الذهب / دولار أمريكيتم تحديثه INCOMPLETE PREPWORK FOR 41 HOURS
HEADER - This is a follow up of previous work. As a precaution, first rule of trading is don't lose money. As a reminder, second rule of trading is don't forget first rule. As usual, this is meant to used with - whenever possible - continuously updating notes. As always, when price moves against stated plan and updates have not been provided, just scrap the plan and trade defensively until new updates.
SUMMARY - So this is titled "incomplete" bc it's not my standard work bc I am trying to give you something that is "better than nothing".
DETAILS - See previous posts for background. 41 hours means for the rest of this week.
SUMMARY - So this is titled "incomplete" bc it's not my standard work bc I am trying to give you something that is "better than nothing".
DETAILS - See previous posts for background. 41 hours means for the rest of this week.
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10/19 - 1:34 AM ET, THIS PART IS SO HARD.a) first, the classical stuff
b) there are two trend lines above that dictate price action
c) they make that "X" when they cross
d) and that picture is the picture of the two paths that they imply
e) but that's all I can do
f) I can't handicap them bc half the setups look WEIRD AF
g) not "SUSPICIOUS AF"
h) bc suspicious means when I think A and I suspect B
i) here, I just don't know
j) what I do know is that the vol limits say 1910 and 1982 for tomorrow
k) but my math says under 1934 not likely
l) in theory, as long as the bull support line DO NOT BREAK, IT'S LONG HERE....
m) so what's wrong with it?
n) I have not seen it stay bullish when the regressions look this way
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o) I don't know why bulls didn't take it to 1980 by now alreadyp) so if they had a perfect setup to do it AND DID NOT'
q) why would they do it WHEN THE SETUP LOOKS WEIRD AF
r) but I also can't prove that this setup is bearish...
s) IT LOOKS WEIRD
t) so be extra cautious
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u) my experience says after a big rally, if regressions look weird that's a bearish situationv) but this one is WEIRDER THAN ALL THE ONES I'VE SEEN BEFORE
w) my intuition says high 2-way vol but I don't have the math to back it up
x) an example of high 2-way vol would be...
y) drop hard out of NOWHEERE to 1895 tomorrow
z) but close the day 1938
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2:07 AM ET ... HERE'S THE REALLY FRUSTRATING PARTa) all the tools that were working since 9/12 for us
b) have been COMPLETELY WRONG in the last 8 hours
c) so I am very gun shy here
d) so the best strategy here is just SCALP AND SCALP AND SCALP AND SCALP
e) meaning once a trend gets going
f) entry that way
g) and keep STOPS TIGHT AF...
h) it's always a strong defense but is even MORE IMPORTANT IN SITUATIONS LIKE THIS
i) you can't understand what price doing based on the math
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2:17 AM ET - THIS IS WHAT IS NOT SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN, SO WHY AM I THINKING IT?ملاحظة
a) in chart above....b) it says that w/in 18 trading hours of righ tnow
c) so 9:20 PM ET THURSDAY NIGHT
d) we make it to 1868
e) the math DOES NOT SUPPORT IT AT ALL
f) but I want to put it up just in case it happens
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g) as of right now it's not even 1/10 of 1%, so not even 1000:1ملاحظة
h) it would be 1/(32x32), so 1024:1 i) if viewed from 12-hour bar
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j) that's it, I'm going to bed, I feel much better now that I got that out of my systemk) I was really frustrated the last 6 hours
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l) 3:25 AM, playing blue makes now makes this feels SOOOOOOOOO FAKE...1) it's that "man this f**(ing manipulated or something"...
2) don't do it when the setup is there
3) but wait for when it's really hard to make out and then do it???
4) if this plays blue the rest of the way...
5) I might have just proven that price is manipulated
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m) 8:49 AM ET, playing blue path since I post it... n) read my l) notes at 3:25 AM again and again and again
o) I don't have anything else to add
p) and will not add anything UNTIL THAT BLUE HILIGHT IS WRONG FOR 4-8 HOURS
q) if you are sharp, you will notice during this "around the clock" thing I do
r) my forecasts are strong for about 12-16 hours and then will usually need an update
s) which is fine, we discovered that A LONG TIME AGO, for those that have followed me a while
t) but if this plays blue until the week is out, the implications of WHAT THAT REALLY MEANS IS MIND BOGGLING
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u) usually when I post something bout pricev) it's like THE GOLD GODS LISTEN AND THEY CHANGE IT WHILE I'M NOT LOOKING
w) so I hope that happens here, bc if it doesn't
x) read my 3:25 AM l) comments again and again and again
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y) I'm going on a long run and I will not watch this for a few hours bc I'm very annoyed but excited at the same time... I'll use this analogy:z) annoyed like I discovered "my gf cheated on me", know what I mean?
1) real annoyed, bc the relationship is over... really over
2) at the same time she "f***ing cheated", that b****!
3) so since she's so hot, I'm going to keep banging her bc why stop?
4) but while I do that, I will also sleep with all the other women I was dying to but didn't bc I was being faithful to the relationship
5) that's how I describe how I feel right now
6) we can still make money, but it's not an honest market
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7) so I'm going to continue banging her, probably more now bc in some sick way, it's better bc no strings attached8) so jut make the money, don't be emotional about it
9) but understand, that relationship is an illusion for everyone involved
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10) it dropped under the blue hilight just as I was writing the "z" notes just now11) in some stupid way I would feel better if it changed its path meaningfully here
12) in that way, we can still have an honest relationship
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10:40 CHART NEEDS UPDATE1) so a turn down is slowly happening
2) odds of continued bull run are disappearing
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3) start looking down while watching for last gasps of trapped bullsملاحظة
4) what see from my phone but can't confirm is a down turn with major routes 5) but bulls aren't dead yet
6) they should be before this week is over
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7) typo with 2 major routes, lost the 2ملاحظة
8) 11:37 AM ET 1958.XX last gasps? or late manipulation?9) my position on blue route is the same.. if it plays it's proof of manipulation
10) but it's a step too late now, so it's much harder to accomplish vs this morning before the first rejection at 1956
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11) for rest of today, tomorrow and monday, be aware of these two linesملاحظة
12) Im out of time for today so this is what is coming, probably tomorrow:ملاحظة
13) you can extrapolate several times... same result.. .a) sideways to first support
b) break support
c) bounce to reach or fail to reach first support again (which would now be resistance)
d) and crash to second support
e) that's a wrap or today
f) odds of breaking above 1962 not realistic
g) so this POST HAS BASICALLY ENDED, I WILL POST NEW ONE WHEN I HAVE TIME
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h) 1:00 PM ET 1962.XX... i) replay chart at top...
j) haters going to hate so
k) manipulaters going to manipulate
l) but odds don't favor the move up
m) you can hit what? 1964 66 68, all RIGHT UP TO 7:30 AM ET FRIDAY
n) but you're not going anywhere but down
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o) 1:04 PM ET, hold on a second, let me zoom in for this next 4 hour zoneملاحظة
p) 1:10 PM ET, 1963.XX, yeah zig and zag all the way to 7:30 AM FRIDAY r) what's the highest high possible? around 1970.. but let's get closer
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s) that's pretty close, there's weak evidence for numbers above 1968t) but even the zig zag will get at least 1 major rug pull before the run to 1968-1970
u) that means at 1:13 PM ET and 1962.99 as I type...
v) it zig-zags to let's say 1967 later tonight
w) it will get crushed to 1950-ish ??? (not sure, will check when I publish next) over night
x) then run to 1968-1970 by 7, 7:30 AM ET
y) then massive rug pull for Friday (NFP style, but just w/o the NFP)
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1:22 PM ET 1971.XX .. not even in the regressionsa) just replay the chart...
b) again as stated last night if it plays blue, absolute manipulation
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c) it's not even forecast-able like that blue path UNLESS I CREATED AN ARTIFICIAL PATH FOR ITd) that's why I couldn't handicap it... because it's so so so so so FAKE
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1:35 PM ET... EVEN minutes before at 1963.xx it was not "in the cards" a) usually if I watch price continuously like I am doing, I can announce the moves as they happen
b) but I didn't even see it DESPITE MAPPING THE MOVE ARTIFICIALLY LAST NIGHT
c) think about that for a second...
d) I had to "create a blue route" and STILL COULDN'T SEE IT COMING literally 2 minutes before it did...
e) crazy...
f) just crazy
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g) if you still think that this is an honest market.. you are out of your... mindh) BUT AS SAID ABOVE...
i) WE ARE STILL GOING TO MAKE ALL THE MONEYS
j) bc I KNOW HOW THEY DO IT NOW...
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k) we live in interesting times.. we dol) ok let's get back to closing out this post first...
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m) first let me sum it up what just happened in this post and the last postn) I mapped price correctly in the last post
o) but I saw the "fake path" ... so ....
p) I "MADE UP THE FINISH" TO THE FAKE PATH... for bulls...that's the blue path in this chart
q) and said if it hit, it's manipulation
r) BECAUSE I SAW WHAT THEY WERE DOING and made the blue path to show it
s) I also made a bear path to 1868 (that's the other one that is also artificial)
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t) but the odds were so small I didn't put it on the main chart at topملاحظة
2:00 PM ET 1972.XX so the cap for this spot is 1975-1976 for the next 2-4 hours.u) so now our priority is finishing up this "fake move"
v) as it stands, the blue path and route to 2035 next 27 hours is the favorite
w) there's no need for a new post
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x) this is why I was so frustrated last nighty) bc I was demo-ing what SHOULD HAPPEN and IT KEPT FAILING, I didn't have time to explain all of it
z) so I mapped out an ARTIFICIAL PATH for the logical finish to it today
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2:12 PM ET... 1973.XX I checked the rest of it.. looks just like the blue route nowa) so?
b) so back to "on target"
c) but now I know what they do AND I KNOW HOW THEY DO IT...
d) ok back to this thing we do
e) help me gain more followers by word of mouth
f) I need to 10x my followers by mid January
g) is this even realistic?
h) I don't even think its possible
i) at the cusp of my greatest success, I don't see how I can keep doing this
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j) I'm at 1440, I can actually hit 4K based on extrapolated growth rate...k) so I have to tripple my growth rate to 10x my followers
l) this is so stupid, I just realized that we can't do it
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m) so now I have to negotiate for an extension....n) that's a wrap until I get the ok
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6:44 PM ET 1974.25 OK SO HERE'S HOW THIS WILL GO FOR THE REST OF THE WAY:a) to catch up to the curve...
b) price HAS TO BE STRONGER THAN THE HILIGHT almost the entire way
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c) 7:03 PM ET, there a couple loose knots hereملاحظة
d) first extrapolation is if leads all the way to ....ملاحظة
e) 2010, like this:ملاحظة
1) in chart above:2) the second part with the ??? is where I can't tell ...
3) if it should lead or not
4) so I left it "disconnected" with a question marks
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5) BUT BUT BUT... WE ARE AT MANIPULATED CURVE...6) so???
7) so it should go nuts!!!
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8) so just tagged 1981-82... 9) I would like to see a 14 pt drop to 1968 (that will get bought)
10) but I am not sure we will get that... why? BC IT''S MANIPULATEED
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11) here is that spot that I don't think we will get:ملاحظة
12) so that means the dark gray hilights ARE TOO SLOW TOOملاحظة
13) that leads to this:ملاحظة
14) a soft merge of gray and orange (leaning orange) is this:ملاحظة
15) so orange route is manipulated curve base case for next 21 hoursملاحظة
16) and if our manipulaters are our politicians, then Biden will make THIS HAPPEN tonight w/ some crazy announcement:ملاحظة
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10/19 8:10 PM ET - THIS POST HAS ENDED. PLEASE GO HERE FOR NEXT 21 HOURS:
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إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.