) be stepping in now to push to new highs on the 1 hrملاحظة
stop-loss on short moved to $208.5 =$0.25 profit if TSLA goes bullish (currently $1 in the money)Long stop-loss triggered - I'm back in long @ 207.50 stop-loss @ 207
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TSLA Short- $2 in the Money - moving stop-loss to $207.6ملاحظة
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New Charting for Day Trading:
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Follow Link above if you are interested - I will be updating intraday
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