TSLA V3 Weekly Alert — Deep ITM CALL Signal

TSLA QuantSignals V3 Weekly 2025-11-14

AI & Technical Forecast

Katy AI Target: $421.69 (+3.2% upside)

Expected Dip: $390.59 Monday before mid-week recovery

Momentum: Strong weekly uptrend, MACD bullish, EMA alignment confirms uptrend

Support: $402.40

Resistance / AI Target: $421.69

Insights:

Friday expiration entry offers volatility discount; deep ITM call captures most delta with minimal extrinsic loss

PCR 3.30 → institutional put-heavy positioning, creating potential contrarian opportunity

Event Risk: Elon Musk fireside chat (Friday 1:05 PM ET) may spike volatility

🎯 Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Direction CALL
Strike $370.00
Entry $40.30–$40.55 (mid: $40.42)
Target 1 $46.00 (+13.8%)
Target 2 $52.00 (+28.6%)
Stop Loss $35.05 (–13.3%)
Position Size 2–3% of portfolio
⚡ Key Advantages

Deep ITM structure → high delta exposure (stock-like behavior)

Limited extrinsic value → reduces theta and IV crush risk

Timing aligned with post-event momentum and mid-week recovery

Risk/Reward ~2.15:1 (Target 1 vs stop)

🚨 Risk Notes

PCR 3.30 → extreme hedging/fear; stop may trigger quickly

Theta decay accelerates Mon-Wed; manage positions carefully

Deep ITM calls → wider spreads; use limit orders

Consider scaling out at Target 1 to reduce gamma exposure

Summary:
TSLA deep ITM weekly call provides contrarian, medium-conviction bullish exposure, leveraging AI trajectory and technical alignment. Suitable for 7-day horizon with disciplined risk management.