The USD/JPY pair has extended its rebound from the previous week's lows, marking a significant shift in momentum as global market sentiment evolves. The Japanese yen (JPY) has weakened due to diminishing demand for safe-haven assets, a trend driven by renewed investor confidence and easing geopolitical risks. Additionally, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) ongoing ambiguity regarding monetary policy has further pressured the yen, as markets await clearer signals on its next move.
On the other hand, the U.S. dollar has found support amid recalibrated expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve's policy outlook. While markets are leaning towards a less aggressive stance from the Fed in the coming months, the greenback continues to benefit from its relative strength, backed by robust U.S. economic data and higher Treasury yields.
This combination of factors has bolstered USD/JPY, with the pair reclaiming critical levels and signaling potential for further upside. Analysts note that unless the BoJ delivers a surprise hawkish shift or safe-haven flows return, the yen is likely to remain under pressure. Meanwhile, the dollar's trajectory will hinge on upcoming U.S. economic releases and any shifts in Fed rhetoric.
Looking ahead, the pair's movements will be influenced by key data points, including U.S. GDP and Japan's inflation figures. Should risk appetite continue to recover, USD/JPY may test higher resistance levels, with immediate focus on the 150.00 psychological barrier. However, traders remain cautious, as unexpected central bank moves or geopolitical shocks could swiftly alter the landscape.
By blending global economic dynamics with localized policy uncertainties, USD/JPY remains a pair to watch in this volatile market environment. For now, the dollar holds the upper hand, supported by a relatively stable macroeconomic backdrop and a receding appetite for the yen's safety.