USD / CAD - Weekly Pin Bar - SHORT

Trump has again decided to influence the US$, despite some pretty strong economic numbers coming out, the DXY rejected the 95.5 high for about the 10th time and the Canadians have produced some good CPi numbers, just as we hit the 50% fib level, he obviously wants a cheaper currency for many reasons. On the Charts, the DXY was divergent on the weekly time frame, so we've been expecting a correction to the downside anyway.

While Crude is moving sideways right now, it is in a long-term bullish trend, strengthen CAD and therefore, I'm looking for a break of the long-term trend line at 1.31. Should that happen with some strength and it holds, then I would expect to reach one of two targets, both fib levels, 1.29 and 1.275

تعليق:

Look at that pin bar on the weekly time frame, supported by the engulfing candle on the daily as the second move to the downside from 1.335, the third rejection.

تم فتح الصفقة:

Breaking trend line, I'm in early, but like the look of it

تعليق:

I hours later and we didn’t break the trend line over night, in fact the USD looks stronger.

تعليق:

Crude has weakened on oversupply worries impacting CAD, $ bounces back after increased treasury yields and less Trump tweets (today anyway).

The best pair would be AUD / USD rather than USD / CAD

تم إغلاق الصفقة يدويًا

تعليق:

We've broken the trend line, look for a pullback to get in.

تعليق:

The pull line is my 21 day EMA

تعليق:

Blue horizontal line is the bottom of the 21 day EMA

تعليق:

The US$ is rocketing, so I won't be taking this trade until we know where Oil is going. I would check out my AUD / USD trade instead

تعليق:

The bulls will be looking to break this trend line, then smash through it, pullback and hold, resistance becoming support, if that happens, they will be back into the bull channel

تعليق:

If we don't break the trend line, we can sell down from there

تم فتح الصفقة:

Failed to break, trade is now active US$ is now dropping against the other currencies

تعليق:

Crude is now rocketing up, increasing the price of CAD

تعليق:

Crude continues to drive higher, we're now pulling back, bringing in more buyers and driving CAD higher, forcing the US$ down.

The DXY is selling off nicely

تعليق:

We're going much lower yet... Red $ is declining fast while Orange CAD is rising still.

The DXY has a while to fall yet

تعليق:

More importantly, the reason these trades have moved, it's Crude Oil! No other reason fuelled this action at this rate.

Higher oil prices will drive up the Canadian and Aussie dollars, Bond yields will help move the dollar. So be aware of this when looking at other pairs and Equities will be impacted by the reduced dollar and increased Oil, they will go up.

تعليق:

My target is 1.29 and 1.28 the major fib levels

تعليق:

Look at the support that 1.295 should that be broken, then we'll move down to retest the edge of the channel @1.29-1.28 this is the fib level and the EMA, we'd need a strong Bull trend on Crude and a weak or stagnant US$. Who knows with all the geopolitical games going on.

Lots of components fundamental and technical to keep our eye on here.

The very big picture, this pair have been in decline since 2016, are we about to resume that trend?

تعليق:

Lovely rejection of 1.31 confirms we're going lower

تعليق:

Beautiful

تعليق:

I've been in this since the middle of July, still confident we're going for the edge of the channel below 1.29 - 1.28