Options expiration Friday 28.May (buy <25k, sell >36k )

Fridays(option expiration): Its not every month it goes down.
Seems to correlate with the trend.
When negative trend > it has cone only 10-20% down.
So max down is -20% around expiration day (since 2-3 years).
Exceptions below.

Looks like the 25kEUR level can be touched
(in May, latest 11.June)

-> worse case 18kEUR
(that is -40% from this moment)

-> reversion next level 36-37kEUR

... 15kEUR will not go there,


Exceptions (continue downtrend vs. reversion)
- Mar2020
- Sep2019
- Dec2018
- May/Jul2018
- Dec2017
(crash, Jan18 dropped -40% in 30days)

What you think?