Yield Curve Inversion + S&P500 strong retractions
Chart showing lead time between the curve inversion and the start of the stock market crashes along the time.
Longest lead time was around 760 days (+2 years)
Shortest lead time was 4-5 months.
Consider a 6 months as a rule for your readiness:
- Build up cash reserves.
- Partial sells of variable income equities (stocks, crypto, etc).
- From 4-6 months forward, start buying OTM SP500 options, specially when VIX is on support levels. (Bear Put Spreads are also a viable alternative).
Start of the crash, what to do:
- When SP500 has fallen around 20-30% from its peak, start buying variable income equities (stocks, crypto, etc).
- Sell your OTM put options
- ALWAYS KEEP SOME CASH RESERVE!
Longest lead time was around 760 days (+2 years)
Shortest lead time was 4-5 months.
Consider a 6 months as a rule for your readiness:
- Build up cash reserves.
- Partial sells of variable income equities (stocks, crypto, etc).
- From 4-6 months forward, start buying OTM SP500 options, specially when VIX is on support levels. (Bear Put Spreads are also a viable alternative).
Start of the crash, what to do:
- When SP500 has fallen around 20-30% from its peak, start buying variable income equities (stocks, crypto, etc).
- Sell your OTM put options
- ALWAYS KEEP SOME CASH RESERVE!
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منشورات ذات صلة
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.