Trend vs Balance

This indicator is built to answer one key question before you trade:
Is the market trending or balancing (ranging)?
And it doesn’t just label it — it also gives you a confidence score (0–100%).

It works with two timeframes:

Daily (D): the “base” timeframe — it drives the decision.

H4 (240): the “adjustment” timeframe — it reinforces or weakens what Daily says.

That’s why the final output is COMBO:

COMBO always follows the Daily regime (Bull Trend, Bear Trend, or Balance).

H4 does NOT change the regime, it only adjusts the confidence % depending on whether it agrees or conflicts.

The % is calculated using a checklist-style scoring system (5 points per regime).
Each regime has 5 measurable conditions, each worth 20 points:

3 out of 5 → 60%

5 out of 5 → 100%

What does the checklist measure (pure candle behavior):

Structure: whether price forms a clear staircase (HH/HL for bull trend or LL/LH for bear trend).

Closes: whether candles close near the extremes (trend) or near the middle (balance).

Overlap: whether price is “choppy” with lots of overlap (balance) or cleanly displaced (trend).

Impulse vs pullback: whether one side clearly dominates (trend) or moves are more symmetric (balance).

Breaks: whether price breaks and stays outside (acceptance = trend) or breaks and quickly re-enters (balance).

How to read it quickly:

COMBO = your main playbook (trend strategy or range strategy).

COMBO % = your confidence level (how clear the context is).

If you see a ⚠️, it means strong conflict between Daily and H4 — a “be careful” day.

In short: Daily tells you the market “weather”, and H4 tells you whether today the wind is helping or fighting you.