To be honest, I am not in a margin trade right now as Bitcoin isn't giving much of an edge at the moment and the volatility is really high, but I am seeing some really fascinating confluence at the $5700 level that I want to share with you!
This is an incredible scenario of 4 different fibonacci levels all confluent at the same level. It also happens to be the level of the previous resistance when Bitcoin broke the downtrend at $6,000.
As it's playing out, I believe we'll see a major push to that $5700 level, but I don't think we will be able to break all of that resistance in one go.
The KEY to this level is it's a very old hidden trend line that I just posted about...
We also have an ascending triangle formation with a bear trap and a bull trap and a decision point should be coming within a few days.
We've got shorts that are stacking up right now to give us the fuel to push up there, but not high enough to break through with a chain of liquidation orders.
Fibonacci level #1 - Retracement of the overall move to the 78.6%
Fibonacci level #2 - 161.8% extension of the swing high and swing low of the recent rally.
Fibonacci level #3 - The 261.8% extension from the first pull back on this recent bullish consolidation.
Fibonacci level #4 - (less reliable due to subjectivity of fib level) - 4.23 extension on the small pull back before the rally, but I included it because the 2.618 seems to be acting as a reliable support as well.
Now, we are getting to an overbought territory and we are starting to see signs of exhaustion from the bulls. - Lower volume as price is moving up - Bearish divs on daily and 4 hour time frames (240 chart) - Rising Wedge
The problem is that the $5150 area keeps getting bought up very quickly and with the shorts rising, this means we could break up and out of the rising wedge.
At this point, I have no positions in margin and am only in Bitcoin in spot with a lower entry. I don't feel like this is a good area to hedge with a short because the RR just isn't that great and the volatility makes it too difficult to manage risk.
If you're looking for an entry, $5050-$5100 looks solid if the support holds, if that breaks, then I'll be looking for a deeper pull back.
Either way, I think the next 3-4 days will show a big move up to 10-15% on Bitcoin.
Let me know what YOU see and if you want to support my work, click like! Thanks for reading.
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.