Weekly preview and trading idea for Monday 24.03.2025

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🔹 W1 – Weekly Bias
Bias: Bullish

SMC: Valid Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, with consecutive higher highs.

Order Block: Last bullish OB (gray zone) still valid and respected.

Premium/Discount: Price is currently in the premium zone, indicating a higher probability of retracement.

FVG / Imbalance: Unfilled FVG zones remain between 2900 - 2800.

EMA 5/21/50/200: Price trades above all EMAs, confirming strong bullish momentum.

Key POI: 3060 – 3085 (potential reversal or reaction zone).

EQH: Potential Equal Highs forming, suggesting a liquidity grab is likely.

✅ Note: Weekly structure is intact, but we may expect a correction down into discount levels.

🔹 D1 – Daily Bias
Bias: Bullish (with active retracement)

SMC: BOS confirmed + liquidity grab above recent highs.

Price Action: Strong rejection from premium zone with a significant bearish candle.

Order Block: Valid OB between 2970 – 2990, aligning with Daily FVG.

EMA: EMA 5 and 21 are tightening up, signaling a potential short-term bearish cross.

Imbalance: Clear gap between 2985 – 2940 remains unfilled.

Daily POI: 2995 – 2970 → key zone to monitor for bullish reaction.

RSI: Not yet oversold, suggesting more room for downside movement.

🎯 Retracement Target (Daily): 2990 – 2950 for potential long setups.

🔹 H4 – Intraday Swing Setup
Bias: Bearish retracement

SMC: Confirmed BOS on H4

Order Block: Strong OB between 3025 – 3035 (origin of previous impulse drop)

FVG: Valid Fair Value Gap between 2988 – 2940

Imbalance: Still unfilled under 2970

EMA: Bearish EMA 5/21 crossover, EMA50 flattening

POI: 3030 (short setup zone), 2970 (potential buy reaction zone)

🔁 Scenario:

If price retests 3025–3030 and shows bearish PA → valid short.

If price drops into 2970–2950 and sweeps liquidity → potential long setup.

🔹 H1 – Entry Refinement
Bias: Temporary bullish correction

SMC: CHoCH printed, but no BOS yet

PA: Last reaction suggests mitigation

OB: OB zone at 3033–3037 still valid for shorting opportunities

EMA: EMA 5 and 21 remain bearish; 50 and 200 beginning to flatten

RSI: Nearing overbought – watch for signs of bearish reversal

POI (H1): 3033–3037 (short setup), 2985–2970 (buy zone)

🔹 M15 – Sniper Entry
Bias: Bullish correction in progress

SMC: CHoCH formed, waiting for confirmation of BOS

OB (M15): 3028 – 3033 → clean Order Block for possible bearish reaction

Imbalance: Unfilled gap at 3029 – 3032

EMA: EMA 5 > EMA 21 → minor bullish trend

RSI: Close to overbought – ideal for a reversal sniper short

EQH: Equal High at 3032 → ideal liquidity inducement

🎯 Sniper Trade Plan (Short):

Sell Entry Zone: 3029 – 3033

TP1: 3010

TP2: 2995

SL: Above 3035 (above OB high)

🔄 Alternative Scenario
If price breaks and closes above 3035 with bullish volume → short invalidated

Long setups only valid if price drops into discount zones (below 2985) with a bullish PA reaction + CHoCH confirmation

✅ Summary
Overall Bias: Bullish on higher timeframes, but currently in retracement → only looking for short-term sells

Sniper Short Zone: 3029 – 3033

Buy Zone to Re-enter: 2970 – 2940 (only on proper confirmations)

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تم فتح الصفقة

The target of 300 pips was reached today. The bounce zone marked from 3015-3020 was successfully mitigated and provided us with the bounce up to the gap from 3029-3033, where we had a potential short entry with a SL at 3035, TP 1 at 3010, and TP 2 at 2995.
price making a pullback now, waiting to see how the price is gonna play on asian session
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