This is why i HAVE TO say SHORT for short term

Say if you are BTC driver

Halving's coming

mom and pop investors are sticking around

But you are rich, very rich. The rich want to become more rich and grudging even a little amount of profits endowing mom and pops


so contextual basis points that market's 2 possibility ahead : At least double bottom or New dip

And Technical analysis is also simple : big fall, big fly. Easy.