TVC:USOIL   عقود الفروقات السعرية للنفط الخام WTI
5
Made some good money shorting via SCO (2x short oil) from $52 Oil to $48 Oil.

Today, it's made a counter-trend bounce and has been rejected at the 50ma.

It also backtested the underside of that trendline.

In addition, over the last 5 days rally in Oil, some related Oil stocks (XLE, OAS) has been very weak / lackluster. Other stocks have done better (AREX for example).

This afternoon, Oil stocks (XLE) are selling off again.

I am re-starting a small short position. If we have follow through / swing high to the downside, I will add more.

I will stop out above the 50ma and size my position to that appropriate risk. (Bought SCO 38.98, stop loss at 37.92, 0.4% total portfolio risk).

أغلقت الصفقة: تم الوصول لوقف الخسارة:
Just stopped out. I was too early on the short entry.

Oil seems to be breaking upward out of this 3 day consolidation.

It does have room to run on the RSI. A better entry may have been with a stochastic crossing down from overbought, a MACD crossing down, or from a higher RSI. For now I will wait and watch.
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