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US 10-Year Treasury Yield
The yield on the US 10-Year Treasury is about 4.22% to 4.24%.
It has slightly decreased by approximately 0.02 percentage points from the previous session.
The yield remains elevated compared to last year (3.83%) but is below the long-term average of 4.25%.
This yield serves as a benchmark for long-term borrowing costs and reflects market expectations for growth and inflation.
US Dollar Index (DXY)
The DXY, which measures the US Dollar against a basket of major currencies, typically moves in correlation with US Treasury yields.
Historically, rising 10-year yields tend to strengthen the dollar as higher yields attract foreign capital.
Recently, the correlation has shown some divergence, with the dollar maintaining strength despite slight yield declines.
The DXY remains sensitive to Federal Reserve policy signals, inflation expectations, and global market dynamics.
Interest Rate Context
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep the federal funds rate steady around the current level (4.25%-4.50%) for now but market expectations for a rate cut in September have increased.
Treasury yields reflect these expectations and influence the dollar's value through changes in investment flows.
Summary
There is typically a positive relationship between the US 10-year Treasury yield and the USD index: higher yields suggest a stronger dollar and vice versa. However, market dynamics can cause short-term deviations. Current yields near 4.22% reflect a cautious but still higher rate environment, supporting the dollar's value amidst mixed economic signals
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